SRRTA22 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 I'm right in the little corner right in between both MD's XD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...CLUSTERS OF STORMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE S/SE ACROSS SRN/SERN PA...CNTRL/SRN NJ...DE...MD...NRN VA AND ERN WV. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. STORM CLUSTERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FROM OH E ACROSS PA/SERN NY WITHIN A PLUME OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SPREADING SEWD WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS QUEBEC/ONTARIO AND LWR GREAT LAKES REGION. LATEST 16Z HRRR INDICATES THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS IT SPREADS SEWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION/DELMARVA. MEANWHILE...19Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 90S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS GUIDANCE AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS...FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SVR WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL. THOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG /I.E. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES AOB 25 KT/...SVR WEATHER COVERAGE MAY BECOME WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WW ISSUANCE. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Can hear non-stop thunder from the cell 5 miles to my east. Nice cloud deck from it also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 new updraft going up right over mineola. 1" hail marker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 a ton of warnings over eastern pa within the bubble of 25-30+kts of effective shear. the only reason the storms formed on the island is the enhanced convergence along the seabreeze front. could happen in new jersey too. otherwise the forcing and effective shear for organized storms remains weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 that updraft is up to 45kft now. id almost guarantee it's hailing near lake success right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 338 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT... * AT 334 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MANHASSET...OR NEAR MINEOLA...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ELMONT...VALLEY STREAM...GARDEN CITY...LYNBROOK...BROOKVILLE... WESTBURY...HEMPSTEAD...WANTAGH...PLAINVIEW...OCEANSIDE... MASSAPEQUA...LEVITTOWN...HICKSVILLE...FREEPORT...FARMINGDALE AND BALDWIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 new updraft going up right over mineola. 1" hail marker. Yea i am in the middle of it...pouring rain and thunder but i cant tell from my window if its hailing...the raindrops are huge though...and as im typing lightning right outside office... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Crazy amount of thunder and lightning in that cell. Can hear it non-stop. Looks like its blowing up and I might get in the action as well soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Crazy amount of thunder and lightning in that cell. Can hear it non-stop. Looks like its blowing up and I might get in the action as well soon. last post of the day because im limited still (please change this)...constant thunder hear...pretty crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 Yea i am in the middle of it...pouring rain and thunder but i cant tell from my window if its hailing...the raindrops are huge though...and as im typing lightning right outside office... sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Have some really really insane CTG lightning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 last post of the day because im limited still (please change this)...constant thunder hear...pretty crazy done. enjoy the storm, post some pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 I'm like what in the heck is going on, it's sunny and nice outside but I hear loud thunder. I turn around and see this big gray beast in the sky. I guess it's safe to go outside now that I see it went north & east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 350 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT... * AT 346 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR YONKERS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRONXVILLE...EAST TREMONT...NEW ROCHELLE...CO-OP CITY...CITY ISLAND AND THROGS NECK BRIDGE PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 done. enjoy the storm, post some pics. thanks man. insane here. hardest rain ive seen in a long time. the lightning is intense and the thunder insanely loud. looking out my window and seeing CTG all over the place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 I'm like what in the heck is going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeTwentyFour Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 I love this outbreak forming right over us! Normally we get the left overs which fizzle out before it reaches us but this time we're the center of the action. How long is this kind of action expected today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 This is sitting right on top of me in Carle Place, and doesn't want to budge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 done. enjoy the storm, post some pics. Sunny in Brooklyn but grandparents in long island said had a nice storm before, can you please change my limit to thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 probablity of severe hail is over 90% now near Lake Success Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 max estimated hail on gr2ae is over 2.10" right now. highest i've seen in a long time in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Now there's crazy lighting bolts but it's hot and sunny, I just walked passed a tree that looks to have been struck. I should've stayed home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 This is sitting right on top of me in Carle Place, and doesn't want to budge. 68dbz directly over Lake Success with a 2.15" hail marker. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Cloud tops look monster from here in Plainview. You can also feel the inflow into the storm, feels like a light breeze. Pretty crazy, just continually hearing thunder. I was actually in Albertson at work just before as this was cranking up. Pretty impressive for around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Im ready to drive 5 miles to my east. That is an incredible storm on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Imagine being on the LIE between exits 33 and 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 A new MD has been issued for the Philadelphia and New York City metro for a potential Severe Thunderstorm Watch. 1.usa.gov/qRaPGq TweetDeck • 8/1/11 3:34 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 probablity of severe hail is over 90% now near Lake Success That is using the old severe hail criterion, it was never updated to the new standard, although it looks like a very impressive hail core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 thunder, lightening and hail in Manhasset, NY. And this deluge just won't quit. The awesomeness continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Cloud tops look monster from here in Plainview. You can also feel the inflow into the storm, feels like a light breeze. Pretty crazy, just continually hearing thunder. I was actually in Albertson at work just before as this was cranking up. Pretty impressive for around here. where do you work? i live in albertson...and the winds are picking up...the sky is black...its like 800 at night here...pouring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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