A-L-E-X Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 3pm obs at JFK almost desert like: 92 deg hum 22% My favorite kind of weather in the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Maybe im mistaken, but i thought they did? You are thinking of last year (7/6) when temp reached 105 and was dropped back to 103 for erroneous DT's i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 0z NAM still persistent and showing over 1" of rain for tomorrow. More then 1.50" NW of city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 0z NAM still persistent and showing over 1" of rain for tomorrow. More then 1.50" NW of city. It's getting pushed back though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 0z NAM still persistent and showing over 1" of rain for tomorrow. More then 1.50" NW of city. 0z GFS says what rain. It also shows a dry weekend coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 0z GFS says what rain. It also shows a dry weekend coming up. Please verify!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Please verify!! It shows nothing of the sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 It shows nothing of the sort. Has storms sunday (pm) into monday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 El busto for the rain so far....1st batch going to go well south and west of the area .........Radar does show a batch north of the 1st batch that could get us later, but most of the day looks to be rain free.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Even the models showing rain dont have anything until tonight El busto for the rain so far....1st batch going to go well south and west of the area .........Radar does show a batch north of the 1st batch that could get us later, but most of the day looks to be rain free.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 so is it going to rain or not, yesterday they were saying how today was going to be a washout...how could the models be so poor. Its sunny and beautiful this morning with low humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 so is it going to rain or not, yesterday they were saying how today was going to be a washout...how could the models be so poor. Its sunny and beautiful this morning with low humidity Who is "they?" I saw NO reputable forecasts saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Even the models showing rain dont have anything until tonight u Yesterday they had the rains all day today....maybe we get something tonight, but just read Upton's AFD and they aren't too optimisitc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 6z nam gave up on the all day heavy rain idea. Now in line with every other model and has a little rain for late in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 u Yesterday they had the rains all day today....maybe we get something tonight, but just read Upton's AFD and they aren't too optimisitc No they did not. Only the NAM did. Euro, CMC and GFS had very little and only late in day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 ouch. so much for the high's in the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 6z nam gave up on the all day heavy rain idea. Now in line with every other model and has a little rain for late in the day. Barely any rain....the qpf totals give NYC nothing. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAPA_6z/f39.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 So the 0Z NAM that came out just 10 hours agofor an event TODAY is completely wrong and has shifted dramatically? This is going to be a fun winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Gotta love it when clouds dont get in the way. A couple of more hours of some unexpected sun for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Barely any rain....the qpf totals give NYC nothing. http://www.meteo.psu...TAPA_6z/f39.gif Yup. NAM went from 1.25" of rain for 5 runs in a row to now ZERO for NYC. GFS still has about .40", later in the day. 0z UKIE very similar to GFS as well. CMC has virtually nothing also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Looking at radar, its appears virtually impossible that it isnt going to rain later. Unless all the rain doesnt hold up, by the time it gets here. Doubt that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Yup. NAM went from 1.25" of rain for 5 runs in a row to now ZERO for NYC. GFS still has about .40", later in the day. 0z UKIE very similar to GFS as well. CMC has virtually nothing also. The euro had a few runs with some heavy rains as well through monday morning then went drier. Looks like Saturday will be mainly dry too with storms coming through overnight into sunday. Then more normal next week, maybe squeak a 90 here or there. Perhaps warmber by the 8/14 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 The euro had a few runs with some heavy rains as well through monday morning then went drier. Looks like Saturday will be mainly dry too with storms coming through overnight into sunday. Then more normal next week, maybe squeak a 90 here or there. Perhaps warmber by the 8/14 again. Yeah. The euro overall is a warm pattern. 85-95 for the next 10 days and beyond. Only rain and clouds will hold us down below 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 When does the NAM upgrade happen? Not soon enough apprarantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 12z NAM is back to a rainy solution. But for 6pm thru tomorrow morning. .50"+ Thru hour 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 When does the NAM upgrade happen? Not soon enough apprarantly. They have it running in the parallel slot now.It looks like they are aiming for a full implementation on 9/13/11. http://www.nco.ncep....wpara/analysis/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 12z NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 12z NAM: I think some of that is convective and not synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 I think some of that is convective and not synoptic. Yup. Most of it is convective. Sim radar clearly shows that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 That map makes little sense given the current radar unless heavier stuff develops well to our north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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