TheTrials Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 How's Saturday looking on the Euro? Euro has a lot of rain north from CT into Mass at 12z SUNDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I guess that's why Upton hasn't really has us at > 40% POPs bust o rama for the NAM or it's the correct outlier...I'm betting on no rain at all for NYC N and E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 NAM is on its own now. 12Z Euro is way south of the NAM and much less wet. NAM must be having convective feedback or something. GGEM also shows a decent amount of rain for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 NAM is on its own now. 12Z Euro is way south of the NAM and much less wet. NAM must be having convective feedback or something. How much precip does the euro actually show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 12z Canadian drops close to .50" over NYC 12z UKIE very similar. Maybe a tad wetter. I suspect Euro is similar to that. NAM is not an outlier. Its wetter, as it usually is, but the way to interpret that is that there will be some strong convection mixed in with the rain and someone can recieve a good amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 12z GGEM is dry for Saturday and most of Sunday. Looks like rain moves in Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 How much precip does the euro actually show? barely .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 3pm obs at JFK almost desert like: 92 deg hum 22% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 How many rain events are we going to talk about here? One person is talking about Wednesday the other guy is responding by referring to Saturday and the next guy is telling the other two they are both wrong and that it's going to rain on Sunday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 How many rain events are we going to talk about here? One person is talking about Wednesday the other guy is responding by referring to Saturday and the next guy is telling the other two they are both wrong and that it's going to rain on Sunday lol. Yeah. We have a possible event tomorrow. Let's try to keep on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 18z NAM continues to hit our area. It actually shifted everything NORTH. Srefs have also been persistent with a north track. Looks like at least 1" into NYC, out to hour 39. Edit...Thru hour 42: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Nmm came in really dry while the ARW has .25-.50 of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 18Z RGEM has axis of heavy rain just south of the area. As I pointed out yesterday, if this were January, we would be grasping at every six hour model shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 There seems be a lot of uncertainty regarding tomorrow. Pretty pathetic considering the lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 There seems be a lot of uncertainty regarding tomorrow. Pretty pathetic considering the lead time. Complicated convective scenarios muck up the models in winter and summer. Shouldn't surprise anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Problems with LGA temp sensor? All NYC-area sites were from 7 to 10 degrees above normal for today's highs, except LGA which was only 4 degrees above normal. It seems like this has been a sudden trend of late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Problems with LGA temp sensor? All NYC-area sites were from 7 to 10 degrees above normal for today's highs, except LGA which was only 4 degrees above normal. It seems like this has been a sudden trend of late? The winds have been consistently coming off the water for LGA, whether it is NNW or NE or ENE. Not that common during the summer, hence the higher temps on the south shore as of late as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Problems with LGA temp sensor? All NYC-area sites were from 7 to 10 degrees above normal for today's highs, except LGA which was only 4 degrees above normal. It seems like this has been a sudden trend of late? The normal is 85-87 areawide today. LGA is always the coolest spot with a north, ne, east or northwest wind. LI sound is 75 degrees. Just like JFK is always the coolest spot with a south wind. Nothing wrong with the sensor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 There seems be a lot of uncertainty regarding tomorrow. Pretty pathetic considering the lead time. agreed, how can the models be so bad in a situation just 12-18 hours away. I want to know if I will get a full day of cutting in. Euro says yes I will but will it be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I have come to learn recently that its fairly easy to incorrectly install the ASOS aspirator fans such that they are blowing air from the wrong direction. That makes a difference with temperatures, with the "wrong" direction being warmer than the "right" direction. Maybe LGA was installed incorrectly for a while, but was recently fixed? This may also explain the warm bias TTN and some other stations down by Philly are experiencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 I have come to learn recently that its fairly easy to incorrectly install the ASOS aspirator fans such that they are blowing air from the wrong direction. That makes a difference with temperatures, with the "wrong" direction being warmer than the "right" direction. Maybe LGA was installed incorrectly for a while, but was recently fixed? This may also explain the warm bias TTN and some other stations down by Philly are experiencing. Was that Newarks problem when they hit 108, then downgraded to 106? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 I think someone can make a run at 120oF in Oklahoma on Tuesday. Tulsa International Airport today: High: 112oF Low: 87oF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Was that Newarks problem when they hit 108, then downgraded to 106? Did they change the July 22nd maximum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 The normal is 85-87 areawide today. LGA is always the coolest spot with a north, ne, east or northwest wind. LI sound is 75 degrees. Just like JFK is always the coolest spot with a south wind. Nothing wrong with the sensor. This is why people think were the same person. I posted the same thing already lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Did they change the July 22nd maximum? Yea I was about to ask the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Yea I was about to ask the same thing. Maybe im mistaken, but i thought they did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Maybe im mistaken, but i thought they did? I don't believe so. NCDC and NWS products all still show the high on the 7/22 as being 108. Perhaps you're thinking of last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Tulsa International Airport today: High: 112oF Low: 87oF Tomorrow? ZONE FORECASTS FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 534 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2011 OKZ060-030915- TULSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULSA 534 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2011 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY... ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .THROUGH TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HEAT INDEX READINGS 100 TO 114 IN THE EVENING. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 114. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 There seems be a lot of uncertainty regarding tomorrow. Pretty pathetic considering the lead time. I expect you will be typing this out a lot in the winter too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 92 degrees here in Long Beach now. That was the high here also. Number 15! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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