tmagan Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Negatively tilted trough plus southerly winds surface and aloft equals beaucoup rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Anybody have the euro qpf output? Looks solid on the ewall maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Anybody have the euro qpf output? Looks solid on the ewall maps. I do. 50 bucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 EF0 tornado just confirmed in Monmouth County on Tuesday, NJ's first tornado of the year: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 301 PM EDT THU AUG 11 2011 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR BERGEN MILLS IN MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW JERSEY... LOCATION...BERGEN MILLS IN MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW JERSEY DATE...08/09/11 ESTIMATED TIME...2:30 PM EDT MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF 0 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...70 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...50 YARDS PATH LENGTH...1/2 MILE BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.25 N 74.43 W ENDING LAT/LON...40.27 N 74.41 W * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0 ...SUMMARY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO NEAR BERGEN MILLS IN MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW JERSEY ON 08/09/11. THE TORNADO STARTED 1/2 MILE NORTH OF BUONO FARM AND TRACKED NORTHEAST CROSSING HIGHWAY 33 IN BERGEN MILLS DAMAGING A FLAGPOLE AND FENCE AT THE XTREME MACHINES SHOP. NUMEROUS TREE BRANCHES WERE DOWN ALONG THE PATH. THE TORNADO MOVED ALONG ARROWHEAD WAY BEFORE LIFTING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 EF0 tornado just confirmed in Monmouth County on Tuesday: Some videos here: http://www.nj.com/we...n_monmouth.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Wow, not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Wow, not bad! I seriously want to move to Monmouth county; you guys always seem to be in the bullseye for extreme weather in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 18z GFS gives the NYC metro area 2+ inches: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 18z GFS gives the NYC metro area 2+ inches: Amazing turnaround rain-wise since the mega heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Does anyone think that the unusually warm waters off the Delmarva is going to cause storms in the fall and winter to redevelop off the Jersey Shore? We already saw it with the last storm and now were seeing it with the next storm. The Longrange models are also showing scenarios in which storm continuously redevelop off the Jersey shore. Are the warm waters something to be considered about for winter or will it re-adjust before the season starts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 12z euro is 2 inches of rain for the area.....jersey shore and LI get less then that, but still over a inch.......eastern PA and western nj are the sweet spot for rain on the euro. These type of systems seem to always have the heavy rain to our west....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 I'm going to be in the Northeast Poconos, and I'm expecting a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 12z euro is 2 inches of rain for the area.....jersey shore and LI get less then that, but still over a inch.......eastern PA and western nj are the sweet spot for rain on the euro. These type of systems seem to always have the heavy rain to our west....... If it's not a big synoptic kind of rain event and rather one that fires T-storms in the afternoon, those always favor NJ, just about always. I remember July 2006 quite well where they got deluged and I watched the CB's develop from Long Island just to see them turn to nothing by the time they made it here. We barely had drops to count and they had huge flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 If it's not a big synoptic kind of rain event and rather one that fires T-storms in the afternoon, those always favor NJ, just about always. I remember July 2006 quite well where they got deluged and I watched the CB's develop from Long Island just to see them turn to nothing by the time they made it here. We barely had drops to count and they had huge flooding. Thanks for the response.....i believe i remeber that also...... Last september we had a the same type of set-up, watch the rain to our west all day. I believe a few on the board stay up to watch the line of convection come through. We ended up getting a inch of rain the next day.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Thanks for the response.....i believe i remeber that also...... Last september we had a the same type of set-up, watch the rain to our west all day. I believe a few on the board stay up to watch the line of convection come through. We ended up getting a inch of rain the next day.......... nicole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 I'm going to be in the Northeast Poconos, and I'm expecting a deluge. So far we are around 3.00 inches above normal past 30 days with rainfall.. We have been in a real hot spot in terms of rainfall this summer. If this could only be the case during the past couple of winters lol. I'm in Pike county, alittle southwest of Milford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 nicole Thanks Forky...that was it.....Had some gusty winds and heavy bands of rain the next day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 I seriously want to move to Monmouth county; you guys always seem to be in the bullseye for extreme weather in NJ. Yeah not gonna lie the past couple years have seen a huge turnaround in terms of interesting wx. We go from 8-15" winters with boring summers in the 2006-2008 period, then immediately following are 70"+ and 60" winters, extreme heat, great T-storm season this summer, and a tornado touchdown. Now I'm waiting for the hurricane hit. But hoping it can be timed properly, b/c I'll be going back to PA in about a week, Philly area, which tends to be slightly less interesting wx wise (although sometimes T-storms are more frequent in SE PA). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Good radiational cooling night, crystal clear. Down to 61.3 after a high of 81.7 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Down to 55.9 here in the Poconos already, the high was around 77. Feels great! Perfect windows open sleeping weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 I'm cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 So far we are around 3.00 inches above normal past 30 days with rainfall.. We have been in a real hot spot in terms of rainfall this summer. If this could only be the case during the past couple of winters lol. I'm in Pike county, alittle southwest of Milford. There's a serious swatch of above-average rainfall in NE PA and the Catskills since July, and the isolated nature of summertime thunderstomsh: Good radiational cooling night, crystal clear. Down to 61.3 after a high of 81.7 today. We're at 66.7/57. Given the time on the clock, I doubt the NWS verifies with a low in 57Fhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Down to 54* up this way @ 1:15... 40's maybe within reach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted August 12, 2011 Author Share Posted August 12, 2011 There was a bit of a chill tnt when i was out. The ccool air mass FTW. !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 our heaviest rains will probably occur sunday night after 00z with the development of a secondary low pressure system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Where are 850s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Got down to 55º...back up to 70º. Gonna be a gorgeous day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 We're at 66.7/57. Given the time on the clock, I doubt the NWS verifies with a low in 57Fhere Got down to 55 here, actually cooler than I thought. 73 right now, gorgeous morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Got down to 56.7 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 What a ridiculously gorgeous morning right now. Easily a top 5 all time day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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