wx.1028 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I think i see an outflow boundary on radar with those cells in rockland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Typical thunderstorm, nothing special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I don't know if today will be the last 90 degree day, but the pattern over the next 2-3 weeks suggests a normal to somewhat below normal temp regime over the Northeast. Upper ridge position will be pulling back into the Rockies, and many more cold front will be allowed to swing through the Lakes and Northeast. In fact, there are a few autumnal shots of air on the 12z data. Later this week we have cooling, then another cold front early next week, and mroe troughiness through the 20th. I can see Tony's point re warming the last week to 10 days, but overall, the big heat of summer 2011 has ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I don't know if today will be the last 90 degree day, but the pattern over the next 2-3 weeks suggests a normal to somewhat below normal temp regime over the Northeast. Upper ridge position will be pulling back into the Rockies, and many more cold front will be allowed to swing through the Lakes and Northeast. In fact, there are a few autumnal shots of air on the 12z data. Later this week we have cooling, then another cold front early next week, and mroe troughiness through the 20th. I can see Tony's point re warming the last week to 10 days, but overall, the big heat of summer 2011 has ended. Gulf of Alaska troughiness teleconnects to Lakes/NE US trough given the shorter wavelengths at this time of year (a winter time GOA trough usually spells disaster). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I think i see an outflow boundary on radar with those cells in rockland. Most definitely, they could bring some brief strong winds to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I don't know if today will be the last 90 degree day, but the pattern over the next 2-3 weeks suggests a normal to somewhat below normal temp regime over the Northeast. Upper ridge position will be pulling back into the Rockies, and many more cold front will be allowed to swing through the Lakes and Northeast. In fact, there are a few autumnal shots of air on the 12z data. Later this week we have cooling, then another cold front early next week, and mroe troughiness through the 20th. I can see Tony's point re warming the last week to 10 days, but overall, the big heat of summer 2011 has ended. It probably won't be enough to send August below average, but I think final departures will be pretty close to normal (-1 to +1). The strong positives are mostly behind us, at least through day 15. I'm expecting September to bring plenty of warmth/humidity w/ the eastern ridge rebuilding. Generally this occurs in warm AMO seasons and analogs point to a mild Sept, i.e. 2008, which is one of my favorite years still (then a cold October followed, but that's getting too far ahead). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Looking at the Euro and GFS today, they are both showing average to below average for the entire NE, for the next 2 weeks. 90 degrees will still be reached though. You dont need a very hot airmass to reach 90 degrees, this time of year. I would say its safe to say 98+, will not be reached in NYC, LGA and JFK, for the next 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Wow thunderstorm shield in full effect that storm amazingly just decided to exit right on me LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I HIGHLY doubt this is our last 90 degree day. I hate when people make wild weather predictions. It'd be funny if we hit 90 on Wednesday. Once October arrives I'll start hating weather again until March/April. Fall isn't on my mind at all lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 might have been the outflow boundary or whatever, were having some very gusty north winds in nassau well ahead of the storm...maybe 34 mph, up to 40...and sunshining.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I HIGHLY doubt this is our last 90 degree day. I hate when people make wild weather predictions. It'd be funny if we hit 90 on Wednesday. "Could be". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 "Could be". I know, I just doubt that. It has gotten very windy in the past 5 minutes. It feels nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 those storms took a quick right turn and are going to miss me by about 5 miles...eastern nassau special... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 That cell about to move into Rockland/Bergen, though it appears to be weakening, could make it down into the city those storms took a quick right turn and are going to miss me by about 5 miles...eastern nassau special... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Very windy now. Gusts past 30mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 You dont need a very hot airmass to reach 90 degrees, this time of year. Don't know about that, averages are declining and a couple weeks from now we do need pretty hot airmasses to exceed 90. The frequency of 90 degree days tend to fall off rapidly post August 20th-25th, and the pattern through that time period looks normal to slightly below. Maybe Newark will still hit 90F while the rest of us our 80-85; I would never make a non-heat prediction for EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Very windy now. Gusts past 30mph. LGA recorded a gust to 31 last hour and the temp dropped from 90-81... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 might have been the outflow boundary or whatever, were having some very gusty north winds in nassau well ahead of the storm...maybe 34 mph, up to 40...and sunshining.. It was the outflow boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 LGA recorded a gust to 31 last hour and the temp dropped from 90-81... Yup was 89 now at 79. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Gusted around 30 mph here with the gustfront. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 After the first few days of AUG 1994 and 2006,the heat ended and didnt come back.There were no more 90 degree days.I would not be suprised if we didnt hit 90 again.I hope that is the case.A Cold DEC/JAN is looking very promising,especially JAN.The fact that we had our 100+ degree readings in July makes that very promising.JULY 1977,1980,1991,1993,1995,1999 and 2010 ALL hit 100 degrees and ALL of the Januarys that followed were cold except for 2 (JAN 1992 and JAN 2000 had the cold come right at mid month after warm first halves) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Finally it looks like a good hit for me soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 nice little storm here. unfortunately only drizzle. lots of thunder and a rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 90 yesterday, 90 today, can I squeak out Heatwave #7 with enough sun tomorrow? as for today being the last 90...no way no how you watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 90 yesterday, 90 today, can I squeak out Heatwave #7 with enough sun tomorrow? as for today being the last 90...no way no how you watch Made it to 87F here today, but the humidity is stifling again. Can't wait for the cold front Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Nice little preview of ULL season. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 Sure looked good on radar a bit but......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 So gross out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 So gross out. I want now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 8, 2011 Share Posted August 8, 2011 I want now! Soon enough. We have been begun the step down towards winter. Pumped already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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