nycsnow Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 06z NAM has major rains mid-week, looks like a 994 mb low passing just south of LI Wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Upto the mid 80s here in C-NJ big breaks of sun and down right hot/humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Semi-grotesque tropical feel here out in Port Jeff where showers departed about an hour ago. Pretty good rain this morning. Certainly would like a hot, dry end to August unless we can sneak a tropical storm in here. Hard to picture a place like New Orleans feeling worse than this right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 12z GFS continues to insist on big rains for the NJ shore today/tonight while the NAM has nothing of the sort. 85F and sauna out there. 76 dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 12z GFS continues to insist on big rains for the NJ shore today/tonight while the NAM has nothing of the sort. 85F and sauna out there. 76 dew. Upto 88 here. We've really lucked out this weekend here, able to get both days in rain free and some sun. Today looks like most places will reach 90. I goto 8 yesterday and 87 on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 12PM Roundup: TEB: 86 NYC: 85 EWR: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 85 ISP: 83 BLM: 88 TTN: 85 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 12z GFS continues to insist on big rains for the NJ shore today/tonight while the NAM has nothing of the sort. 85F and sauna out there. 76 dew. It's wrong already. It had .50" thru hour 6, which is in 1.5 hours. Then pounds Jersey shore with 1"+ from 2pm-2am and .50"-.75" for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 we could get a few scattered strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon. spc wrf has them, isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 decent morning sounding. Sweat is up there. A few supercells could be possible especially areas that have had good sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 decent morning sounding. Sweat is up there. A few supercells could be possible especially areas that have had good sun. Def a saturated colum, so heavy rain/FF should be a threat. Lapse rates are meak, so the absence of cold air aloft should limit any widespread threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Some weak storms developing along the sea-breeze front along the north shore of Long Island per KOKX radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 I hope so because right now the radar looks quite putrid DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054- 055-060>062-067>071-071915- 210 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAIN AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE AND MARYLAND'S EASTERN SHORE BETWEEN 330 PM AND 730 PM. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE 1 INCH OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES CAUSING STREET FLOODING. THE STORMS CAN ALSO PRODUCE WIND STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK A FEW TREE LIMBS WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES CAUSING A FEW POWER OUTAGES. STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING MID AFTERNOON AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AS THEY MOVE INTO NEW JERSEY...EASTERN MARYLAND AND DELAWARE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 7 PM. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY NOT ARRIVE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL COMMUNITIES UNTIL NEAR 7 PM OR 8 PM. MARINERS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR 35 KNOT WIND GUSTS WITH ANY STORM LATE TODAY OR THIS EVENING. PLEASE MONITOR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR UPDATED STATEMENTS...AND OR WARNINGS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Semi-grotesque tropical feel here out in Port Jeff where showers departed about an hour ago. Pretty good rain this morning. Certainly was with several periods of torrential downpours... only drought-like summer in the 2000's I can recall out here was in 2005...the t-storms find a way to pass through town... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Upto 88 here. We've really lucked out this weekend here, able to get both days in rain free and some sun. Today looks like most places will reach 90. I goto 8 yesterday and 87 on Friday. I did get to 90 here before the clouds moved back in-- should reach 90 with ease again tomorrow. We'll be up to 17 90+ days here by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 I did get to 90 here before the clouds moved back in-- should reach 90 with ease again tomorrow. We'll be up to 17 90+ days here by then. How come so many? I saw that JFK only had twelve.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 80/76 here. M Sunny. Sticky & sweaty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 90F here. 17th day of 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 How come so many? I saw that JFK only had twelve.... Well they've also had 7 89 degree days last I checked-- some of those ended up being 90-91 here, as I'm 3 miles away from the Ocean lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Well they've also had 7 89 degree days last I checked-- some of those ended up being 90-91 here, as I'm 3 miles away from the Ocean lol. Sounds reasonable to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Sounds reasonable to me... It's actually 15 as of today (I got a bit ahead of myself with the numbers lol), so I have 3 more than them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 storms getting organized pretty quickly over the catskills coming into sullivan and orange. Plenty of instability now, they should make it even if they do lose a little punch,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 storms getting organized pretty quickly over the catskills coming into sullivan and orange. Plenty of instability now, they should make it even if they do lose a little punch,. Hoping something can hit Brooklyn for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 I canceled a photoshoot today because I worried about the weather... Kinda stupid since the chance of a storm hitting Brooklyn is less than the chance of a 40" snowstorm this winter. Hoping something can hit Brooklyn for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 It's broiling out in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 It's broiling out in the sun. Did you hit 90 today? Tomorrow will be even hotter-- though less humid (yay for that NW wind expected tomorrow lol.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Did you hit 90 today? Tomorrow will be even hotter-- though less humid (yay for that NW wind expected tomorrow lol.) The high was 86.7F today in Dobbs Ferry, but felt worse with the stifling humidity.I've emptied the basement dehumidifier four times in the last two days, and the bucket holds around 1/2 gallon of water. OVC 84.3/77 NW@7 Kind of difficult to imagine we could have such high dewpoints with NW winds...looking forward to the first autumnal cold front on Thursday/Friday, going to feel wonderful. This is the time of year when you start to see the first signs of cold air building into the high latitudes on the models, and you dream of a crisp October day with leaves dancing in fresh NW breezes. You can see the return of the -10C isotherm at 850mb on the GFS at 180 hours, always a good sign of the sun setting: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Yup, I think JFK will roast tomorrow with those NW winds and lower dew points-- that's my favorite kind of summer day I love winter and summer-- but I dont get very enthused about spring or fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 The high was 86.7F today in Dobbs Ferry, but felt worse with the stifling humidity.I've emptied the basement dehumidifier four times in the last two days, and the bucket holds around 1/2 gallon of water. OVC84.3/77NW@7Kind of difficult to imagine we could have such high dewpoints with NW winds...looking forward to the first autumnal cold front on Thursday/Friday, going to feel wonderful. This is the time of year when you start to see the first signs of cold air building into the high latitudes on the models, and you dream of a crisp October day with leaves dancing in fresh NW breezes. You can see the return of the -10C isotherm at 850mb on the GFS at 180 hours, always a good sign of the sun setting: I would love to see these temps and dewpoints,but the most likely scenario is for temps to be 5-7 degrees warmer but with hopefully keep the lower dewpoints.The models always have a cool bias this time of year especially.The SSTs are to warm at this point to really allow any cooler air to reach us.I will be happy with lower dewpoints and temps in the mid and upper 80s. BTW,Larry Cosgrove believes that we are done for the truly scorching heat.Hopefully that is the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 I would love to see these temps and dewpoints,but the most likely scenario is for temps to be 5-7 degrees warmer but with hopefully keep the lower dewpoints.The models always have a cool bias this time of year especially.The SSTs are to warm at this point to really allow any cooler air to reach us.I will be happy with lower dewpoints and temps in the mid and upper 80s. BTW,Larry Cosgrove believes that we are done for the truly scorching heat.Hopefully that is the case. Actually I dont think you would mind it if it touched 90 degrees but the humidity was like 20%-- it also means more comfortable sleeping weather and deep blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Actually I dont think you would mind it if it touched 90 degrees but the humidity was like 20%-- it also means more comfortable sleeping weather and deep blue skies <img src='http://208.71.34.143/public/style_emoticons/default/smile.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' /> 90 is to warm for my tastes.Give me 83 and 50 dewpoints and I will run with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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