dsaur Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 :gun_bandana: The last hurricane to make landfall on the Georgia Coast was Hurricane David (1979). Hurricane David made landfall on the Georgia Coast south of Savannah as a Category 1 hurricane. In the U.S., Hurricane David caused $320 million in damages and 15 fatalities. In total, four hurricanes made landfall on the Georgia Coast during the 20th Century: 1911, 1940, 1947, and 1979. The ones that come up through Apalachicola, or in the bend are the ones that have caused me the most house damage. The tree damage king for me is Ivan...coming up the other way. A direct slam into the east coast and cutting Ga in two, I've not seen, and something tells me I don't want to see it. A cat 5 into Sav. then on through here just doesn't seem fun One, Opal, I guess, came up from the bend and tore down my shed and threw it in the bathroom window.... though I'd think the winds in the Bliz. were in the same range, but all they did was scare the hell out of me...who was living in a pine forest, lol, but didn't do any damage, just gave me the thrill of a life time. So....did you and Jose celebrate the wedding, and your parental freedom, or were you a good girl? Lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 "Georgia specials" come from when hurricanes hit the FL panhandle and race northward very quickly like Opal did in 1995. If a hurricane hits the east coast then 99% of the time it will have little impact on me, unless it hits the east coast of FL and then enters the Gulf and moves north. Georgia might as well be considered a Gulf Coast state when it comes to Hurricane Season. You live near the border of Alabama, you don't represent the entire state of Georgia. Opal was good for folks in the western areas of Georgia (if you like TS force winds with hurricane gusts.). A true Georgia special will come up the east side of the state, near the Savannah area. If a hurricane came from that direction it would impact many, many more GEORGIANS. Your attitude is always very bleak, try and lighten up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 The ones that come up through Apalachicola, or in the bend are the ones that have caused me the most house damage. The tree damage king for me is Ivan...coming up the other way. A direct slam into the east coast and cutting Ga in two, I've not seen, and something tells me I don't want to see it. A cat 5 into Sav. then on through here just doesn't seem fun One, Opal, I guess, came up from the bend and tore down my shed and threw it in the bathroom window.... though I'd think the winds in the Bliz. were in the same range, but all they did was scare the hell out of me...who was living in a pine forest, lol, but didn't do any damage, just gave me the thrill of a life time. So....did you and Jose celebrate the wedding, and your parental freedom, or were you a good girl? Lol. T I agree on a track from the panhandle bringing damage to GA, but to me that wouldn't be a "Georgia Special". The second bolded to me would be a "Georgia Special". The last time I experienced any tropical excitement was from Beryl as he made his way threw SC back in '94 I have been a good girl BUT....I have warned Jose that our next date will be a special day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Here's an update on the heat this year in Atlanta. # of 90+ days through August 17: 2011 = 72 2010 = 58 Atlanta ended up with 85 days of 90+ last year, which was 2nd only to 1980 in terms of 90+ days. Atlanta is well ahead of last year's pace which makes me wonder if Atlanta could end up breaking 1980's all time record of 90 days of 90+. Atlanta has never had two consecutive years of 80 days of 90+. There have only been 3 years in recorded history of Atlanta having 80 or more days of 90+ ( 1954, 1980, 2010). Average # of 90+ days for a year is only 42 in Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 WOW! The heat index is lower than the actual temperature due to how dry it is here in the Atlanta area. DP's in the low to mid 50's for the win!!! I'm headed to a Braves game tonight and I think my tickets could not have fallen on a better date with how beautiful it will be tonight!! I went to the game too. Sat about 5 rows up from Braves dugout. Best game I think I've ever gone too. Currently a chilly 89 degrees here lol. Feels good with the lower humidity levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 The latest run of the GFS almost reminds me of Hugo with the system way out in the Atlantic only it makes landfall further south and comes inland further west. Of coarse the next run could have it back over New Orleans. The last two out of three runs of the EURO never really develops this system. ONe thing for sure this wave has a very large cyclonic envelop meaning it will take some time to consolidate its energy and it looks like it may have to fight off the SAL so it should be a slow developer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 You live near the border of Alabama, you don't represent the entire state of Georgia. Opal was good for folks in the western areas of Georgia (if you like TS force winds with hurricane gusts.). A true Georgia special will come up the east side of the state, near the Savannah area. If a hurricane came from that direction it would impact many, many more GEORGIANS. Your attitude is always very bleak, try and lighten up a bit. Actually a hurricane that came from the Gulf would almost always impact more Georgians than a hurricane that hit Savannah and moved through Eastern Georgia, since the vast majority of Georgians live in the western half of the state ( all of Metro Atlanta is in the Western Half of Georgia). Also if a storm moved through Eastern Georgia the impacts on Metro Atlanta would be much less than if it moved through Eastern AL or Western GA since being on the east side of a storm usually brings more impacts than being on the west side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Actually a hurricane that came from the Gulf would almost always impact more Georgians than a hurricane that hit Savannah and moved through Eastern Georgia, since the vast majority of Georgians live in the western half of the state ( all of Metro Atlanta is in the Western Half of Georgia). If a hurricane made landfall in Georgia of very near, it would impact more Georgians in a significant way. The ones that come up from the panhandle will weaken and there is no storm surge effecting georgians. If a hurricane ever makes landfall again in Georgia it will be ugly. The shape of the coast for one makes the storm surge very bad with a strong storm. If a hurricane plowed though the GA coast and then split the state in half you can't argue that that would have less of an impact than a FLA panhandle hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 The latest run of the GFS almost reminds me of Hugo with the system way out in the Atlantic only it makes landfall further south and comes inland further west. Of coarse the next run could have it back over New Orleans. The last two out of three runs of the EURO never really develops this system. ONe thing for sure this wave has a very large cyclonic envelop meaning it will take some time to consolidate its energy and it looks like it may have to fight off the SAL so it should be a slow developer. And if I'm mistaken the slower it takes to develop the more of a threat this system is for the US correct ? (given it actually does develop). BTW, don't know if you guys have really looked at the long range forecasts issued by the Farmer's Almanac, but they have had this mentioned for quite a few months now. Could be just a lucky guess, but interesting none the less. August 2011 16th-19th. Scattered thunderstorms. 20th-23rd. Pleasant, turning unsettled. 24th-27th. Hazy and humid, with scattered thunderstorms. 28th-31st. Hot and steamy. A hurricane threat for the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 If a hurricane made landfall in Georgia of very near, it would impact more Georgians in a significant way. The ones that come up from the panhandle will weaken and there is no storm surge effecting georgians. If a hurricane ever makes landfall again in Georgia it will be ugly. The shape of the coast for one makes the storm surge very bad with a strong storm. If a hurricane plowed though the GA coast and then split the state in half you can't argue that that would have less of an impact than a FLA panhandle hit. There's no doubt that a hurricane making landfall on the Georgia coast would impact more Georgians in a significant way, although the odds are that if a hurricane did hit Georgia less Georgians would be impacted since it seems like almost all storms that hit the East Coast end up curving north or northeast before reaching the highly populated areas of Georgia. By the way, does anyone know of any hurricanes that hit the east coast ( not including Florida) and ended up having a significant impact on Atlanta ? I can't think of any that comes to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 And if I'm mistaken the slower it takes to develop the more of a threat this system is for the US correct ? (given it actually does develop). BTW, don't know if you guys have really looked at the long range forecasts issued by the Farmer's Almanac, but they have had this mentioned for quite a few months now. Could be just a lucky guess, but interesting none the less. August 2011 16th-19th. Scattered thunderstorms. 20th-23rd. Pleasant, turning unsettled. 24th-27th. Hazy and humid, with scattered thunderstorms. 28th-31st. Hot and steamy. A hurricane threat for the Southeast. Correct, generally the weaker these systems remain the further south they tend to track and the less chance of being picked up by a trough before reaching as far west as the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 This makes quite a few runs the GFS has had the storm hit either the Georgia or SC coast. But it still doesn't mean all that much even for it's consistency since its so far out in time, basically still a 10 day prog. But the one thing to keep an eye on is how far north the westerlies are. Both GFS and ECM have the belt well north at the US/Canada border and the mean trough is in eastern Canada by the time the storm is getting near the Bahamas or Dom. Republic., so if thats the case, then the steering currents would be the Bermuda high to its northeast, and the storm would continue basically northwest aiming for the opening or a weakness between the 2 main closed highs (southern Rockies/Plains, and the Bermuda Ridge). So that still leaves the door from anywhere along the Texas or Gulf Coast, to the East coast. It would be fascinating to have a GA coast hit since thats so incredibly rare (not rooting for damage) but the track would be very beneficial for rains in all the Carolinas and most of GA except maybe northeast NC, and sw GA. One thing not shown yet, and that I wouldn't be surprised to pop up, is a weak closed 5H low in the Gulf or lower Miss. Valley . A decayed front, stalled between the 2 major ridges will be around, and sometimes ahead of incoming tropical systems, closed lows develop. I think that happened with Hugo. I've seen it with other systems as well. Another thing I'm impressed with is how the 2 main globals keep the westerlies so far north. They lift the trough out of the east just in time really to allow the northwest motion or west/northwest without the northerly re-curve which occurs with so many systems. But the models could easily be missing a deeper eastern trough at that time, so nothing is a real safe bet yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 It seems like it's been forever since we a decent tropical storm or hurricane move through here, although I'm sure it's the weenie in me making me feel like that. The latest 2 gfs runs continues this idea though. It's pretty incredible actually it has been so consistent on it for being so far out in the future. It would be quite the coup for the gfs if it even gets close to being right ( any U.S. landfall). I have my doubts though due to the fact the gfs, as you noted, is showing some pretty strong troughs in that time frame and the odds of the gfs actually getting their timing and depth right at this range is almost zero. But that's not to say one can't hit the US at all, just that such an ideal path for most of us is pretty unlikely. I'm still waiting for my ga special...where a strong hurricane hits the ga coast at a high speed and moves towards a position between athens and gainesville I'd probably have to live several lifetimes before that happens though lol not necessarily the weenie, its true!! its been what, 4 years since a tropical system affected n ga? and when it did we had like several in a row. not only that, i realized the other day its going on nearly 6 years since we had a cad/ice event of any consequence. i miss the tropical systems, but after all the snow over ice the last two years i wont complain as much about the lack of cads (although they sure are a heck of a lot of fun to follow) The ones that come up through Apalachicola, or in the bend are the ones that have caused me the most house damage. The tree damage king for me is Ivan...coming up the other way. i'll second that! ivan tops them all for wind and damage. in addition to a bunch of rain, we had no power for several days. there was a ton of damage to the trees, power lines, etc - its been a long time prior to (and after lol) ivan that i have seen sustained winds that high. the trees and bushes here were really bending and whipping around Wow foothills- i would love to see even half the rain in that map, we really need it. although we need to do something about the sharp cut off to the west and expand the heavier rains some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Latest from HPC: THE ONLY CHANGE TO FINAL GRAPHICS WAS TO ADJUST AN ERN CONUS COLDFRONT FASTER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AFTER IT BECAME OBVIOUS THAT ALL THE NEW 12Z DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE NEW GFS...WAS STAYING AWAY FROM THE SLOWER 00Z AND 06Z GFS FAMILY OF SOLUTIONS IN CANADA DAYS 6-7 WHICH HAD ALSO BEEN SUPPORTED BY THE 00Z DGEX/CANADIAN. IN RESPONSE TO SOMEWHAT FLATTER FLOW UPSTREAM ACROSS SWRN CANADA THAN CONSENSUS OF 00Z GUIDANCE...THE NEW ECMWF AND GFS ARE FILLING/LIFTING OUT THE TROF ALONG THE E COAST OF THE CONUS FASTER BY NEXT WED DAY 7 THAN THEIR 00Z CONTINUITY. IF UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN BEHIND THIS DEPARTING TROF FROM THE ATLANTIC...IT WOULD OPEN THE DOOR FOR TROPICAL ACTIVITY TO AFFECT THE SE COAST OF THE LOWER 48 BEYOND A WEEKS TIME. HPC AND NHC WILL BE FOLLOWING A WAVE ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT WEEK...EXPECTING IT TO BE SOMEWHERE VICINITY OF THE BAHAMAS BY THIS TIME NEXT WEEK. PLEASE STAY CURRENT ON NHC DISCUSSIONS OVER THE NEXT WEEK. Key word "IF" http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 The ones that come up through Apalachicola, or in the bend are the ones that have caused me the most house damage. The tree damage king for me is Ivan...coming up the other way. A direct slam into the east coast and cutting Ga in two, I've not seen, and something tells me I don't want to see it. A cat 5 into Sav. then on through here just doesn't seem fun One, Opal, I guess, came up from the bend and tore down my shed and threw it in the bathroom window.... though I'd think the winds in the Bliz. were in the same range, but all they did was scare the hell out of me...who was living in a pine forest, lol, but didn't do any damage, just gave me the thrill of a life time. So....did you and Jose celebrate the wedding, and your parental freedom, or were you a good girl? Lol. T Ivan was bad here but Opal ripped us a new one. I missed 2 or 3 days of school and we had countless trees down. I'll never forget the clouds the morning after. They were moving so fast. We couldn't see a single square inch of our yard since it was so covered with trees, limbs, and debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Ivan was bad here but Opal ripped us a new one. I missed 2 or 3 days of school and we had countless trees down. I'll never forget the clouds the morning after. They were moving so fast. We couldn't see a single square inch of our yard since it was so covered with trees, limbs, and debris. Nice story! I only have one experience and it was in 1995 during Hurricane Opal. I was living in Atlanta and the storm once it hit the gulf coast it came racing north. There were inland Hurricane and tropical storm warnings all over the place. Well what I did not expect was the sustained 60+ MPH winds that went on for hours. It was absolutely incredible, what was left of Opal's eye came very close to my location. I ended up getting the NE quadrant of the storm. pretty much directly over my location in the NW burbs of Atlanta. I remember being afraid to go to sleep that night, worrying about possible trees coming down. It looked like a bomb had gone off when we got up the next morning. I'll never forget walking down my street in pure amazement at all the trees down and how literally everything was covered with some form of tree branch or leaf. It was very intense and something I'll never forget. We were out of school for nearly a week after while the cleanup went on. I live in Marietta lol, ground zero for Opal in Georgia. http://en.wikipedia..../Hurricane_Opal The peak wind gust in Georgia was a 79-mph (127 km/h) gust in Marietta, The peak rainfall in Georgia was 8.66 inches (220 mm) in Marietta I wrote this a few months ago in another thread, your description and mine match closely. Sorry for the repost but I thought I'd share mine since Opal came up lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Keep in mind that this possible event is days to weeks away. Anything and everything can change. There are many disagreements between the Canadian, European, and American models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Keep in mind that this possible event is days to weeks away. Anything and everything can change. There are many disagreements between the Canadian, European, and American models. It is fun to follow. No different than tracking a Winter storm 7-10 days out.... We would be doing the same thing in that case. Following the models and posting thoughts and models runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted August 17, 2011 Share Posted August 17, 2011 Keep in mind that this possible event is days to weeks away. Anything and everything can change. There are many disagreements between the Canadian, European, and American models. Of course! I saw a hit on NC on a Canadian ensemble so now I'm making a storm shelter, should finish it in ~7-10 days...anyone want in let me know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted August 18, 2011 Author Share Posted August 18, 2011 Ivan was bad here but Opal ripped us a new one. I missed 2 or 3 days of school and we had countless trees down. I'll never forget the clouds the morning after. They were moving so fast. We couldn't see a single square inch of our yard since it was so covered with trees, limbs, and debris. Dude!, you were at my house! Amazingly though, all the trees missed mine and mom's car that were on the park pad....dad's car was in the carport....I think Opal really caught folks in our area off guard.....all my life, if a hail type thunderstorm was predicted, dad squeezed both his and mom's car in the carport....we are talking inches here.....that nite, dad said he didn't think it would be that bad....mom had gone to sleep....dad told me he couldn't stay up much longer... (we were glued to the weather channel)...he had a meeting early in the morning.....guess he didn't think it would be like it was.....I started to wonder when it was 10:30 and dad had not gone to bed yet....around 11:00pm power went out....no power for 3 days....15-20 trees down on our property....about an acre....It was not near as bad in other parts of the county.....guess we were under one of those "bands"....the folks riding around "sightseeing" stopped to help us.....they said our yard looked like it had the most damage They cut the wood up for us cause they wanted the wood and dad wanted the trees gone....and if that was not miserable enough....when I went to get some water for drinking, I came back, parked the car in the grass....and stepped on a yellow jacket nest.....mercifully those people that were there cutting wood heard me screaming over the chain saws and came running.... No more storms like that....please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 Dude!, you were at my house! Amazingly though, all the trees missed mine and mom's car that were on the park pad....dad's car was in the carport....I think Opal really caught folks in our area off guard.....all my life, if a hail type thunderstorm was predicted, dad squeezed both his and mom's car in the carport....we are talking inches here.....that nite, dad said he didn't think it would be that bad....mom had gone to sleep....dad told me he couldn't stay up much longer... (we were glued to the weather channel)...he had a meeting early in the morning.....guess he didn't think it would be like it was.....I started to wonder when it was 10:30 and dad had not gone to bed yet....around 11:00pm power went out....no power for 3 days....15-20 trees down on our property....about an acre....It was not near as bad in other parts of the county.....guess we were under one of those "bands"....the folks riding around "sightseeing" stopped to help us.....they said our yard looked like it had the most damage They cut the wood up for us cause they wanted the wood and dad wanted the trees gone....and if that was not miserable enough....when I went to get some water for drinking, I came back, parked the car in the grass....and stepped on a yellow jacket nest.....mercifully those people that were there cutting wood heard me screaming over the chain saws and came running.... No more storms like that....please No worries Psalm Hurricanes and tropical storms avoid me like the plague. The only one that truly effected me was Faye and by that time it was just a depression dump a ton of rain! I lived in Florida for 22 years and never had a storm pass overhead (which it would probably have to do to get to your area ) I saw video of the damage Opal left behind here in Columbus a few months back and was surprised. I hadn't heard about it or remembered it (I was only 7 at the time... haha!) but it was certainly a fascinating storm. A part of me wants a storm like that to track up this way, while the majority of me doesn't want to be on air for 12+ hours attempting to cover every little spin up and gust of wind... I think it would be worse than tornado coverage... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 I agree on a track from the panhandle bringing damage to GA, but to me that wouldn't be a "Georgia Special". The second bolded to me would be a "Georgia Special". The last time I experienced any tropical excitement was from Beryl as he made his way threw SC back in '94 I have been a good girl BUT....I have warned Jose that our next date will be a special day I see where you are standing on this name thing. I vote for a Swanee River Slammer, and a Flint River Ripper. The one that comes in and actually hits the Ga. coast is threading a tiny needle, so it would be a Ga. Special for sure, lol. I'd just as soon it hooks north when it comes, and thrills Chris over near Athens, and leaves me to ponder my near miss Don't want to see one cut the state in a situation where the steering would be west, with no northward turn until Ala. or Miss. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 No worries Psalm Hurricanes and tropical storms avoid me like the plague. The only one that truly effected me was Faye and by that time it was just a depression dump a ton of rain! I lived in Florida for 22 years and never had a storm pass overhead (which it would probably have to do to get to your area ) I saw video of the damage Opal left behind here in Columbus a few months back and was surprised. I hadn't heard about it or remembered it (I was only 7 at the time... haha!) but it was certainly a fascinating storm. A part of me wants a storm like that to track up this way, while the majority of me doesn't want to be on air for 12+ hours attempting to cover every little spin up and gust of wind... I think it would be worse than tornado coverage... Well, buckle up, my friend, for if you are here a few years you'll have a good chance of having one go over your head. Usually it is a few big gusts and lots of rain, but occasionally it is a duzy, and will tear things up. Ivan spanned lots of small tornados when it came up through here, and it was worst than most because of them. Opal, here, was some heavy gusts, for a good while, for me more like the Blizzard, but Ivan was like a tornado outbreak, only 0's, 1's and 2's. I've seen more effects from TD, and TS's down here than I did in Atl. Maybe 40 miles of friction makes a difference, and you are about 35 south of me, lol. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 No worries Psalm Hurricanes and tropical storms avoid me like the plague. The only one that truly effected me was Faye and by that time it was just a depression dump a ton of rain! I lived in Florida for 22 years and never had a storm pass overhead (which it would probably have to do to get to your area ) I saw video of the damage Opal left behind here in Columbus a few months back and was surprised. I hadn't heard about it or remembered it (I was only 7 at the time... haha!) but it was certainly a fascinating storm. A part of me wants a storm like that to track up this way, while the majority of me doesn't want to be on air for 12+ hours attempting to cover every little spin up and gust of wind... I think it would be worse than tornado coverage... Ouch! I am getting old. Lived in Mary Esther at the time. Right down the street from Hurlburt Field. (144 mph gust). What a night before & day of! Went to bed around 1:00 am and it was a cat 1 with gradual pressure falling. Woke up around 4:30 am and the pressure from the storm had fallen drastically into the 935 range...Uh-oh. Had my Dad and Stepmom up from Pompano. We took thier dog out to pee & it wouldn't back in to eat and it wouldn't. Dad & Stepmom packed up & left. 7:00am update & pressure is 918 for reference per Cantore on the weather channel Andrews lowest was 921. He was saying the pressure is falling so fast that the winds will have to catch up. (some good footage of this on you tube) Big uh-oh and I am outta there! Game plan waqs to head to Tally & hunker down What a nightmare as everone else had the same thought. A 2.5 hour drive took us 12 hrs. Back to my place a couple of days later & nary a scratch plus my power is on. My Grandparents who lived in Franklin,NC at the time lost power for a week & Macon county lost 20,000 plus trees to the storm. Sustained winds reached 150 offshore fueled by the loop current I am sure. Two things contributed to the storm not causing much more damage in the Panhandle than it did. It sped up before coming ashore & It was an Oct. storm. The water near the coast has started to cool by then & even though the N Gulf is deep by GOM standards 20 miles offshore it's only a 120 feet deep. Upwelling robbed the storm of fuel. Sorry for the long rant. Move or delete if it is to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 The unpredictability of the track of this potential tropical system continues to hold as the 0z GFS now shows it possibly cutting through a part of FL before heading across eastern GA and eventually cutting across central SC into eastern NC. Previous run of the 0z had it taking more of a track through the Apps. Euro at the end of its run decides to keep it more of a coastal threat but still showing the inland areas getting hit with a good bit of rain. This is getting to be a tricky situation the more I look at these runs. A lot of factors are making this a win or lose scenario, obviously going against damage but just being able to see areas that need a lot of rain benefit from this. I'd personally would like it if Texas could get some major relief down their way but who knows where this system ends up. If it curves our way, we'll need to be prepared. Several days left to go of course but my interest continues to stay peaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 What was the storm we had here in the mid 90's? It had to be 1995-1996 I think, we had just moved into this subdivision. The winds were from the south or southeast because I could only go out on the front porch which faced west. Winds had to be close to 70 mph, I could see very large trees bending halfway over at times. The sounds were incredible and it felt like the whole house was shaking. It took a very large swing set for my kids, and tossed it into the yard next door like it was nothing. At the time I worked for Dekalb County School System and I remember as I drove to work in Tucker, how dark it was. Lights were out just about everywhere. But what a beast of a storm for Atlanta. Is that the same storm that dropped the 14-20+ inches of rain on us or was that a different one? (got my answer, different) When you get old like me you've seen a lot of storms and can't remember which one was which! Found it, it was Opel with the winds -------------------------------------------------------------------- The peak rainfall in Georgia was 8.66 inches (220 mm) in Marietta, 8.08 (205 mm) in Peachtree City and 7.17 (182 mm) in west Atlanta. Southern Georgia only reported 1–3 inches (25–76 mm) of rain, while the northern part of the state reached about 5–7 inches (130–180 mm). The peak wind gust in Georgia was a 79-mph (127 km/h) gust in Marietta, a 70-mph (113-km/h) gust in Columbus, and a 56-mph (90-km/h) gust in the Atlanta-Hartsfield area.[14][18] High winds in Rabun County caused USD $5.0 million from the approach of Opal on October 5. The damage was worst in Rabun County where numerous trees were blown down. The wind damage was described as being worse than the Superstorm of 1993. Power was out for some people for at least a week.[19] More than 4000 trees were knocked down within the city of Atlanta alone. These trees fell across roads, and on power lines, homes, mobile homes, and automobiles. More than a half a dozen people were injured from falling trees in the early morning hours of October 5. There were more than 1200 telephone poles knocked down and almost 5,000 power lines snapped. Power crews from surrounding states helped to restore power to many, however, thousands of residences remained without power through the weekend. An 80-foot (24-m) gash was torn out of Interstate 285 between Roswell Road and the Glenridge Connector in Atlanta. Schools were closed on October 5 and October 6 throughout the cities of Atlanta, Marietta, and in Fulton, Coweta, Carroll and Douglas counties. A total of 47 of 101 schools were closed in Dekalb County alone. Four state parks were closed after Opal: Moccasin Creek Park, Black Rock Mountain, Vogel State Park, and Fort Mountain State Park. 273 stations reported many falling traffic lights. Agricultural experts estimated that damage to the pecan crop was about USD $50.0 million. Several rivers and creeks overflowed their banks.[20] Tropical Storm Opal emerging into the Gulf. Beginning the evening of October 4, numerous power outages were reported in metro Atlanta, where sustained tropical storm conditions overnight (including gusts to nearly 70 mph (110 km/h) felled thousands of trees. Oaks were particularly susceptible, as their root systems were loosened by nearly two days included in a major disaster area.[8] Fourteen deaths were reported in Georgia alone.[8] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 This is 10 days out.... Euro from last night This would be devastating to Georgia, Major Hurricane plowing into the coastline near Savannah. This is not the likely outcome so please take with a metric ton of salt. 952 mb major hurricane..... edit : Actually this just hit me, I'm not sure you can extrapolate that 952 to the surface but none the less it's a biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 I see where you are standing on this name thing. I vote for a Swanee River Slammer, and a Flint River Ripper. The one that comes in and actually hits the Ga. coast is threading a tiny needle, so it would be a Ga. Special for sure, lol. I'd just as soon it hooks north when it comes, and thrills Chris over near Athens, and leaves me to ponder my near miss Don't want to see one cut the state in a situation where the steering would be west, with no northward turn until Ala. or Miss. T I don't want to see a steady west moving storm either Weenie's can't be picky and at this point I would just be happy with some exciting weather in the general area I'm tired of H O T and D R Y Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 WaterSpouts reported/Tor. Warning Carolina beach this morning, Waterspout moved onland @ carolina Beach/North-end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted August 18, 2011 Share Posted August 18, 2011 Several Waterspouts now reported on moving onshore at/around carolina beach business district. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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