lincolncent Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Very nice today. Seems like a touch of Fall. I can tell the days are getting shorter....good riddance to this hot Summer. So, that makes back to back HOT Summers in the Southeast, and likewise, back to back cold/snowy Winters in the Southeast. I'm getting to work on the Winter Outlook. Good things come in three's. Hasn't even reached 80 yet here. Extremely nice. :) Quite enjoying it. Nice breeze with dry air. Lovin it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Hasn't even reached 80 yet here. Extremely nice. :) Quite enjoying it. Nice breeze with dry air. Lovin it. ditto. about 76 with a dewpoint of 59 - its gorgeous! although just dry dry dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 When i was at the beach this weekend at Beaufort, SC, I got a decent thunderstorm. lots of lightning and rain. Here is a picture of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Only 79 with a 59 DP! It feels absolutely fantastic out here. This would be a good day for an all-afternoon bike ride. If only fall would get here sooner... I wish everyday would be like this during the summmer instead of the brutal heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Very nice today. Seems like a touch of Fall. I can tell the days are getting shorter....good riddance to this hot Summer. So, that makes back to back HOT Summers in the Southeast, and likewise, back to back cold/snowy Winters in the Southeast. I'm getting to work on the Winter Outlook. Good things come in three's. I am looking forward to the day when I can say that A lot of things come in three's I'm just looking forward to a "normal" winter with at least one chance to listen to the SE CREW give me tingles as I read their pbp Looks like a snoozer of a week coming up. I almost fell asleep writing my own forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Gorgeous out! Feels like a nice fall day so I spent the morning raking the first batch of leaves! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Very nice today. Seems like a touch of Fall. I can tell the days are getting shorter....good riddance to this hot Summer. So, that makes back to back HOT Summers in the Southeast, and likewise, back to back cold/snowy Winters in the Southeast. I'm getting to work on the Winter Outlook. Good things come in three's. you are the man!!! I owe you dinner again. Maybe down your away this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Very nice today. Seems like a touch of Fall. I can tell the days are getting shorter....good riddance to this hot Summer. So, that makes back to back HOT Summers in the Southeast, and likewise, back to back cold/snowy Winters in the Southeast. I'm getting to work on the Winter Outlook. Good things come in three's. Beautiful day today! Only 84oF with a nice breeze. Definitely the first day that where there's been a hint of fall. Can't wait for the real fall weather! BTW, the tropics should be getting more active over the next 1-2 weeks. Possibly affecting the US. Long ways away though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Had a high of 85.7 F at 2:57 and a high heat index of 86.7 at the same time. Nice cool 83 right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 It didn't really feel like fall to me today. Highs in the mid 80s, lows in the low to mid 60s. That's really not far from average for Mid to Late August. Atlanta was only 3 degrees below average for today. I think just because it's been such a hot summer it feels more like fall than it normally would if we had had more of a normal summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Avery County Ridgelines stay in the Mid 50s all day today ! Nice! A refreshing break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Great day in Asheville! mid 70s and breezy. Bottom is falling out of the temps. tonight. 75.9 at 7:00 pm & 66.5 at 9:30 pm. Not a cloud in sight.....mid 50s here we come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 The 0z GFS is the fifth run in a row now that has shown a major hurricane hitting somewhere in the southeast. The GFS ensembles are in good agreement with the OP runs, and have a storm in the Gulf around the last couple of days this month. Maybe we can get lucky and get a tropical cyclone that brings some much needed rain. Although what the 0z gfs suggests would be disastrous... Sent from my HTC ThunderBolt using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 The consistant runs of showing a threat in the Gulf or Southeast has to be taken seriously. The EURO for the past 3 ro 4 runs have also been showing the same general thing... The overall general theme in each run is to the develop the current tropical wave just off the African Coast making it a tropical cyclone by the end of this week as it appraches the Islands... What is most concerning for the US is unlike the previous tropical features, there is no trough to save the East Coast, infact high pressure really builds in across New England...that has been persistant in the past few runs of the GFS. This 0z run brings the named feature across South Florida and then skirts the Western Coast and moves northwest into Georgia...infact as the storm continues inland, it really slows down due to the blocking high to it's northeast... Needless to say, if this verified, it would be the event of the summer for us Southeast members... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Its all fantasy range at this point. I put about as much stock in fantasy canes as fantasy range snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Bottomed out at 53.3 at the house (4:33am)! Currently 54 with clear skies overhead. Gotta love this cool air in mid August. Sugar is sitting at 51. Mt. Mitchell is at 48.4 for there low this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Lol. Its 66 outside nice. But yet we might break a record high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Nice bro!! Bottom was at 6am this morning at 61.6! So my run at 5:15 this morning was awesome! Bottomed out at 53.3 at the house (4:33am)! Currently 54 with clear skies overhead. Gotta love this cool air in mid August. Sugar is sitting at 51. Mt. Mitchell is at 48.4 for there low this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 It was a comfy 67 degrees this morning when I woke my son up for his first day of school, reminding me that fall is getting closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 as Dan mentioned the models want to develop a strong hurricane and bring it somewhere toward the Bahamas, Southeast, or Gulf region after 10 days. Its still so far out there so anything can happen but we're getting to the time of year when its a possibility, and the timing of incoming troughs (or lack of) means everything on their tracks. 00z GFS was a huge rain maker in the Southeast, with a rare Ga. coast hit and right into the southern Apps. A track like that would be a massive rain maker for Ga and the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Had a low of 59.3F at 7:19 am today! WOOHOO! 50's!!! Have to go back to May 21st since I was that low. Feels great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 as Dan mentioned the models want to develop a strong hurricane and bring it somewhere toward the Bahamas, Southeast, or Gulf region after 10 days. Its still so far out there so anything can happen but we're getting to the time of year when its a possibility, and the timing of incoming troughs (or lack of) means everything on their tracks. 00z GFS was a huge rain maker in the Southeast, with a rare Ga. coast hit and right into the southern Apps. A track like that would be a massive rain maker for Ga and the Carolinas. People shouldn't post 300+hr tropical porn It is not for the faint of heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Had a low of 59.3F at 7:19 am today! WOOHOO! 50's!!! Have to go back to May 21st since I was that low. Feels great! You beat me. I bottomed at 59.5. Felt great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Dewpoints in the low 60's will be common in the north half of GA and most of the Carolinas Monday into Tuesday. Actual temps also dropping into the low 60's fairly widespread and some 50's north and west of 85, which will feel great. How did the GFS do in your area? Very good for this area, and judging from the lows I'm seeing , not too far off. I bottomed out at 60. Dewpoints into the 50's. Very nice.. Not bad from 120 hours on the GFS. I don't recall what the ECMWF had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 The consistant runs of showing a threat in the Gulf or Southeast has to be taken seriously. The EURO for the past 3 ro 4 runs have also been showing the same general thing... The overall general theme in each run is to the develop the current tropical wave just off the African Coast making it a tropical cyclone by the end of this week as it appraches the Islands... What is most concerning for the US is unlike the previous tropical features, there is no trough to save the East Coast, infact high pressure really builds in across New England...that has been persistant in the past few runs of the GFS. This 0z run brings the named feature across South Florida and then skirts the Western Coast and moves northwest into Georgia...infact as the storm continues inland, it really slows down due to the blocking high to it's northeast... Needless to say, if this verified, it would be the event of the summer for us Southeast members... While I do agree that this senario needs to be watched, like many have said, it is still a long long way off model wise. There is a reason why the NWS doesn't even use models past the 240 hour point. The skill is just not very good right now. It is interesting that the Euro and the GFS are consistenly picking up on it from run to run, but I don't know if we should be putting too much stock in them right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 While I do agree that this senario needs to be watched, like many have said, it is still a long long way off model wise. There is a reason why the NWS doesn't even use models past the 240 hour point. The skill is just not very good right now. It is interesting that the Euro and the GFS are consistenly picking up on it from run to run, but I don't know if we should be putting too much stock in them right now. I agree, the thought of a SE hurricane is nice but reality is it probably won't happen like any of the models show it right now. Think back to winter.... Would you want to be in the bullseye of a 360 hour fantasy blizzard right now? I'll start getting excited once we have a developed TC which would mean a LLC for the models to initialize from. Even then untll we get 5-7 days out this is all barely on the radar for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 How did the GFS do in your area? Very good for this area, and judging from the lows I'm seeing , not too far off. I bottomed out at 60. Dewpoints into the 50's. Very nice.. Not bad from 120 hours on the GFS. I don't recall what the ECMWF had. 53 in Weaverville for our low this am Robert. It was brisk when I took the dogs out this morning. Brilliant sunshine now & still in the mid 60s. High today is forecast to hit 81. Just love this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevinhmd Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 How did the GFS do in your area? Very good for this area, and judging from the lows I'm seeing , not too far off. I bottomed out at 60. Dewpoints into the 50's. Very nice.. Not bad from 120 hours on the GFS. I don't recall what the ECMWF had. Bottomed out at 55.0 in Dial. Brrr, almost chilly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Heat Island kept my temp up...Hit 64 last night at Dobbins AFB a location less than a couple miles from my home. Heat Island sucks, life in a downtown area.... I would have loved those 50's some of you guys got last night. It still felt very nice last night, just not quite as nice as some of you guys got to experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
november rain Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 61.2 was best I could muster... just a few more weeks and hopefully 50s will be the norm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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