patrick7032 Posted October 6, 2011 Author Share Posted October 6, 2011 A sign of THINGS TO COME........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 7, 2011 Author Share Posted October 7, 2011 The first outlook of the "DREADED "S" WORD. Not sure if it will occur though as temps remain realitively warm. We would have to "wet-bulb" down some of the cooler air aloft in a "heavier burst" of rain showers. FPAK52PAFC_AKZ181 ----------------- AKZ181-080000- ALASKA PENINSULA- INCLUDING...COLD BAY...SAND POINT 500 AM AKDT FRI OCT 7 2011 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PATCHY MORNING FOG. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH EXCEPT EAST 10 TO 25 MPH SAND POINT EASTWARD. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 35 TO 40. .COLUMBUS DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LOWS 35 TO 40. .THURSDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS 45 TO 50. && TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION COLD BAY 47 35 48 / 30 0 50 SAND POINT 47 40 48 / 30 0 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Hi everybody, Mild day with windy and mainly cloudy conditions. Low of 2.7C, high of 11.5C. Upcoming days should be wetter and cooler, rain and snow should be back as well as frost in the nights. To end this post, here is a picture I took this night: These were the most beautifull auroras since I settled two years ago ! The other pictures are here : Meteowhitehorse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 Hi everybody, Mild day with windy and mainly cloudy conditions. Low of 2.7C, high of 11.5C. Upcoming days should be wetter and cooler, rain and snow should be back as well as frost in the nights. To end this post, here is a picture I took this night: These were the most beautifull auroras since I settled two years ago ! The other pictures are here : Meteowhitehorse Very Nice.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 another beauty off the coast of BC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Very beautiful pictures! Today -1.6/+5.9, some rain this evening with 0.4 mm. Rain and snow for this night and tomorrow, winter is getting closer this weekend and I think we should not get anymore +10C before spring. For the webcams, you should see some snow tomorrow on my website. Have a great one ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NIUmetGF Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Those are beauts, I was just noticing tonight that the two systems moving in concert on water vapor is stunning. another beauty off the coast of BC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 another beauty off the coast of BC Weather pornography right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Hello everybody, -0.8C this morning with overcast conditions. Temperatures ranging from -9 to +2 in the territory. Some snow in south Yukon. This weekend was pretty cool with flurries, some snow on the ground on sunday morning. This week should be colder, with some snow for today and tomorrow, then a mix of sun and clouds. Perhaps our first -10, and high lower tha 0C. Wait & See ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 11, 2011 Author Share Posted October 11, 2011 Well you knew it was a "matter of time". Had my first snow of the season as a heavier "convective" shower moved through and the winds kicked up from 13 to 33kt....as the shower "wet-bulbed" down some cooler air. Had a nice mix of rain, sleet, and snow for a little less than 10 minutes....no surprise though as earlier in the day we could see the "white haze" mixed in with the shower to the W-NW coming from a TCU and the freezing level dropped from 2100 feet during the day to 1900 feet on tonight's RAOB launch....and noticed an MCV dropping southeast with enhanced cloud tops on the IR SAT....obs are below........ PACD 111042Z 34014KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 OVC065 03/01 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 33033/1023 RAE05B24E42SNB30E42PLB33E42 P0001 PACD 111033Z 34017G30KT 7SM SNRAPL SCT019 BKN026 BKN036 03/01 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 33033/1023 RAE05B24SNB30PLB33 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 11, 2011 Author Share Posted October 11, 2011 Looks like more snow may be on the way....an exert from the morning discussion.... BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS... POTENT VORTICITY CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH THIS MORNING AND WILL ENTER THE NORTH PACIFIC BY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT TO SEE INCREASED RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY AND COOLER AIR BEHIND THE SYSTEM AS IT PASSES. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS IN FAST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A RENEWED PUSH OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN AND RAIN SHOWERS TO THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. .LONG TERM FORECAST... THE PATTERN WILL TRANSITION FROM CLEAR AND DRY TO CLOUDY AND WET LATE THIS WEEK...AND THEN PERSIST FOR THE MOST PART OVER MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TOWARDS THE GULF...AS SOUTHWEST LATE THIS WEEK GRADUALLY VEERS TO A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PARTS OF NEXT WEEK. A LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EVENTUALLY BUILDS ACROSS THE BERING SEA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE BERING AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA THAT HAVE YET TO SEE IT THUS FAR THIS SEASON. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS GENERALLY HIGH GIVEN THE GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NIUmetGF Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 7sm moderate snow? Well you knew it was a "matter of time". Had my first snow of the season as a heavier "convective" shower moved through and the winds kicked up from 13 to 33kt....as the shower "wet-bulbed" down some cooler air. Had a nice mix of rain, sleet, and snow for a little less than 10 minutes....no surprise though as earlier in the day we could see the "white haze" mixed in with the shower to the W-NW coming from a TCU and the freezing level dropped from 2100 feet during the day to 1900 feet on tonight's RAOB launch....and noticed an MCV dropping southeast with enhanced cloud tops on the IR SAT....obs are below........ PACD 111042Z 34014KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 OVC065 03/01 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 33033/1023 RAE05B24E42SNB30E42PLB33E42 P0001 PACD 111033Z 34017G30KT 7SM SNRAPL SCT019 BKN026 BKN036 03/01 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 33033/1023 RAE05B24SNB30PLB33 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 11, 2011 Author Share Posted October 11, 2011 Yeah the ASOS here will remove the - sign whenever I add PL or GS....each machine has "it's own mind". I didn't COR it so I can show the techs and let them troubleshoot it. 7sm moderate snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NIUmetGF Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 I would like to go "office space" on one of those ASOS OIDs. So frustrating to work with. Yeah the ASOS here will remove the - sign whenever I add PL or GS....each machine has "it's own mind". I didn't COR it so I can show the techs and let them troubleshoot it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NIUmetGF Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Radiational cooling at elevation: State low this morning as of 12Z. Anaktuvuk Pass 643ft ASL. Zero. Note the contrast to the other sites around it. Mainly because it is a mountain pass along the Brooks Range, but as the surface ridge moved over, clouds cleared and winds went calm. As soon as the low deck moved in temps jumped back up to 12F. PAKP 121236Z AUTO 18006KT 10SM OVC023 M11/M13 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 121216Z AUTO 18007KT 10SM OVC025 M11/M13 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 121156Z AUTO 18006KT 10SM OVC025 M11/M14 A2987 RMK AO1 11110 21180 52003 PAKP 121136Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC025 M11/M14 A2986 RMK AO1 PAKP 121116Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM OVC025 M12/M15 A2986 RMK AO1 PAKP 121056Z AUTO 25003KT 10SM OVC025 M12/M15 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 121036Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM OVC023 M12/M15 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 121016Z AUTO 22004KT 10SM OVC023 M13/M16 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 120956Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM OVC025 M13/M17 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 120936Z AUTO 21005KT 10SM BKN025 M13/M16 A2987 RMK AO1 PAKP 120916Z AUTO 25003KT 10SM BKN025 M14/M16 A2986 RMK AO1 PAKP 120856Z AUTO 25004KT 10SM BKN025 M15/M17 A2986 RMK AO1 52003 PAKP 120836Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW025 M14/M16 A2986 RMK AO1 PAKP 120816Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM SCT025 M16/M18 A2986 RMK AO1 PAKP 120756Z AUTO 25003KT 10SM FEW025 M16/M19 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120736Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M17/M19 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120716Z AUTO 26003KT 4SM CLR M17/M19 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120656Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M18/M20 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120636Z AUTO 18005KT 10SM CLR M18/M20 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120616Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM CLR M18/M19 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120556Z AUTO 19005KT 10SM CLR M18/M21 A2985 RMK AO1 11110 21180 52003 PAKP 120536Z AUTO 20003KT 9SM CLR M18/M21 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120516Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM CLR M18/M21 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120456Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M18/M20 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120436Z AUTO 26003KT 10SM CLR M18/M21 A2985 RMK AO1 PAKP 120416Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR M18/M20 A2984 RMK AO1 PAKP 120356Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR M17/M19 A2984 RMK AO1 PAKP 120336Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M18/M21 A2984 RMK AO1 PAKP 120316Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M18/M20 A2984 RMK AO1 PAKP 120256Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M17/M21 A2984 RMK AO1 52003 PAKP 120236Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M16/M19 A2983 RMK AO1 PAKP 120216Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR M14/M17 A2983 RMK AO1 PAKP 120156Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M14/M17 A2983 RMK AO1 PAKP 120136Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M13/M16 A2983 RMK AO1 PAKP 120116Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M12/M14 A2982 RMK AO1 PAKP 120056Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M11/M14 A2982 RMK AO1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Hello everybody, 0C this morning, snow and 1 to 2 cm on the ground: Temperatures ranging from -7 to +3 on the territory, mainly between -2 and +3 in the south. Great difference in the forecast between EC and Wxsim even if they both agree on milder temperatures for the weekend, I think everything will depend on snow on ground, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Hello everybody, 0C this morning, snow and 1 to 2 cm on the ground: Temperatures ranging from -7 to +3 on the territory, mainly between -2 and +3 in the south. Great difference in the forecast between EC and Wxsim even if they both agree on milder temperatures for the weekend, I think everything will depend on snow on ground, Great! Is that your first sticking snow of the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Great! Is that your first sticking snow of the season? I would say yes, it is our fourth snowfall, but it is the most important with 6 cm on the ground (very wet). We have now 0.4C, it is still snowing a bit. If the snow stays on the ground tomorrow (with some frost during the night), we may be close to the -10C on thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 -0.9C this morning, we should have got an aditionnal 1 to 2 cm on the ground. Temperatures ranging from -13 and +3 on the territory, here we have a low of -0.9C. If it is not too mild and we keep some snow on ground, it may be cold on Thursday night with a low close to -10C. Wait & See ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 -0.9C this morning, we should have got an aditionnal 1 to 2 cm on the ground. Temperatures ranging from -13 and +3 on the territory, here we have a low of -0.9C. If it is not too mild and we keep some snow on ground, it may be cold on Thursday night with a low close to -10C. Wait & See ! I see that it's a webcam, but take some pics during the day! We all want to see them... By the way, what's your average annual snowfall up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NIUmetGF Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 With the next low pressure system moving toward southcentral Alaska, the pressure gradient is increasing and the Turnagain Arm wind is in full effect. Amazing the difference between the west side of town and the higher elevations. I can hear the wind howling on the hillside. Gusts left/sustained right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 Hello everybody, -3.9C this morning. It is pretty mild when you consider a sky perfectly clear and no wind. Lows between -14 and -1 on the territory, as far as I remember it is the first time all the temperatures are below zero this season: Temperatures Yukon Temperatures will be mild for the upcoming days, and snow on ground should be away by the end of the week. Have a good day ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Hello everybody, We have -5.9C this morning after a mild and windy weekend. No more snow on ground on south slopes. We should get a high of +3C today, Tuesday and Wednesday should be cold and snowy for Wxsim/GFS (mix of rain and snow for EC). Have a great day ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shockalock Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Hey guys realatively new to the forum, and hope this is the correct area to ask this question. I am from North Carolina but am looking to make it out to BC for some storm watching, out of the winter months, what in you guys opinion is the best month for that? I've noticed November has the highest rainfall totals typically. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MTBLANC Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Hey guys realatively new to the forum, and hope this is the correct area to ask this question. I am from North Carolina but am looking to make it out to BC for some storm watching, out of the winter months, what in you guys opinion is the best month for that? I've noticed November has the highest rainfall totals typically. Thanks! I do not know anything about the BC climate .... living north to 60s.... Today we got some snow during the night and then a mix of sun and clouds with a high of 5.1C and wind blowing from south. Upcoming days should be cooler and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shockalock Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Sorry, I probably should have been more specific also. I'm talking about Vancouver Island when I say BC. Just looking for insight, I can look at data on different sites, but planning a trip like that I was hoping to get some insight from people more locally that know all the dynamics better. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 Sorry, I probably should have been more specific also. I'm talking about Vancouver Island when I say BC. Just looking for insight, I can look at data on different sites, but planning a trip like that I was hoping to get some insight from people more locally that know all the dynamics better. Thanks! I believe November through February....but the bigger storms hit up here in the Aleutian Islands. Will check though for you for down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 Here is something you don't see often in the FAR WEST END OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS....let alone over a 2 by 4 mile sized island.... PASY 192356Z 27012KT 10SM -TSRA SCT021 BKN026CB 06/04 A2921 RMK AO2 PK WND 30029/2333 TSB52RAB22 SLP892 T00560039 10089 20044 52002 $ That is Eareckson Air Station west of Dutch Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 Another strong storm looks to hit the Aleutian Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted October 21, 2011 Author Share Posted October 21, 2011 Looking into the "long range" it looks like the weather will stay active across the Alaska Peninsula and also in southeast Alaska and western Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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