baroclinic_instability Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 The pain comes early in AK. Gorgeous WCb stretching all the way back to Japan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 any snow yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 any snow yet? Not yet here, but the mtns have seen snow down to 4500 feet. By the end of this storm...snow levels will drop below 3500 feet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Next 10 days are looking pretty chilly up there in AK. The pattern since basically last year of AK being the only persistently cold spot continues. Hopefully we don't see a semi-permanent AK vortex this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 I'm thinking of flying up to Fairbanks in late October to hopefully catch the Auroras. With the trend towards el nino this fall, how will that play out for the start to the snow season up there? I was looking at some of the F6's for Fairbanks and it appears the snow generally doesn't start to accumulate until the last week of October. Ideally, I'd like to fly up there for that brief period where it's not bitterly cold, there's still some daylight, a bit of snow on the ground, yet good weather for potential Aurora viewing. Perhaps it's pie in the sky, but is October good for that, or would November be better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 I'm thinking of flying up to Fairbanks in late October to hopefully catch the Auroras. With the trend towards el nino this fall, how will that play out for the start to the snow season up there? I was looking at some of the F6's for Fairbanks and it appears the snow generally doesn't start to accumulate until the last week of October. Ideally, I'd like to fly up there for that brief period where it's not bitterly cold, there's still some daylight, a bit of snow on the ground, yet good weather for potential Aurora viewing. Perhaps it's pie in the sky, but is October good for that, or would November be better? Definitely early October...the longer you wait the worse it gets storm wise. Even Fairbanks will get socked in with clouds in the interior for long periods of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Another day, another storm in AK. 975 lows up here are a walk in the park it seems. I have a love/hate relationship with weather up here. I love the constant action and the extreme challenges, but it always seems to rain on my days off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Turnagain Arm near Anchorage during a rare bluebird day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 I think my blood pressure just went down 15 points when I saw that picture. Incredible. I want to go have lunch on that rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Another hurricane force wind event in and around Anchorage. This one will mostly be relegated to the mountains, but still, a great opportunity to chase some winds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Another day, another storm in AK. 975 lows up here are a walk in the park it seems. I have a love/hate relationship with weather up here. I love the constant action and the extreme challenges, but it always seems to rain on my days off. Man, imagine if we had troughs like those swinging across the lower 48... Also, I think Josh should consider chasing storms up here while the hurricane season is quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 great googly moogly. From the NWS: Saturday Night: Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast wind 35 to 50 mph with local gusts to 65 mph. Along turnagain arm and higher elevations...southeast wind 70 to 85 mph with gusts to 110 mph after midnight. Sunday: Rain likely. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. Southeast wind 35 to 50 mph with local gusts to 65 mph. Along turnagain arm and higher elevations...southeast wind 70 to 85 mph with gusts to 110 mph. Like how they casually throw in the "gusts to 110 mph". Pretty chuckle-icious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 great googly moogly. From the NWS: Saturday Night: Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast wind 35 to 50 mph with local gusts to 65 mph. Along turnagain arm and higher elevations...southeast wind 70 to 85 mph with gusts to 110 mph after midnight. Sunday: Rain likely. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. Southeast wind 35 to 50 mph with local gusts to 65 mph. Along turnagain arm and higher elevations...southeast wind 70 to 85 mph with gusts to 110 mph. Like how they casually throw in the "gusts to 110 mph". Pretty chuckle-icious. Haha, Turnagain Arm winds are awesome. Classic true gap wind where, in SE flow, the air mass literally is blocked on the windward side of the very dense and large coastal ranges/Chugach Range, creating high pressure and accelerating down the inlet, reaching peak wind status at the end. It just so happens the end of the inlet is 5 miles SE of Anchorage, so the wind will go from 30 MPH to 90 MPH in literally less than 5 miles. You can see the Turnagain Arm in the image above with the graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Weather pron, ECMWF caves to NCEP guidance, deepens a strong bent-back surface occlusion in Bristol Bay. NAM Hi-res 4 km backs it up. Even tiny track differences yield massive pressure changes/wind field changes that can completely screw up local terrain influences. Doesn't get much better than this. Great way to start fall, can't wait for the true beasts pushing 940 hpa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Haha, Turnagain Arm winds are awesome. Classic true gap wind where, in SE flow, the air mass literally is blocked on the windward side of the very dense and large coastal ranges/Chugach Range, creating high pressure and accelerating down the inlet, reaching peak wind status at the end. It just so happens the end of the inlet is 5 miles SE of Anchorage, so the wind will go from 30 MPH to 90 MPH in literally less than 5 miles. You can see the Turnagain Arm in the image above with the graphics. Thanks for the background. Always wondered why turnagain arm had the ridiculous winds. Alaskan weather is fascinating. Don't know how it would be to think of 974 lows as the warmup act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Storm in rapid intensification mode, down to 981 based on surface obs near the Ak Pen, will drop into the upper 960s before all is said and done. NWS Anchorage has unleashed the hurricane strength wind warning for portions of the marine zones. Looking like a Miller A Nor'easter on satellite....similar setup as those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 The dry airstream of the upper PV intruded last evening over Anchorage, giving us an hour of glorious sunlight and blue skies as the back edge of the storm moved out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted September 17, 2012 Author Share Posted September 17, 2012 Man, imagine if we had troughs like those swinging across the lower 48... Also, I think Josh should consider chasing storms up here while the hurricane season is quiet. You're correct bud....975mb there is like 1002mb in the midwest....wait for the winter when you get the sub 950 or even 940mb lows and have Hurricane Force warning in the Bering. Remember one last year we had winds SE 70kt gusts to 80kt seas of 34 building to 42 feet. You're gonna have a blast forecasting those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Lord knows above all the drama and whatnot, Deadliest Catch has taught me something about Bering Sea weather (i.e. it's violent on an almost regular basis, sort of like the Southern Ocean). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Lord knows above all the drama and whatnot, Deadliest Catch has taught me something about Bering Sea weather (i.e. it's violent on an almost regular basis, sort of like the Southern Ocean). I second this Andy. Favorite show to watch. Also those pictures up there are great. Would love to move up there if I could get a job but the wife says no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 20, 2012 Share Posted September 20, 2012 The dry airstream of the upper PV intruded last evening over Anchorage, giving us an hour of glorious sunlight and blue skies as the back edge of the storm moved out. Amazing pics Baro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 20, 2012 Share Posted September 20, 2012 Cyclonic beauty south of the Aleutians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 21, 2012 Share Posted September 21, 2012 Perfection. Best cyclone I have seen all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 A break in the rain today provided for perfection on top of Denali. Multi-stack lenticulars were incredible. The rest are here: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/36776-denali-the-alaska-range-and-lenticulars-on-a-perfect-bluebird-day/#entry1756512 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 One of the videos from when I launched a radiosonde in moderate winds at Cold Bay before getting promoted/transferring to Texas. At the time we had southeast winds of 38G46KT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 One of the videos from when I launched a radiosonde in moderate winds at Cold Bay before getting promoted/transferring to Texas. At the time we had southeast winds of 38G46KT. A lovely day on King Cove. Gusts to 81 MPH. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=PAVC&banner=gmap&raw=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 23, 2012 Share Posted September 23, 2012 Very strong system (sub 960 mb) at 96 hrs from the OPC in the Gulf of Alaska...this may have impacts down the road for the troughing pattern over the lower 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 Hurricane force 950 bomb is coming. Looking like anywhere from 40-45 hpa pressure drop over 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Oh yes. in 24 hours this hurricane force warm seclusion will be rocking the GOA possibly sub 950 hpa. Close to cat2 strength were this tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Lord that is a beautiful presentation on the RH map, about as classic as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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