NEOH Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 What station ID? Mike - You mind sharing what the Euro showed for KCLE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 0.33" for CLE through 6z Sunday. 0.40" for zzv, Dilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 At least its something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Nothing but a few piles in my area. I've traveled through western geauga and there is nothing but piles and a few patches where the snow drifted. I think YNG takes their snow measurements in plow piles. I give this season a strong C so far... mainly because we had snowcover for the majority of December. The LES really hasn't been that good. I know in some places it has but I'm grading purely IMBY. We've had almost 0 synoptic snow. We are going to need a few synoptic storms to bring the grade up. For me winter has been December 8th and nothing else. The downtown fire hose band was impressive and gets high marks. Without it, it would be suicide watch for the shoreline. Synoptic snow has been virtually non existent between Cleveland and Toronto. If that holds, the grade will drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 People can say that the block is gone, but not mattering. Storms still dying out as they reach Ohio. Seriously. I'm calling it first. Winter Cancel. We are going to get more cold, but I am predicting no major snowstorms January, and 75% chance we don't see one ijn February or March either. By major storm I mean 6"+ I'll take that bet dilly. Just for fun, if we do get a 6+ inch storm then you come shovel my driveway. And if we don't, I'll come buy you a drink of whatever your favorite beverage is and we can both drown our winter sorrows. What say you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 0.33" for CLE through 6z Sunday. 0.40" for zzv, Dilly. Thanks, Mike. Appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I'll take that bet dilly. Just for fun, if we do get a 6+ inch storm then you come shovel my driveway. And if we don't, I'll come buy you a drink of whatever your favorite beverage is and we can both drown our winter sorrows. What say you? Awful long drive to shovel a driveway lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 For me winter has been December 8th and nothing else. The downtown fire hose band was impressive and gets high marks. Without it, it would be suicide watch for the shoreline. Synoptic snow has been virtually non existent between Cleveland and Toronto. If that holds, the grade will drop. The 12/8 event was the highlight so far. More to come I hope. I think there is potential for a nice LES event this weekend. Normally arctic air isn't great for LES off of Erie but this set-up offers some hope. Good moisture and the inversion level will be the key ingredients. Wind direction isn't that favorable but there should be a few impulses moving through to help. CLE seems pretty bullish in the short term - THE CLIPPER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE FROM LHUR INTO NY STATE. THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WILL ONLY AFFECT THE NE SO THE SW PART OF THE AREA WILL SEE CLOUDINESS BUT PROBABLY NOT ANY SNOW ASIDE FROM SOME FLURRIES. THE ADDED LIFT AND MOISTURE POOLING FROM THE COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA SHOULD LEAD TO A DECENT BURST OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IN THE SNOWBELT TUE WITH LAKE EFFECT SHSN CONTINUING TUE NIGHT AND WED BUT MOST OF THE SHSN SHOULD TAPER TO JUST FLURRIES WED AFTERNOON. WILL BUMP UP ACCUMULATION TO AN INCH OR TWO FOR TUE WITH ANOTHER 2 OR 3 INCHES TUE NIGHT. COULD BE A SITUATION WHERE AN ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS TONIGHT OR TUE MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Awful long drive to shovel a driveway lol.. Yeah... in a snowstorm too. lol Climate would indicate that you're probably gonna be right. We just don't get a lot of 6"+ storms. Got spoiled last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Based on the latest Euro, there could be something to talk about with this system for the end of the week. Still plenty of inconsistency between both the GFS and Euro. The GFS gives most of Ohio about and inch or two with much higher amounts of course as you head up toward CLE. The Euro on the other hands brings the system in much later (Late Fri into Sat), giving portions of SW Ohio about 2-4" with much higher amounts as you head north and east. I have favored the Euro most of the season. It did a fantastic job with the Christmas Eve system. It was the first model to shift that system well south of the region, with the other models eventually following suit. This is a system that needs to be watched for sure. Stay tuned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Based on the latest Euro, there could be something to talk about with this system for the end of the week. Still plenty of inconsistency between both the GFS and Euro. The GFS gives most of Ohio about and inch or two with much higher amounts of course as you head up toward CLE. The Euro on the other hands brings the system in much later (Late Fri into Sat), giving portions of SW Ohio about 2-4" with much higher amounts as you head north and east. I have favored the Euro most of the season. It did a fantastic job with the Christmas Eve system. It was the first model to shift that system well south of the region, with the other models eventually following suit. This is a system that needs to be watched for sure. Stay tuned... I know i'm jumping threats....but you have any thoughts on early to mid (next) week? Seems to be a signal for a storm system developing in the southern plains with gulf interaction. Looks like the potential for a major overrunning event possible across the OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 The 12/8 event was the highlight so far. More to come I hope. I think there is potential for a nice LES event this weekend. Normally arctic air isn't great for LES off of Erie but this set-up offers some hope. Good moisture and the inversion level will be the key ingredients. Wind direction isn't that favorable but there should be a few impulses moving through to help. CLE seems pretty bullish in the short term - THE CLIPPER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE FROM LHUR INTO NY STATE. THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WILL ONLY AFFECT THE NE SO THE SW PART OF THE AREA WILL SEE CLOUDINESS BUT PROBABLY NOT ANY SNOW ASIDE FROM SOME FLURRIES. THE ADDED LIFT AND MOISTURE POOLING FROM THE COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA SHOULD LEAD TO A DECENT BURST OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IN THE SNOWBELT TUE WITH LAKE EFFECT SHSN CONTINUING TUE NIGHT AND WED BUT MOST OF THE SHSN SHOULD TAPER TO JUST FLURRIES WED AFTERNOON. WILL BUMP UP ACCUMULATION TO AN INCH OR TWO FOR TUE WITH ANOTHER 2 OR 3 INCHES TUE NIGHT. COULD BE A SITUATION WHERE AN ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS TONIGHT OR TUE MORNING. That's really bullish for tomorrow. I don't think the BUF mesos were showing anything for the next 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I know i'm jumping threats....but you have any thoughts on early to mid (next) week? Seems to be a signal for a storm system developing in the southern plains with gulf interaction. Looks like the potential for a major overrunning event possible across the OV. Based on the GFS it looks as though most of the overrunning would occur down in Southern KY. That will obviously change of course. If the upcoming weekend system does materialize and accumulating snow does occur, that could be key as to what happens next week with another potential system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It's amazing what plenty of sunshine and light southerly winds can do for a temperature spread in early January. Climate Data for Cincinnati 5 PM update: High: 40° Low: 15° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hello good folks. I hate to bother you but I need to ask you guys an "IN YOUR BACK YARD QUESTION." I have family traveling to Cincinnati from central North Carolina on Friday for major medical tests and will be there through next week. It looks like there is a chance of a clipper system at least and if there is bad weather some members of the family won't make the trip. If someone wouldn't mind sending me a PM or posting what you think the weather and travel conditions will be this Friday. Thanks in advance and feel free to visit the Southeast regional forums for a little Southern Hospitality! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It's amazing what plenty of sunshine and light southerly winds can do for a temperature spread in early January. Climate Data for Cincinnati 5 PM update: High: 40° Low: 15° If you don't mind me asking, do you work for any of the TV stations down in Cincy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hello good folks. I hate to bother you but I need to ask you guys an "IN YOUR BACK YARD QUESTION." I have family traveling to Cincinnati from central North Carolina on Friday for major medical tests and will be there through next week. It looks like there is a chance of a clipper system at least and if there is bad weather some members of the family won't make the trip. If someone wouldn't mind sending me a PM or posting what you think the weather and travel conditions will be this Friday. Thanks in advance and feel free to visit the Southeast regional forums for a little Southern Hospitality! The system for Friday needs to be watched. One of the latest model runs continues to show just a few snow showers for the Ohio Valley on Friday. However, another model wants to bring several inches of snow to the area with arrival being late Friday night into the day on Saturday. Looks like there will at least some snow showers during most of your trip to the Queen City. Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 If you don't mind me asking, do you work for any of the TV stations down in Cincy? I'm a wx producer with wkrc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'm a wx producer with wkrc. Oh ok, awesome! I'm from Cincy, just in Columbus studying meteo. at Ohio State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hey wxdudemike how's the Euro look on the 0z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 TWC and AccuWx don't seem to be buying the extreme cold some have been selling here... Just checked the forecasts here, TWC has nothing lower than 18 for the next ten days and AccuWx nothing lower than 13 the next 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 12/8 event was the highlight so far. More to come I hope. I think there is potential for a nice LES event this weekend. Normally arctic air isn't great for LES off of Erie but this set-up offers some hope. Good moisture and the inversion level will be the key ingredients. Wind direction isn't that favorable but there should be a few impulses moving through to help. CLE seems pretty bullish in the short term - THE CLIPPER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE FROM LHUR INTO NY STATE. THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS WILL ONLY AFFECT THE NE SO THE SW PART OF THE AREA WILL SEE CLOUDINESS BUT PROBABLY NOT ANY SNOW ASIDE FROM SOME FLURRIES. THE ADDED LIFT AND MOISTURE POOLING FROM THE COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA SHOULD LEAD TO A DECENT BURST OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IN THE SNOWBELT TUE WITH LAKE EFFECT SHSN CONTINUING TUE NIGHT AND WED BUT MOST OF THE SHSN SHOULD TAPER TO JUST FLURRIES WED AFTERNOON. WILL BUMP UP ACCUMULATION TO AN INCH OR TWO FOR TUE WITH ANOTHER 2 OR 3 INCHES TUE NIGHT. COULD BE A SITUATION WHERE AN ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS TONIGHT OR TUE MORNING. What the hell was CLE smoking yesterday? Advisory type snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 What the hell was CLE smoking yesterday? Advisory type snows? LOL. Must be a new person there that is overly optimistic about forecasting snowfall... when no model shows that type of precip. Still calling for snow this afternoon and tonight. Sun is out and temps are above freezing. Not a bad early January day at all. The end of the week is looking pretty good for lake enhanced snow. Limiting factor may be the shifting winds and shear. Other than that 850's are cold and there will be moisture around. I-70 bowling ball special next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hey wxdudemike how's the Euro look on the 0z run? 0z screwed most of Ohio with under .1" although the 12z run has the .1" area filled in NE of Columbus so you might do better (LE is my guess). Screw zone is western Ohio right into about CMH along I-70 with under .1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 From usetobe (wes) in the DS thread re: next weeks storm. So, we need a weaker first storm which looks likely, and the 500h low to close off quickly. "I think one potential modulator of what happens for the Jan 11-13 event is what happens with the Jan 7-9 event. If we get a monster storm like the euro had for that one run, then we'd have a better chance for the Richmond to DC region to cash in on winter weather as the confluence could be strong which would force the low to reform over eastern NC. The weaker confluence makes it easier to track to the oH valley and stay stronger longer before reforming. The other problem is with how quickly and far north a 500h low might form. Both the 12Z ggem and euro have i closing off earlier than optimal for the dc area. We'd so better if a weaker impulse sheared out ahead of the developing trough and gave us a shot of overrunning. Some of the earlier runs seemed to like that idea" Should be interesting watching the models over the next 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 A look at some of the new NAM data, still not overly impressed with the Friday system. Waiting on the GFS to come in. Something that really needs to be watched is a storm for early next week that could potentially bring significant snow accumulations for the region. Stay tuned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 A look at some of the new NAM data, still not overly impressed with the Friday system. Waiting on the GFS to come in. Something that really needs to be watched is a storm for early next week that could potentially bring significant snow accumulations for the region. Stay tuned... Yep, there is a storm thread for next weeks storm, should go chime in. We need an Ohio met over there so its not so biased towards Chicago and over that way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincywxpro Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Yep, there is a storm thread for next weeks storm, should go chime in. We need an Ohio met over there so its not so biased towards Chicago and over that way lol Perhaps I'll chime in later on when the new GFS fully comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS says storm cancel lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looks like I am sticking with my winter cancel. LOL. Shows a storm then crushes it the next day. Too much blocking. Just a depressing winter. I say bring on spring. This winter blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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