pondo1000 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If henry makes a map whoever he puts in the bullseye 99% of the time misses. So its a 99% chance that storm is going out to sea which opens the door for the 21st storm. Trust me, with Henry its an exact science I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 From Henry Margusity: A "Hype Watch" has been issued from 5pm Thursday through 2pm Friday. A Hype Watch means model conditions and trends are favorable for Hype Warnings within 5 mins of any model run. The Hype Watch covers an area east of a line from BOS to NYC to DCA to RDU and ORF. People living in the Hype Watch should be alert for changing Hype Conditions. LMAO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Ended up with a nice 2-3 inches out here. Nice steady snowfall from about 7am to around 2 this afternoon. And it looks like we might get another shot next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 18z nam takes it to the fishes for the weekend storm. Opening the door slowly but surely(I hope) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 J, not even sure we picked up a 1/3rd of an inch here in westerville. Looks like the cutoff came right thru franklin county Same here in Newark, a dusting at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Is it me or are areas along and north of 70 about to get more snow within the next hour or so? Looks like this first area from Indiana and then perhaps later tonight that area around Chicago rolls in. Maybe could pick up a few more tenths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Both American models were garbage for us tonight regarding the 21st. My confidence which was at about 60% is loweringing with each passing model run. I'd say right now I am at about a 30% confidence level for the 21st storm. I wanted to give Roger a chance, but no model is showing any major threat for the 21st. Even with the EC storm potentially being OTS, the models are still destroying our storm as it moves east. It pretty much shears out as it reaches Ohio. looks good for maybe an inch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Both American models were garbage for us tonight regarding the 21st. My confidence which was at about 60% is loweringing with each passing model run. I'd say right now I am at about a 30% confidence level for the 21st storm. I wanted to give Roger a chance, but no model is showing any major threat for the 21st. Even with the EC storm potentially being OTS, the models are still destroying our storm as it moves east. It pretty much shears out as it reaches Ohio. looks good for maybe an inch lol The models will flip flop around on this for a few days. I'm still in the camp "something" will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Both American models were garbage for us tonight regarding the 21st. My confidence which was at about 60% is loweringing with each passing model run. I'd say right now I am at about a 30% confidence level for the 21st storm. I wanted to give Roger a chance, but no model is showing any major threat for the 21st. Even with the EC storm potentially being OTS, the models are still destroying our storm as it moves east. It pretty much shears out as it reaches Ohio. looks good for maybe an inch lol The 06z gfs brought it back and brought it back with a little more juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The 06z gfs brought it back and brought it back with a little more juice. Unfortunately, it's the 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well we have a decent storm coming through on the 21st it looks like. Euro is spitting out around 4" while the gfs prints out nearly 10", so I guess the consensus right now would be anywhere from 3-10" lol. Then a potential threat for Christmas Eve/Christmas. I'll just throw this out there. From Accuweather.com:Northeast and Great Lakes (ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI, NY, PA, NJ, MD, DE, VA, WV, KY, OH, IN, MI) Cold weather will continue across the region next week. Snow will develop Christmas Eve across parts of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana. By Christmas Day, the snow will hit southern Pennsylvania, West Virginia..., Maryland, Virginia and Delaware. The snow will affect I-80/90, I-70, I-71, I-75, I-69 and I-77 in Indiana and Ohio. I-94 in Michigan may also be affected by the snow. In West Virginia, I-79 and I-77 may become icy and hazardous as snow and ice hit after dark Christmas Eve. In Pennsylvania, snow will make it north to the PA Turnpike Christmas Day. In Maryland and Virginia, I-81 and I-95 will be hit by the snow. Airports such as Detroit and Cincinnati may have delays due to snow and ice Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 3-10 inches sounds pretty good to me. I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah I am liking this more today! Just seems like it will follow the general track all of these previous storms have, but with more juice and a little farther north than last clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 3-10 inches sounds pretty good to me. I'll take it! I'd rather have 6-10 lol. I guess I dont get too excited about 3" snowfalls. IMO 3" is just a waste of the cold air. Now if we have a pre-existing snowpack then 3" is fine, but when I can still see my grass, I'd like to get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'd rather have 6-10 lol. I guess I dont get too excited about 3" snowfalls. IMO 3" is just a waste of the cold air. Now if we have a pre-existing snowpack then 3" is fine, but when I can still see my grass, I'd like to get more. Cut your grass shorter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'd rather have 6-10 lol. I guess I dont get too excited about 3" snowfalls. IMO 3" is just a waste of the cold air. Now if we have a pre-existing snowpack then 3" is fine, but when I can still see my grass, I'd like to get more. How much do you have? We have about 2.5 with the fluff we got today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 How much do you have? We have about 2.5 with the fluff we got today. Yeah I've probably got a 3-4 inch snowpack and no signs of grass. Flurries flying all day today too. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 How much do you have? We have about 2.5 with the fluff we got today. Maybe 1/2 inch on the grass. Last weeks storm was a big flop for my location, maybe picked up 2.5" but by the time the wind was done with it, it amounted to about 1/2" - 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z gfs is a thing of beauty for all of central, ohio. Warm air reaches about circleville for a couple hours then cold air takes back over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Christmas storm hammers too on the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Christmas storm hammers too on the 18z Ice storm. . . . again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Dilly, maybe you and I can cash in on the next couple of storms...seeing how we kinda missed out on the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ice storm. . . . again. Maybe for you. The 0 line stays 75 miles south of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Unlike 2004 this isn't coming from the south. So its notgonna be eastern ohio gets zr while western oh gets snow. It'd be more like southernoh may get zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What's buckeyes thoughts? He's been pretty quiet the last couple days, trying to not jinx it or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ice storm. . . . again. Ugh! What a heart breaking storm Dec2004 was for this area. Western OH received almost 2' of snow while we got 5" or 6" and almost an inch of ice. Almost every one lost power here in Newark. On the other hand it was probably one of the most beautiful storms I've ever seen. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ugh! What a heart breaking storm Dec2004 was for this area. Western OH received almost 2' of snow while we got 5" or 6" and almost an inch of ice. Almost every one lost power here in Newark. On the other hand it was probably one of the most beautiful storms I've ever seen. Amazing. No snow here in coshocton was only ice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 Dilly, maybe you and I can cash in on the next couple of storms...seeing how we kinda missed out on the last one. I am 100% with you on this And Ves. I don't remeber getting snow with the 2004 storm..about 1 3/4 inches of ice..But you know it may have snowed some..all i remember was the ice and the transformers blowing up in the dark..what a site!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I am 100% with you on this And Ves. I don't remeber getting snow with the 2004 storm..about 1 3/4 inches of ice..But you know it may have snowed some..all i remember was the ice and the transformers blowing up in the dark..what a site!! I recall we had about 3" on the ground that evening before the change over. All night it rained with the temps never getting out of the 20s. On the backside we picked up another 2" of snow, but by then it was too late...the ice had destroyed the town. lol The freezing rain prob did compact our initial burst of snow to almost nothing, so yea horrible storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I recall we had about 3" on the ground that evening before the change over. All night it rained with the temps never getting out of the 20s. On the backside we picked up another 2" of snow, but by then it was too late...the ice had destroyed the town. lol The freezing rain prob did compact our initial burst of snow to almost nothing, so yea horrible storm. I am like Steve. Imonly 25 miles from you guys, and I dont recall any snow. I remember the original forecast was for Frezzing rain turning to snow. Temps hoovered around 30 all night while the ZR just kept pouring down. Made me absolutely sick. I believe the storm hit on the 23rd. On Christmas Eve my dad was calling all over to find a generator and ended up having to drive 2hrs to Canton to get one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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