free_man Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 Looks like one of those cold pool setups that overproduces, we have been missing . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 You should just put severe outbreak for CT/MA and NNE cause you know were gettin crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 31, 2011 Author Share Posted July 31, 2011 You should just put severe outbreak for CT/MA and NNE cause you know were gettin crap I don't expect much, but there could be a iso severe storms Tuesday. There also might be nothing more than a few light sprinkles. We'll see. The "outbreak" part was joking, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 ...NEW ENGLAND... AN UPPER LOW OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD AND ACROSS ME TOMORROW. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW ENGLAND MAY SEE CONSIDERABLE DAYTIME HEATING DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW SUFFICIENTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES FOR A RISK OF SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS BEFORE STORMS MOVE OFFSHORE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Tomorrow should be yet another fun day, although this one will mainly be for eastern sections. Like today, large hail will be the number one threat, however, winds aloft will be stronger than they were today so we could see more in the way of wind damage reports than we did today. Atmosphere might not be as unstable as today so perhaps we don't see some of the insanely large hail reports like we had today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Meh, I'm unimpressed. Today was a much better modeled setup and it was a crash and burn. And then we can await Wednesday to see the MCS drift just to our SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Meh, I'm unimpressed. Today was a much better modeled setup and it was a crash and burn. And then we can await Wednesday to see the MCS drift just to our SW I really don't think today was a crash and burn...the slight risk definitely verified and between ALY/BOX along there were about 30 reports of 1'' or greater hail. Not sure what OKX's area got but I'm sure they probably had at least 15 reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I really don't think today was a crash and burn...the slight risk definitely verified and between ALY/BOX along there were about 30 reports of 1'' or greater hail. Not sure what OKX's area got but I'm sure they probably had at least 15 reports. IDK seems hard to really call it an organized event. By and large the storms were initiated by terrain and the sea breeze front across LI. Probably being a bit hard I guess, as in some very localized areas it was a good day. But compared to what was modeled, and the thermodynamics we had today, meh. We'll see tomorrow I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 IDK seems hard to really call it an organized event. By and large the storms were initiated by terrain and the sea breeze front across LI. Probably being a bit hard I guess, as in some very localized areas it was a good day. But compared to what was modeled, and the thermodynamics we had today, meh. We'll see tomorrow I guess. I think it verified pretty well, sure eastern areas missed out but this wasn't expected to be a widespread outbreak or widespread producing event anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 this should be better for eastern areas. a lot more going for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 SREFs are pretty bullish for eastern mass today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 ...NEW ENGLAND... AS THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED UPPER LOW SPREADS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY...RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL NEW ENGLAND IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE TROUGH AND/OR A SOUTHEASTWARD-SWEEPING COLD FRONT. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE MODEST ASIDE FROM WESTERN/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL HEATING IN CONJUNCTION WITH RELATIVELY COOL THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT /-12 TO -16C AT 500 MB/ AND ASSOCIATED STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/POTENTIALLY COPIOUS SUB-SEVERE HAIL...AND PERHAPS DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 Tomorrow should be yet another fun day, although this one will mainly be for eastern sections. Like today, large hail will be the number one threat, however, winds aloft will be stronger than they were today so we could see more in the way of wind damage reports than we did today. Atmosphere might not be as unstable as today so perhaps we don't see some of the insanely large hail reports like we had today. congrats yesterday. Eastern areas should be okay today..still a lot can go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 SREFs are pretty bullish for eastern mass today. things look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Screwzone Ct river to RI border over yesterday and today. Congrats RI border East on major damage today..enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Heavy, heavy fog. unless this can burn off fairly quickly we won't be seeing any storms here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 congrats yesterday. Eastern areas should be okay today..still a lot can go wrong. Yesterday was a pretty good day, not sure what people were expecting to occur or if people were just upset they didn't get anything or what but the slight risk definitely verified and there were a ton of severe criteria hail reports. I think yesterday worked out perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Yesterday was a pretty good day, not sure what people were expecting to occur or if people were just upset they didn't get anything or what but the slight risk definitely verified and there were a ton of severe criteria hail reports. I think yesterday worked out perfectly. Yesterday was a bust for all eastern areas that were under a severe thunderstorm watch. I was under one till 10pm even when it was clearly evident nothing was going to happen. B-U-S-T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Heavy sun. Screw zone today-mht Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 SREFs are pretty bullish for eastern mass today. Bring it... my grass needs a drink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Yesterday was a bust for all eastern areas that were under a severe thunderstorm watch. I was under one till 10pm even when it was clearly evident nothing was going to happen. B-U-S-T. Atmospheric conditions up to the coast were favorable for the development of severe wx, which is why the watch was issued. A watch doesn't mean severe wx is going to happen, there wa sa decent amount of severe within the watch box so the watch did verify. Even if it appeared nothing would have happened you have to have the watch up b/c you never really know when/if something may pop up and you don't want that to happen and have nothing out and people get caught off guard. Eastern areas will get their turn today. Even for yesterday I don't think many from eastern areas should have expected much, especially as the morning went on b/c you could see where the diffuse cold front was setting up and that's where the best lift was occurring, there was very little in the way of lift across eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Eastern areas will get their turn today. I really hope you're right. It's getting very dry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I guess I already cashed in today cause last night at about 1:25am that storm collapsed right over me unleashing its last gasp. Fairly gusty rains then hail started coming down causing me to jump out of bed to check it out. Most was 1/2" but there likely was a few closer to dime size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Yesterday was a pretty good day, not sure what people were expecting to occur or if people were just upset they didn't get anything or what but the slight risk definitely verified and there were a ton of severe criteria hail reports. I think yesterday worked out perfectly. There was a severe thunderstorm watch for all of SNE yesterday that flatly busted anywhere along and east of Hartford-Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I worked outside yesterday on the Greenfield/Deerfield line and we had about 90 minutes of thunder in every direction and not a drop of rain. The lawns are already in rough shape around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanjn Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Looks like a good day for coastal hailers. Probably the usual locations; Newburyport, Ipswich, Duxbury, areas nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsean Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Quarter sized hail from the storm in Waterbury last night. Had torrential rains and TONS of lightning as well. Lost power for 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 Quarter sized hail from the storm in Waterbury last night. Had torrential rains and TONS of lightning as well. Lost power for 5 hours. That is pretty sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 There was a severe thunderstorm watch for all of SNE yesterday that flatly busted anywhere along and east of Hartford-Springfield. There's been plenty of times wiz and I have been under a severe watch and nothing happened but not sure if I could say the watch busted....I've also been under Flood Watch, Blizzard Watch, Tornado Watch, take your pick and nothing happened......now if I was under a warning and nothing happened or I didn't at least see or feel what was warned even if I didn't get the full brunt then maybe the warning busted for me.....but a watch? no I do admit it is annoying to be under a watch and not have anything happend though.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 I wouldn't be shocked if areas east of the ct river have a chance for storms today. There's some hope for Kevin perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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