mattmfm Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Epic fail of a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 closer to the better lift/support. no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 :axe: Just saw this no. Wasn't a serious post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Awesome. Always wanted to go up there for storms. If it wasn't lightning I could run there in like 6 minutes. Ah come on you're getting old....I got some nice video (I think).....several lightning strikes.....iPhone though....see how it turns out....idk....fun though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Storms training to the northeast of here. Only a few drops here so far. Hope we get some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Ah come on you're getting old....I got some nice video (I think).....several lightning strikes.....iPhone though....see how it turns out....idk....fun though I'm afraid of lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Doesn't really make any sense. Only guess would be that shear was even weaker than forecasted and resulted in storms that were enhanced by terrain and remained stationary. And then over time further east areas were inhibited by overshooting cloud tops from storms to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 we know how that works out in NE Sometimes those setups that nobody cares about are the ones that end up surprising. Everyone is focused on today, but ends up busting for some....not all. I don't think tomorrow's threat extends too far west, however. Probably a good day for Maine and maybe down through srn NH and maybe eastern mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 CG RIGHT ON TOP OF ME....FOOK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Its cloudy out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 BURLY MEN RIGHT ON TOP OF ME....FOOKING Is this what happens on the top of parking garages these days ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 People always find something to complain about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Epic fail of a day. Hail, tons of cg's, thunder constant for 2.5 hours now, sirens blaring in the backround. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Bore of a day out here on Block Island, was hoping for a good storm. Well at least Fairfield got some good storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 This is why winter rocks. Think about it. Synoptic snow. Sure you may get screwed by the CF but you are GUARANTEED a period of decent WAA snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Well this says it all http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOX&type=NTP&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 This is why winter rocks. Think about it. Synoptic snow. Sure you may get screwed by the CF but you are GUARANTEED a period of decent WAA snow. Wow, coastal plain coping mechanisms really require some mental gymnastics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 This is why winter rocks. Think about it. Synoptic snow. Sure you may get screwed by the CF but you are GUARANTEED a period of decent WAA snow. 3 months before we can track our weenie flakes. 4 months for legit threats in our backyard. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Banner year for CT altogether. They'll probably get nailed with a cane this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 iPhone picture of mammatus in Nashua from about an hour ago. Pretty cool...usually don't see such a large, distinct quantity of it here. Same up here too. Usually we get some clouds that barely resemble them but today was very well defined and saw them several different times. Pretty cool to see them but would like one good legit severe storm before the summers over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Strong radar returns by the CT/Westchester border... Looks like a couple of areas of precip merged... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Strong radar returns by the CT/Westchester border... Looks like a couple of areas of precip merged... Getting reports of some large hail in that county...up to golf ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Same up here too. Usually we get some clouds that barely resemble them but today was very well defined and saw them several different times. Pretty cool to see them but would like one good legit severe storm before the summers over. Yeah...would've liked it to be accompanied by a severe storm, but beggars can't be choosers, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 I'll call today a 70% PHAIL...Some folks had some nice storms..but overall...not a great day. Tomorrow looks better from the River east. SPC has us in see text Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Right around the NYC area...and that area of SE NY/N NJ all day long there has been a localized pocket of 30 knots vertical shear...you can see as storms moved into that they exploded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Some localized pockets of 30 knots vertical shear developing across portions of western MA. Could still see a few storms pop up over the next few hours per SPC MCD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 I don't know if one area is overwhelmingly favored. Earlier I mentioned areas to the sw perhaps in terms of a better chance of severe, but some of those areas will have clouds for a few hours. I think even into eastern mass looks good, but the one thing that a few models show is the old 7/10 split over SNE. In other words, one batch of storms over NNE and another batch over PA. I don't think it will quote happen like that, but some show that. I like what I see so far. I don't know about the 7-10 split, since I'm a little surprised nobody east of the river saw anything, but seems like up in Maine and down to the southwest by CT river on sw into PA got into the action. Not totally surprised by that, but the wall of the ORH hills was pretty comical. Might be a few cells that try to fire as the s/w approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 I don't know about the 7-10 split, since I'm a little surprised nobody east of the river saw anything, but seems like up in Maine and down to the southwest by CT river on sw into PA got into the action. Not totally surprised by that, but the wall of the ORH hills was pretty comical. Might be a few cells that try to fire as the s/w approaches. Now that I've had the chance to go back and look at what transpired over the past several hours this is what I think... The level of lift today was actually not that strong, the lift from the cold front alone was expected to be relatively weak as it was a more diffuse cold front...the s/w energy rotating through aloft may have actually been weaker than what models showed b/c this feature was supposed to really make for more in the way of widespread storms...well widespread to include eastern sections too. If you watch sfc obs over the past several hours you can clearly see where this diffuse boundary setup. Areas closest to this boundary is where the storms developed, many of these areas also happen to be situated in perfect locations for enhanced lift due to topography and orographic lifting. As these storms then moved into further into the valley regions they were able to sustain themselves a bit b/c there was so much cape but then you quickly saw cores begin to collapse. It was noted that there would be pockets of enhanced shear today, and it so happens that this area was right around the NYC region...and this is where storms really exploded and where some of the largest hail stones occurred. Had instability been weaker today or we didn't have these steep lapse rates we definitely would not have even seen this much action today, there really wasn't a whole lot of lift going on, however, since the atmosphere was moderately unstable under the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates that was all that was needed to produce storms just out ahead of the diffuse boundary which also got help from orographic lifting. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbc360 Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 A friend of mine just posted this on her FB status, few minutes ago here in Killingly, nice shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 That's AMAZING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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