Radders Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 At 156 the ridge out on the west is much more pronounced and it looks like the s/w would be digging in over the southern plains. 1004 surface low starting to form with precip breaking out ahead of the s/w trough, but the heights are rising in the east - looks like this is going to cut inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 174 sub 992 low over western ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yeah, it looks like the Euro is going to hold on to its 0z solution or probably even come in a bit west of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 At 156 the ridge out on the west is much more pronounced and it looks like the s/w would be digging in over the southern plains. 1004 surface low starting to form with precip breaking out ahead of the s/w trough, but the heights are rising in the east - looks like this is going to cut inland. lol funny how the euro can quickly bring us back to earth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 174 sub 992 low over western ohio hmm, i predicted the 12z euro would have a 989 over central OH....close. either way It'll be interesting to see what this whole new lake cutter scenario means for the longer range after the storm, (assuming it is a cutter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Its a bummer that these solutions are so far west (for us easties), but I'm kinda glad there's at least a storm on the map and from all the signaling, it looks like a pretty good bet of some type of system to track. Still plenty of times for shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 180 has a sub 992 over cle, another low is starting to redevelop over centr va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 186 has a sub 988 over lancaster pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Its a bummer that these solutions are so far west (for us easties), but I'm kinda glad there's at least a storm on the map and from all the signaling, it looks like a pretty good bet of some type of system to track. Still plenty of times for shifts. very good point Stormtracker, still got 29 runs of gfs and 14 runs of euro lol alot will change.... hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParanormalWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 186 has a sub 988 over lancaster pa Is that the Central VA low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 192 has a sub 980 just east of watertown ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 We need the original clipper (120 hr) to dive a little more and round the bend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 198 has a 976 just over the upstate ny/ canada border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Its a bummer that these solutions are so far west (for us easties), but I'm kinda glad there's at least a storm on the map and from all the signaling, it looks like a pretty good bet of some type of system to track. Still plenty of times for shifts. Yes.. The problem is the lack of NAO and 50/50.. Everything is too progressive. The original clipper that forms a low out of Newfoundland, just scoots off to the NE too quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LetItSnowInPhilly Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 GFS all alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Nice Yeah you probably get hammered. This track spells blizzard for the OH Valley and then crazy lake effect snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 168 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yeah you probably get hammered. This track spells blizzard for the OH Valley and then crazy lake effect snows. nah buf gets a nice dumb but they go to rain, detriot is the place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 cold air after the storm exits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 cold air after the storm exits Does it still show the -20 line reaching NY state? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 oh well still a week away hopefully it changes tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 alright i tried the gen forums thread but i was just getting ripped cause i was spamming two threads up...so im here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 cold air after the storm exits The proverbial kick-in-the-gut after a lake cutter.... I hope that with a week to go, things change for the better. Right now, per this run, it seems as if we go from wasted cold to warm and rain, and then wasted cold again. I'd rather just torch the rest of the month and start over again in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 228 has a sub 1000mb strong clipper diving south from mn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 ice storm for MBY. ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 Does it still show the -20 line reaching NY state? for when? after the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 In sumary Nina Sucks Rettrograding Patterns suck Polar Jet Phasing sucks Yes a 516DM SW over the lakes pulls everything north -NAO doesn't do a damn thing about it. The GFS sucks ECM GGEM UKM and even the Nogaps are okay!! My positive attude also sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Ok here is 192 ..now that it finally updated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 for when? after the storm? ye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 alright i tried the gen forums thread but i was just getting ripped cause i was spamming two threads up...so im here It was appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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