snowstormcanuck Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'll go ahead and throw in the towel on Irene. Unusually good model agreement on the track considering how far out we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Today marks the 58th day in a row we've hit 80 degrees here at the house. Last sub 80 was June 25th. The streak at MLI ended at 45 when they hit 79. If they would have hit 80 that day (August 10) they would also be at 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'll go ahead and throw in the towel on Irene. Unusually good model agreement on the track considering how far out we are. Yep, considering where it is right now and the fact that the trough is trending stronger, I see exactly 0% chance of this affecting any of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 12z GFS MOS is showing 91 and the NAM has 92, for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 12z GFS MOS is showing 91 and the NAM has 92, for Wednesday. thinking 85 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 I'll go ahead and throw in the towel on Irene. Unusually good model agreement on the track considering how far out we are. Hmm, the 12z Euro, while still a bit too far east, is more interesting over there. Wouldn't take much more of a shift for you to at least get some peripheral effects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Hmm, the 12z Euro, while still a bit too far east, is more interesting over there. Wouldn't take much more of a shift for you to at least get some peripheral effects. Thanks for the heads up. I didn't even bother checking the EURO on account of my towel throwing-in. Now for some straw grasping!...the 15z ETA @ 84 Actually gets Irene into the eastern Gulf. The further west it goes at the lower latitudes means less chance of interacting with ul troughs in the main mid-latitude westerly belt, reducing the risk of rapid recurvature. Not retracting my towel throwing by any means, but usually these forecast tracks don't go 7 days without some sort of hitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 It's interesting how the models seem to shift at the last minute this summer to give N Illinois the brunt of convection, which is what ultimately ends up happening. Even the 0z and 12z GFS' showed the bulk of the convection north of MKE, at least until late tomorrow night. Now we're on the northern fringes it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 It's interesting how the models seem to shift at the last minute this summer to give N Illinois the brunt of convection, which is what ultimately ends up happening. Even the 0z and 12z GFS' showed the bulk of the convection north of MKE, at least until late tomorrow night. Now we're on the northern fringes it looks like. mother nature doesn't like WI, who would? Packer country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 mother nature doesn't like WI, who would? Packer country Tell me about it. I probably shouldn't even say this, but I wish footballl didn't exist. I enjoy watching basketball much more, but I have to endure Packermania every year. Football's not everyone's cup of tea, but it seems like a rite of passage here. End digression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 On a more positive note, pleasant weather today. Got a bit warm/humid toward the end of the afternoon, but 80 with relatively low humidity is not bad. Checked out Erin Hills, the 2017 US Open site, today, as they are hosting the US Amateur this week. Difficult course. I haven't seen a 130 yard par 3 victimize amateur golfers like the 9th did today. Saw a 6 and a 7 in consecutive groups. Anyway, if the weather becomes wet and windy on that beast of a course, I would have to figure no one will finish under par for the US Open in 6 years (or at least, it would be ultra difficult). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Woke up with a chilly 50 outside..Felt amazing. Ready for Fall and the smell of leaves and wood burning stoves. Its time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Monday, August 22nd: Hi: 81F Lo: 58F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 13MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I know that I constantly complain about St. Louis summers being too hot. But seeing this heat down in Oklahoma and Texas is really a humbling experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 0z GFS continues with the heavy rainfall signal late tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Hit 86 here today with full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Over 1.25" of rain so far with what looks like several more downpours on the way. The CG lightning this morning has been very prolific, and actually even somewhat unnerving, as several have hit pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 So apparently wunderground.com has the Euro QPF plots, 2m temps, etc etc. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/24282-wundermap-update/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 So apparently wunderground.com has the Euro QPF plots, 2m temps, etc etc. http://www.americanw...ndermap-update/ Adios crapuweather pro subscription ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 So apparently wunderground.com has the Euro QPF plots, 2m temps, etc etc. http://www.americanw...ndermap-update/ Seems too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Over 1.25" of rain so far with what looks like several more downpours on the way. The CG lightning this morning has been very prolific, and actually even somewhat unnerving, as several have hit pretty close. Over 2.25" now with very heavy rain falling. Have had nonstop thunder since about 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Adios crapuweather pro subscription ! Seems too good to be true. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 I agree. It is surprising considering the reputation that the ECMWF people have. Although as mentioned in the main thread, let's see how quickly it comes out for each run. But a great addition no matter what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Ended up with 2.46" of rain this morning. Pretty good soaking. After spending all morning into early afternoon in the mid 60s, we've rebound back up to 78. Been getting southerly wind gusts in the 30-35mph range the last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Would really like some freaking rain! Hopefully something will make it, so we can at least get some rain. Everything just keeps dying as it crosses into Boone Co.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Would really like some freaking rain! Hopefully something will make it, so we can at least get some rain. Everything just keeps dying as it crosses into Boone Co.. The difference in rainfall this summer between LAF and there, along with IND, has been something. Sun trying to poke out in Kankakee after a nice soaking. Kinda chilly with temps in the mid 60's here all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted August 23, 2011 Author Share Posted August 23, 2011 So apparently wunderground.com has the Euro QPF plots, 2m temps, etc etc. http://www.americanw...ndermap-update/ Just saw this post. Yeah I am shocked as you are. I am pretty excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Just saw this post. Yeah I am shocked as you are. I am pretty excited! I probably should have started a thread like you did. Big exciting news! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 We had one heckuva MCS around 7 am, it woke me up from a deep sleep. Not much wind and only a half inch of rain though, despite a beautiful radar presentation and plenty of lightning. More severe wx on tap this evening as a warm front pushes through: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=72100&source=0 Nothing showing up on radar yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.