ChalkHillSnowNut Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Wow yea I think the house collapse was a big story... What a shame really... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITblizz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Clipper looks pretty good, and so does the storm around Christmas, like you guys said something to track. Im SO glad rants is gone though, i butted heads with him often because i honestly thought it was a shame to have to come to this thread where people are passionate about the weather and read his constant pessimism. There's a difference between not liking snow and still enjoying the meteorology behind it, and just being a troll. Glad to have our thread back and look forward to tracking these storms with you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Clippy Clip Tuesday, maybe an inch or two and then another one about a clone of this one XMas eve. Well could be worse could be Xmas eve 2006, what was that 53 and rain? Crappy Winter that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I don't want to plow snow on Christmas eve, or day. Well could be worse could be Xmas eve 2006, what was that 53 and rain? That'll work. (Digger, the Devil's advocate. ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I don't want to plow snow on Christmas eve, or day. Merry Christmas http://www.meteor.ia...phtml?site=kpit (Very time sensitive) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Christmas eve around 1 PM to Christmas day at 1:00 PM Yeah, it's a week out, but c'mon it's Christmas (Edit....this was time sensitive, so this timeframe in the model looks a bit different!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Christmas eve around 1 PM to Christmas day at 1:00 PM Yeah, it's a week out, but c'mon it's Christmas I was actually going to post this, but I didn't want Digger to commit suicide! Maybe it'll be a Christmas miracle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Really, people, i am not even 14, i am like 18, sorry but everyone doesn't report to the NW I got like 10 inches on the ground!!!!, and it's still coming down hard So I drove up Route 8 today as far north as the Get Go by the Buffalo wild wings. I was excepting to see the aftermath of the Gibsonia Snowmageddon. Of course there has been some blowing and compacting, so I tried to just view it relative to what I had 4 or 5 miles away. Unfortunately, there was very little if any difference along the entire stretch of Route 8. So no....you didn't have 10" Nothing personal, we just have to sure up those snow measuring skills for when then good synoptic snows hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I was actually going to post this, but I didn't want Digger to commit suicide! Maybe it'll be a Christmas miracle? I'm not going out that easy. It'll be homicides first.... Then I'll just plow myself to death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I'm not going out that easy. It'll be homicides first.... Then I'll just plow myself to death. Christmas Morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Christmas Morning. LOL! If it's Christmas morning, those guys are probably getting double time and a half. (Even funnier, you're paying them.) I think I might've posted this one on the old forum. Maybe not though. It came from the Post Gazette website. Left lane, directly behind the car with the door open, is me. That was 12/13/09. Ice storm. Spent about three hours on the Parkway West, just sitting there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 LOL! If it's Christmas morning, those guys are probably getting double time and a half. (Even funnier, you're paying them.) I think I might've posted this one on the old forum. Maybe not though. It came from the Post Gazette website. Left lane, directly behind the car with the door open, is me. That was 12/13/09. Ice storm. Spent about three hours on the Parkway West, just sitting there... That was a rough morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Christmas eve in to Christmas day looks very interesting. Storm is about 150 miles or so south of where we want it at this point, so that is looking good! 2-4 on Xmas, make it happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This might sound paranoid, but could north Pitt weather be rants too? Remember mikedz from the other board? Had a very similar style to this guy.... Is it possible rants created an über weenie just to start flaming with? And north pitts, I apologize in advance if you are your own person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This might sound paranoid, but could north Pitt weather be rants too? Remember mikedz from the other board? Had a very similar style to this guy.... Is it possible rants created an über weenie just to start flaming with? And north pitts, I apologize in advance if you are your own person. Make sure you don't confuse him with me. I found it weird that someone would pick that name since I've been using it since 2003. I have been considering changing mine so there wasn't any confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Make sure you don't confuse him with me. I found it weird that someone would pick that name since I've been using it since 2003. I have been considering changing mine so there wasn't any confusion. Don't worry. Won't be a problem. You don't have that sort of posting style LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PittWeatherWatch Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD ON MONDAY AND PROVIDE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES INTO MONDAY NIGHT, BUT SHORTWAVE IS STILL PROJECTED TO CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH MODEL WORLD TRACKS AND TIMING HAVE NOT BEEN CONSISTENT. LACK OF CONFIDENCE DICTATES A PERSISTENCE FORECAST; THUS, LIGHT PRECIP PROBABILITIES WERE CONTINUED FOR TUESDAY WITH SUB ADVISORY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GIVEN THE OPEN WAVE PROJECTIONS IN THE MID LEVELS CAUSING A TOO-PROGRESSIVE ASCENT PROGNOSIS AND MOISTURE SUPPLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Verbatim, 12z gfs gives us about .5 inches of qpf Xmas eve into the morning. Very high ratios though with the -10 line dropping into our are. My guess with good ratios off the gfs would be around 8 inches and a great white Xmas. Again too, since the gfs always seems to have a south bias, the path the low is taking at this point is ideal. If we get the north trend at the end we get closer too the .75 qpf range, and who knows what will happen as we get closer with regards to total precip. In any case, at this point, we are in prime position for a true snowstorm Christmas eve into christmas mornig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 0Z and 6Z GFS had us in the 10" to 13" range for the Christmas storm. http://www.meteor.ia...phtml?site=kpit ...and a little more at county... http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kagc This will probably update shortly, but it looks like the 12Z has backed off a little to maybe the 8" range. It looks like it loses a little steam compared to the QPF to the south and west.....but history shows us this isn't the worst place to be 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderhead Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The southern shortwave associated with this potential Christmas storm is still over the Pacific, and it likely won't reach the West Coast until 0z Thursday. To avoid disappointments like with the last storm (I suppose felt more by those along the I-95 corridor and New England), I suggest to not take any model solution seriously until 0z Thursday. The current projections are for a phase in the central US, and with the progressive flow, it's generally more difficult for phasing to occur in La Nina's compared with the slower flow in El Ninos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 18z has the low over philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITblizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This has been great weather for the holidays, good football weather tonight. Heinz Field definitely had a nice snow shower move through. ^ lol i was gonna say save yourself the stress for this week and don't check the 18z gfs. Hope it turns out good for us, something to keep an eye on especially considering all the travel. Go steelers btw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This has been great weather for the holidays, good football weather tonight. Heinz Field definitely had a nice snow shower move through. ^ lol i was gonna say save yourself the stress for this week and don't check the 18z gfs. Hope it turns out good for us, something to keep an eye on especially considering all the travel. Go steelers btw! My God 18Z is beautiful... ....perspective needed since there is only about 20 runs left before the first flakes. What could possibly go wrong Back to the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 My God 18Z is beautiful... ....perspective needed since there is only about 20 runs left before the first flakes. What could possibly go wrong Back to the game Call mother nature and look your solutions in now!! GFS seems to be an outlier right now unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Wow! 18z gives us an inch of qpf, maybe some mixing, but the secondary takes over in time to keep us mostly snow.... Long way to go, but these are storms we do well in...primary that transfers energy to the secondary before the primary can make into our area and change us to rain...that's what happened, at least I think on the 5th and 6th of feb last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Wow! 18z gives us an inch of qpf, maybe some mixing, but the secondary takes over in time to keep us mostly snow.... Long way to go, but these are storms we do well in...primary that transfers energy to the secondary before the primary can make into our area and change us to rain...that's what happened, at least I think on the 5th and 6th of feb last year. 22" as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Its a hair above 22" http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kpit 23" for agc http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kagc The largest Snowstorm for December is 25.9" in 1890(December 16-18) The largest 24 hr snowfall for December is 22" set in 1890 on December 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Its a hair above 22" http://www.meteor.ia...phtml?site=kpit 23" for agc http://www.meteor.ia...phtml?site=kagc The largest Snowstorm for December is 25.9" in 1890(December 16-18) The largest 24 hr snowfall for December is 22" set in 1890 on December 17th. Edit: you were talking December...oops But the real comparison is number of times a storm has been modeled at 20" 6 days out. That number is in the hundreds, so we got a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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