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Chasing DON


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Cory and I are camped out in the parking lot of a convenience store trying to figure out this steaming pile of "cyclone".

The BRO feature seems to be dissipating, whereas the official center seems to be possibly reasserting itself with some new convection on the W side. Given this, we're thinking to stay up between Corpus and Baffin Bay.

Our latest idea is to get onto the part of Padre Island that's accessible from Oso Bay (at the S end of Corpus Christi Bay). The road goes pretty far down, and we'd be right on the open Gulf, which could make the conditions slightly interesting.

We're going to watch a few more radar frames before deciding.

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Since it is difficult to get a center location, have you considered dumping the idea of catching the center and instead catching the convection to find the highest winds in the system?

Might be an idea since there is no recon, and your data could certainly help in identifying a landfall intensity! :)

This is actually not a crazy idea, given the circumstances.

Fortunately, the "official" center seems to be reasserting itself a tad, and there are some nice convective cells near it. So we're thinking to head to Loyola Beach, at the W end of Baffin Bay, where Scott directed us.

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I think we do have time. When should we get some new obs?

We're trying to decide between Loyola Beach (Baffin Bay) or Padre Island S of Oso Bay. Hard to decide.

Might get lucky and get one in about 30 min. At operational altitude and figure they will try and get a center fix asap where the original one is supposed to be.

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Cory and I are close to aborting. Not only is the system lacking a coherent center, but current radar doesn't even show clear rotation to the overall system. It seems to be unraveling into a big blob of rain showers. It's hard not to laugh at the lameness of this system. :D

Recon should be closing in on the center if there still is one.

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Cory and I are close to aborting. Not only is the system lacking a coherent center, but current radar doesn't even show clear rotation to the overall system. It seems to be unraveling into a big blob of rain showers. It's hard not to laugh at the lameness of this system. :D

:scooter: 20 years eh?

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Hey, folks--

We're in Riviera Beach, right on Baffin Bay. We did not come here to chase-- rather, we just wanted to some recon for future cyclone chases in this area.

We were kind of surprised that the new (7 pm CDT) advisory suggests a coherent cyclone, with a center, about to make landfall right where we are-- because nothing much is happening here:

1009.8 mb

NE 6 kt

84 F

Cloudy, not currently raining

Choppy seas

There's a cafe, so we're going to have a cup of coffee while the BASTARD records some data. We figure even these lame-azz obs will be useful for assessing what happened in postanalysis.

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Pressure seems steady now, as it's 1009.3 mb, with light rain and breezes. Big non-event.

What's really bizarre is the current (0015Z) IR image, which has us in the center of the action, under reds. It just goes to show how course IR imagery really is-- because based on that image, you'd think we were at least having heavy downpours right now.

Weird.

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The apparent remnants of the circulation center seem to be passing over us.

The pressure has steadied at 1009.3 mb for a while, and we're seeing patches of blue sky and even a rainbow over the Bay. The W sky is sunny and orange, the sky to the E (across the Bay) is dark and purple.

Let's see if we get a shift in the wind direction.

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Baffin Bay is really nice, by the way. I'm sitting on the edge of a pier in Riviera Beach, overlooking the Bay-- just a little bit of light and color left in the W sky. Warm and humid, wind no more than 10 kt. A couple of dudes are fishing two piers down, and a couple of windows are lit in a couple of cottages-- otherwise, no sign of people if this sleepy fishing village. (Cory's off somewhere else, talking on the phone.)

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Baffin Bay is really nice, by the way. I'm sitting on the edge of a pier in Riviera Beach, overlooking the Bay-- just a little bit of light and color left in the W sky. Warm and humid, wind no more than 10 kt. Someone's fishing two piers down-- otherwise, no sign of people. (Cory's off somewhere else, talking on the phone.)

probably not even enough wind to make the palm trees bendy sad.gif

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