tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 183 and 186 has a sub 992 low that move ene or due east about 100 miles south of bm se pa east in lgt to mod precip nyc area into mod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 There's been a 12z model thread there since 9 am when the NAM came out it must of been burried cause i didnt see it at the top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 good lord sne and maine get crushed...after the storm 5-0 temps comes into philly on north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 180 hours Storm is still there ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 so far through hr162 looks nothing like the 6z. it has a weak wave moving through the ohio val with some lgt precip in the se states. Only problem is the 850s are just south of the m/d line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Hr 180 surface 32 line is just west of the major citys, from DC-Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 granted its far out but the bl is very close for the big cities. North and west on this should b fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 good lord sne and maine get crushed...after the storm 5-0 temps comes into philly on north so nyc is all snow this run? not that it matters anyway, just happy the storm is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Henry M just posted on 12z data = "The storm still there and love the blocking"...sounds like his big daddy hat still firmly in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Absolutely brutally cold air coming in behind this storm... -16C at 925 for most of the region and a nose of -20C heading into Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 it wasn't, look at 6z, the cold air was firmly entrenched south. this 12z run the 925 0 line was on the md line the whole time as well as the 850s pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 so nyc is all snow this run? not that it matters anyway, just happy the storm is there Im stuck at 180.....and up to that point Nyc is prob rain/slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 192 Really blows up between 180-192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 180 hours Storm is still there ! Exactly. People nit-picking about BL temps and crap are ridiculous. Storm is still there, that's all we wanted. Temps can be worked out as we go through the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Looks very close for NYC. Low bombs 6 hours too late. Not a big issue at this time frame. Means nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Henry M just posted on 12z data = "The storm still there and love the blocking"...sounds like his big daddy hat still firmly in place OH NO, you didnt, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I would love to see what going on between hr 180 and 192.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Exactly. People nit-picking about BL temps and crap are ridiculous. Storm is still there, that's all we wanted. Temps can be worked out as we go through the next 7 days. Surface temps @ 180 are not that bad regardless...about 32-33 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 well the nyc area gets hit pretty good by the rapidly developing coastal, and New England gets crushed. Cant wait for the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TKFJ Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Cold air does not entrench itself in the area before the storm arrives this run. System does not get cranking until it is in NE. Its there though..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 I would love to see what going on between hr 180 and 192.... hr 183 frz line on the coast sub 996 low about 200 miles east of cape may, lgt to mod precip se pa eastern pa nj del nyc, mod precip over se pa southern nj hr 186 frz line on coast, sub 992 about 100 miles south of the bm, lgt to mod precip se pa up the del riv east, mod precip central and northern nj in nyc and li hr 189 frz line on coast sub 988 low over bm, lgt to mod precip del river east mod precip over li and coastal central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Surface temps @ 180 are not that bad regardless...about 32-33 degrees Need that low to bomb after it hits the coast (assuming the euro track from last night is wrong). Unless the euro ends up being right you guys have a much better shot at snow than Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 192 Really blows up between 180-192 I'd also like to know how much precip. falls in between for PHL/NYC. I'm not too excited yet - track/temps and QPF could still be issues - but storm is there and has been for a few runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Im stuck at 180.....and up to that point Nyc is prob rain/slop Huh? The 0 line is down by ACY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 183 frz line on the coast sub 996 low about 200 miles east of cape may, lgt to mod precip se pa eastern pa nj del nyc, mod precip over se pa southern nj hr 186 frz line on coast, sub 992 about 100 miles south of the bm, lgt to mod precip se pa up the del riv east, mod precip central and northern nj in nyc and li hr 189 frz line on coast sub 988 low over bm, lgt to mod precip del river east mod precip over li and coastal central nj That sounds like a pretty nice hit for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Huh? The 0 line is down by ACY. It would probably be 33 and snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Need that low to bomb after it hits the coast (assuming the euro track from last night is wrong). Unless the euro ends up being right you guys have a much better shot at snow than Philly. This is a decent run for NYC and great for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 183 frz line on the coast sub 996 low about 200 miles east of cape may, lgt to mod precip se pa eastern pa nj del nyc, mod precip over se pa southern nj hr 186 frz line on coast, sub 992 about 100 miles south of the bm, lgt to mod precip se pa up the del riv east, mod precip central and northern nj in nyc and li hr 189 frz line on coast sub 988 low over bm, lgt to mod precip del river east mod precip over li and coastal central nj Ok - thanks, Tom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 183 frz line on the coast sub 996 low about 200 miles east of cape may, lgt to mod precip se pa eastern pa nj del nyc, mod precip over se pa southern nj hr 186 frz line on coast, sub 992 about 100 miles south of the bm, lgt to mod precip se pa up the del riv east, mod precip central and northern nj in nyc and li hr 189 frz line on coast sub 988 low over bm, lgt to mod precip del river east mod precip over li and coastal central nj ^ you're referencing 850 0 line and not the surface freezing line, correct?...surface 0 line generally is 50 miles northwest of the 850 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Huh? The 0 line is down by ACY. He's talking about surface temps. At that point its 33-34 but we go to 32 and below right after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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