tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 out to hr 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Hey Tombo, thanks for getting us started. Let's make it a good one. out to hr 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 i didnt see anything in gen forums so im gonna do it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 First clipper moving into MN at 102 hrs looks pretty good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 First clipper moving into MN at 102 hrs looks pretty good so far. yea in terms of moisture its a little juicer and little further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 At 108 hrs snow moving into Ohio looks a little better, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 At 108 hrs snow moving into Ohio looks a little better, yes? yea, but the southerly flow is starting to take hold the 0 line at 925mb is moving north fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 i didnt see anything in gen forums so im gonna do it here http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/2214-20101205-12z-guidance-discussion/page__pid__67558#entry67558 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yes, but the 534 line remains south of PA and NJ the entire time. I think this indicates all snow. yea, but the southerly flow is starting to take hold the 0 line at 925mb is moving north fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yes, but the 534 line remains south of PA and NJ the entire time. I think this indicates all snow. trust me from her 123 on it tourches the bl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 it really means nothing i think this area gets like .05 qpf if that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Tombo looking forward to your breakdown later today. Hopefully a colder solution for all of us will come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Someone else can start the general one. We've been having model threads in our regional subforums since the day they were made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 trust me from her 123 on it tourches the bl. Yep, 925mb temps are well above zero as we head into Friday evening... Even those N and W of the big cities would have BL issues i would imagine. Precipitation is pretty light too, so that wouldn't help in cooling the column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 that was my thought to, the gen forums just get nuts cause then you a ton of imby from everyone everywhere. Atleast when its in a specific region you can just focus on the region and answer the imby questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 If the precip is very light anyway then it's no big deal. We need the setup to fall into place to keep the next one from going inland that's all thats important right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 through hr 150 gfs doesnt look that good, the cold air is hung up, it really hasnt pushed any further south of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 we're not going to force people to post in the main forum but please consider if you're not posting regional specific stuff to do so there. not all regions have the mix of mets and knowledgeable folks to make model threads useful. our intent with subforums was also not to kill the main forum http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/2214-20101205-12z-guidance-discussion/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 We are discussing the models for our region. Not general. Keep it here for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 so far through hr162 looks nothing like the 6z. it has a weak wave moving through the ohio val with some lgt precip in the se states. Only problem is the 850s are just south of the m/d line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 168 is starting to get going looks like a new sub 1012 low formed over east central ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 so far through hr162 looks nothing like the 6z. it has a weak wave moving through the ohio val with some lgt precip in the se states. Only problem is the 850s are just south of the m/d line All storms are close calls for coast and Philly. Nothing different here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 broad area of 1012 low over central nc, precip is still in central and w pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 One thing is for sure there's a lot of cold air to tap if needed. The cold is not as entrenched this run because it doesn't "bomb" the clipper like previous runs. But it's still there just north of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 174 sub 1008 low over hatteras, precip over all of pa del and central and southern jerz. the bl is still pretty warm surface temps are in the mid 30s but at 925mb phl is right at 0 or a hair below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 i didnt see anything in gen forums so im gonna do it here There's been a 12z model thread there since 9 am when the NAM came out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LetItSnowInPhilly Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Looks bad compared to yesterday's 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 hr 180 sub 1000 low 100 miles or so east of lewes del mod precip over nj se pa del, frz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 We need that stormoff NC to bomb out so we can crash the surface temps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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