winterwarlock Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 I pulled the numbers off the 8/10 0z GFS for KPHL - they are what they are. I don't know where you are that there's a mid-80s forecast for Saturday, yesterday KPHL was 78 or so, today Saturday looks like 81 with rain rolling in. It's looking better for you though - middle of next week looks a lot warmer than it did a couple of days ago. If you are keeping score, yesterday was a 0 again, so that's 1 positive, two neutral days so far... And yes, I understand how lame this discussion is, but there's nothing going on! Mt Holly thats where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Going to be a cool night up north. Down to 57 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 It gonna rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 It gonna rain! wow! I could see Binghamton nws issuing flood watches for Nepa if this holds. My area is already 3+ from departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Good Lord at this sounding... Saturated b/c its raining at 75hrs on the 0z Nam. just look at the veering of the winds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Good Lord at this sounding... Saturated b/c its raining at 75hrs on the 0z Nam. just look at the veering of the winds.. That must be a sexy hodograph! Too bad there's no instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 61.6° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 For the first time since May, I felt chilly in a t-shirt and shorts working my summer job at the golf course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 58.8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 55 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 58* here. Cool enough for long sleeves and pants. Refreshing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 12, 2011 Author Share Posted August 12, 2011 54.4f around 6:30am can't wait for more consistant 50's for low's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Hit 49 degrees around 6AM this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Nice to have the windows wide open this morning and to know I won't have to change shirts 3 times during yard work today. Also, good to know that thoughts of buying a snow blower are entering my mind. Blizzards will be here before you know it. Hit 49 degrees around 6AM this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Well, you first posted Monday (+7) and yesterday was (0). Looking at the 0z GFS, today is -3, tomorrow -8, Friday -1, Saturday -7, Sunday -8, Monday -7. No guarantee it verifies, but it's the 3rd day advertising the cool down, so its a pretty good signal. Wednesday was 0 and yesterday was -1. Overnight was 65 so unless we hit 90 today will be negative too. For those thinking about winter, GFS is verifying +4 throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 58* here. Cool enough for long sleeves and pants. Refreshing! You guys are wusses. I went to the Elko Airport this morning in shorts and a t-shirt and it was 48 degrees. It felt fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 12, 2011 Author Share Posted August 12, 2011 Your a wuss. I went to the Elko Airport this morning in shorts and a t-shirt and it was 48 degrees. It felt fine. fixed. keep others out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 You guys are wusses. I went to the Elko Airport this morning in shorts and a t-shirt and it was 48 degrees. It felt fine. yea, that's because you knew it was going up to 90 today ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 By the way, peak persoid metoer shower tonight and the space station flyover PA.. i havent looked the last two nights for metoers, but maybe tonight. Anyhow, here's the Space station visibility times for tonight over the philly metro area. Apparently, it's large and bright enough to not be hidden by light pollution from the city and the moon:The numbers before the cardinal directions indicate where to look in the sky.. best time would seem to be 10:03EDT and looking towards the WSW sky. Anyone in the area outside of philly, look here: http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/realdata/sightings/cities/region.cgi?country=United_States®ion=Pennsylvania ISSFri Aug 12/05:29 AM52711 above WNW11 above SSEISSFri Aug 12/08:30 PM< 11010 above SE10 above SEISSFri Aug 12/10:03 PM23010 above WSW30 above WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 now back to the rain threat: 12z qpf 5 day outlook: GFS came in a bit wetter for eastern PA..the jackpot will go to anyone who can get some convective rain/storms...Any breaks in the sun could result in an isolated severe storms. hour 48 on the 12z GFS almost has a dry slot in central pa.. Maybe some breaks in the sun..18z Sunday: Just something to keep an eye on. Obviously, this will be an mesoanalysis kind of day with now casting. How Saturated will the column be? All the way up to 200mb.. thats a soaker!(48hr 12z GFS-philly) Notice the winds aloft aren't too strong (25-40kts?) so while the typical fall nor'easter has stronger winds to mix down strictly due to rain, doesn't seem like too much of a wind threat without any convction. Also, notice the turning of winds. Not a full 90degree turn of winds, but enough, that any convection that forms with any cape/sunlight breaks could have a wind and an isolated tornado potential. My call, widespread 1-3" with up to isolated 5" amounts possible with anywho jackpots under training convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 By the way, peak persoid metoer shower tonight and the space station flyover PA.. i havent looked the last two nights for metoers, but maybe tonight. Anyhow, here's the Space station visibility times for tonight over the philly metro area. Apparently, it's large and bright enough to not be hidden by light pollution from the city and the moon:The numbers before the cardinal directions indicate where to look in the sky.. best time would seem to be 10:03EDT and looking towards the WSW sky. Anyone in the area outside of philly, look here: http://spaceflight.n...on=Pennsylvania ISSFri Aug 12/05:29 AM52711 above WNW11 above SSEISSFri Aug 12/08:30 PM< 11010 above SE10 above SEISSFri Aug 12/10:03 PM23010 above WSW30 above WSW Looks fairly low in horizion. I like this site and link: http://www.heavens-above.com/PassDetails.asp?lat=40.391&lng=-75.493&loc=Pennsburg&alt=96&tz=EST&satid=25544&date=40768.086879375 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 now back to the rain threat: 12z qpf 5 day outlook: GFS came in a bit wetter for eastern PA..the jackpot will go to anyone who can get some convective rain/storms...Any breaks in the sun could result in an isolated severe storms. hour 48 on the 12z GFS almost has a dry slot in central pa.. Maybe some breaks in the sun..18z Sunday: Just something to keep an eye on. Obviously, this will be an mesoanalysis kind of day with now casting. How Saturated will the column be? All the way up to 200mb.. thats a soaker!(48hr 12z GFS-philly) Notice the winds aloft aren't too strong (25-40kts?) so while the typical fall nor'easter has stronger winds to mix down strictly due to rain, doesn't seem like too much of a wind threat without any convction. Also, notice the turning of winds. Not a full 90degree turn of winds, but enough, that any convection that forms with any cape/sunlight breaks could have a wind and an isolated tornado potential. My call, widespread 1-3" with up to isolated 5" amounts possible with anywho jackpots under training convection. Great post. You should copy this to the heavy rain thread. My basic thinking is, this is basically a summer Miller B. With an energy transfer, someone gets jackpotted, there's a dryslot, and a sharp cutoff between the two. The 18z GFS jackpots Point Pleasant, NJ or thereabouts with 4.51" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 is it winter yet?! That -NAO is amazing looking. Lotta hope that it will stick around for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 21, 2011 Share Posted August 21, 2011 No more banter, folks? I'm returning to Hazleton tomorrow...back to obs from there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 no AC weather upon us for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 22, 2011 Author Share Posted August 22, 2011 high temp bust today? q-town forecast 80, 73 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Great day here with temperatures in the upper 70s. Spent the weekend back on Long Island with my parents, got rocked by storms Sunday evening. Looks like I missed some fun around here Sunday afternoon. As for Irene, I have never been a fan of "forecasting or predicting" the eventual track of tropical systems. I'd rather take a backseat . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Since its "slowed" down around here for the next day or so thought I would share some pictures from last September 30ths rain event that I finally got around to uploading. Think there was anywhere from 5-8 inches over night not sure. This is Darby creek in lansdowne, delco. Mind you by the time the pictures/videos were taken the water had receded about a foot as you can see in some of the pictures. Highest I had seen that creek since Floyd and that was just.......yeah. I have to give credit to my brother for these though as I had to go to school that morning. http://community.web...com/user/Boch23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 22, 2011 Share Posted August 22, 2011 Only made it to 68 today in Hazleton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 23, 2011 Share Posted August 23, 2011 Since its "slowed" down around here for the next day or so thought I would share some pictures from last September 30ths rain event that I finally got around to uploading. Think there was anywhere from 5-8 inches over night not sure. This is Darby creek in lansdowne, delco. Mind you by the time the pictures/videos were taken the water had receded about a foot as you can see in some of the pictures. Highest I had seen that creek since Floyd and that was just.......yeah. I have to give credit to my brother for these though as I had to go to school that morning. http://community.web...com/user/Boch23 Great photos. That rain event was a major mess on the Perkiomen Creek as well with 10-11" of rain here in Graterford. Major flooding that resulted in one death in Mont. Co. PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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