Grothar Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Better mow before Thursday then. Then maybe another mow at the end of the weekend after a few days of drying out. Those storms forming in the western part of the state tonight look like they may hold together for an early morning surprise. What do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Those storms forming in the western part of the state tonight look like they may hold together for an early morning surprise. What do you think? I hope not. Models don't show them making it past the Applachains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Thunder threat as well tonight...probably after 6/7 PM with front #1. #2 will cancel summer for most of the region when it comes through tomorrow midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Thunder threat as well tonight...probably after 6/7 PM with front #1. #2 will cancel summer for most of the region when it comes through tomorrow midday. how long can we expect this to last? thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 how long can we expect this to last? thanks! We'll probably be back above 80 towards the end of next week. GFS wants to torch the region 9/24ish before another shot of cool comes in...Euro is less bullish on the torching but still has things nudging warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 We'll probably be back above 80 towards the end of next week. GFS wants to torch the region 9/24ish before another shot of cool comes in...Euro is less bullish on the torching but still has things nudging warmer. enough of the t word till next summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 enough of the t word till next summer You'll hear it a good bit in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 You'll hear it a good bit in February. Sorry, couldn't resist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Let's hope the GFS is right. Dr. No has been saying no, hope its right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 You'll hear it a good bit in February. so what ur saying for upcoming winter is brutal cold and snow till february thaw then another cold snowy march? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 so what ur saying for upcoming winter is brutal cold and snow till february thaw bifurcation then another cold snowy march? you must always use the word bifurcation in a winter sentence. You know the rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 You'll hear it a good bit in February. Unless a SSW screws it up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 you must always use the word bifurcation in a winter sentence. You know the rules. I think there would be a prize in it if one used exacerbation of the bifurcation over the cordillera in a single sentence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 I think there would be a prize in it if one used exacerbation of the bifurcation over the cordillera in a single sentence. let me guess. A Cowboys bag with the number "8" stitched on the side? One can see simply here a case where the non-sampled grid is having issues with placement of the polar jet so that bifurcation of said jet over the cordillera is not exacerbated enough to produce genesis in the proper location. When sampled correctly, it is easy to see that a BECS will be produced in my backyard. Just watch what happens tonight when the s/w gets better sampled. The good thing about writing in this manner is that you can be completely full of it and sound eminently intelligent. Until of course enough other intelligent people look closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 let me guess. A Cowboys bag with the number "8" stitched on the side? One can see simply here a case where the non-sampled grid is having issues with placement of the polar jet so that bifurcation of said jet over the cordillera is not exacerbated enough to produce genesis in the proper location. When sampled correctly, it is easy to see that a BECS will be produced in my backyard. Just watch what happens tonight when the s/w gets better sampled. The good thing about writing in this manner is that you can be completely full of it and sound eminently intelligent. Until of course enough other intelligent people look closer. That went in the dumpster on 9/30 of last year. If only Grothar was at the open house (he would have "won" it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 so what ur saying for upcoming winter is brutal cold and snow till february thaw then another cold snowy march? pretty much above normal by 1-2 degrees than a huge torch, with epic amounts of rain and little snow...maybe a tropical system hitting the jersey coast in early february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 pretty much above normal by 1-2 degrees than a huge torch, with epic amounts of rain and little snow...maybe a tropical system hitting the jersey coast in early february I support this forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 epic amounts of rain Well, I did always want my house to be a beach house. But seriously, it's a nice midsummer-like day today. Although I am looking forward to cool days and chilly nights Friday through Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Looking for some exciting weather here again, getting tired with the OT board. No flooding though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 let me guess. A Cowboys bag with the number "8" stitched on the side? One can see simply here a case where the non-sampled grid is having issues with placement of the polar jet so that bifurcation of said jet over the cordillera is not exacerbated enough to produce genesis in the proper location. When sampled correctly, it is easy to see that a BECS will be produced in my backyard. Just watch what happens tonight when the s/w gets better sampled. The good thing about writing in this manner is that you can be completely full of it and sound eminently intelligent. Until of course enough other intelligent people look closer. Tony I think gets depressed at times when he hears about that Cowboys bag. We really should not mention it again. Nice use of those words by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 so what ur saying for upcoming winter is brutal cold and snow till february thaw then another cold rainy march? FIFY. I support this forecast. Need a snowcane thrown in somewhere though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 let me guess. A Cowboys bag with the number "8" stitched on the side? One can see simply here a case where the non-sampled grid is having issues with placement of the polar jet so that bifurcation of said jet over the cordillera is not exacerbated enough to produce genesis in the proper location. When sampled correctly, it is easy to see that a BECS will be produced in my backyard. Just watch what happens tonight when the s/w gets better sampled. The good thing about writing in this manner is that you can be completely full of it and sound eminently intelligent. Until of course enough other intelligent people look closer. Somewhere you need to throw in "genesis" and "metamorphosis" in order to fully capture the spirit of the thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Somewhere you need to throw in "genesis" and "metamorphosis" in order to fully capture the spirit of the thing. I did use genesis. Are you suggesting I'm not capable of understanding simple atmospheric dynamics? Where's your Met degree to say such a thing? I may not be working in the Met field, but dammit I know when to use genesis and when to use metamorphosis. For your further information, I didn't use metamorphosis because it would have been inappropriate for the meteorological point I was making. If you had studied enough to have a Met tag like me, you would have known that, you unwashed mass of poo. Edit: for those not in the know, this is not a real discussion. Edit two: I just thought of something. This discussion would be great in one of those Hitler videos where he goes off on some inane tangent. I can see him pointing to the unsampled data field and then getting all in a lather over a BECS and what other Mets on here say. It would be hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Nothing beats the most weenieish word of them all... STALL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 I did use genesis. Are you suggesting I'm not capable of understanding simple atmospheric dynamics? Where's your Met degree to say such a thing? I may not be working in the Met field, but dammit I know when to use genesis and when to use metamorphosis. For your further information, I didn't use metamorphosis because it would have been inappropriate for the meteorological point I was making. If you had studied enough to have a Met tag like me, you would have known that, you unwashed mass of poo. Edit: for those not in the know, this is not a real discussion. Edit two: I just thought of something. This discussion would be great in one of those Hitler videos where he goes off on some inane tangent. I can see him pointing to the unsampled data field and then getting all in a lather over a BECS and what other Mets on here say. It would be hilarious. You did. It just wasn't bolded. I look for fancy bolded words only. I suppose I could just resort to responding to your point by calling you a "fooking slopehead" instead as dee tee would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Incoming storms out by York on radar. http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=ccx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Incoming storms out by York on radar. http://radar.weather...1101111&loop=no How far east do you think they should make it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 How far east do you think they should make it? Modeling from 12z had them fizzle in the western burbs. The 20z HRRR fizzles them out west of Philly as well. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr:&runTime=2011091420&plotName=3hap_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full&wjet=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Modeling from 12z had them fizzle in the western burbs. The 20z HRRR fizzles them out west of Philly as well. http://rapidrefresh....ain=full&wjet=1 See the reason i ask this is if these can hold up enough to make it remotely close enough for me to get some lightning footage out of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Philly hit 88 today. I bet if we were dry, it might have been 90 or above. Looking forward to the cool period and like seeing that 0z 850 line below us in the long range on the GFS. Means snow can't be THAT far ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.