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July 21-? Severe Weather


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F2 tornado confirmed in Lambton County ON from Friday

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE
NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 11:26 AM EDT TUESDAY 26 JULY 2011.

-------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS CONFIRMED AN F2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN
LAMBTON COUNTY OF SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO SATURDAY EVENING JULY 23RD
2011. THE DAMAGE TRACK IS ONE HALF KM WIDE AND 11 KM LONG EXTENDING
FROM 7 TO 8 KM SOUTHEAST OF WYOMING ONTARIO TO 10 TO 12 KM SOUTH OF
WATFORD ONTARIO. THE DAMAGE OBSERVED ALONG THIS PATH INCLUDED A BARN
DESTROYED AND SEVERAL STEEL HYDRO TOWERS DOWN. THIS IS CONSISTENT
WITH THE STRENGTH OF AN F2 TORNADO WITH WIND SPEEDS IN THE 180 TO
230 KM/H RANGE.

NO DEATH OR INJURIES WERE REPORTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS TORNADO.

END/OSPC

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A little old but

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD

956 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

BIG STONE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

TRAVERSE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

EAST CENTRAL DAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...

GRANT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...

ROBERTS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

* AT 955 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS

IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE

EXTENDING FROM COLLIS TO 7 MILES EAST OF CORONA TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF

SUMMIT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...

LAGOONA BEACH AND CLINTON AROUND 1005 PM CDT...

TWIN BROOKS AROUND 1010 PM CDT...

ORTONVILLE...MILBANK AND BIG STONE CITY AROUND 1015 PM CDT...

STOCKHOLM AROUND 1025 PM CDT...

ARTICHOKE AROUND 1035 PM CDT...

LA BOLT AROUND 1040 PM CDT...

REVILLO AND ALBEE AROUND 1045 PM CDT...

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Does anyone have any further info on next week's potential threat? Imy mentioned a potentially significant trough ejecting eastward on Monday and Tuesday, along with a possibly well organized frontal system (He said perhaps the most developed in the last month) in the 4-8 day outlook.

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From the new 4-8 day:

...MON THROUGH WED...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF THE SRN PORTION OF A STRONG CANADIAN TROUGH AMPLIFYING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY ON MONDAY...AND THEN SHIFTING EWD INTO THE NERN STATES BY WED. A WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THE UPPER TROUGH THROUGH THE NRN STATES. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO DROP AS FAR SWD AS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY REGION TUESDAY AND OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC REGION WED. THERE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT SHEAR...INSTABILITY AND STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO IDENTIFY IF AND WHERE THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE AOA 30 PERCENT.

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If those are like high-tension power transmission towers, that's typically considered EF3 damage.

It was an F2 tornado that knocked down the hyrdo towers and took out my lights last Saturday night in SW Ontario. Good call by Tony.

AWCN11 CWTO 270335Weather summary for all of Southern Ontario and theNational Capital Region issued by Environment CanadaAt 11:35 PM EDT Tuesday 26 July 2011.-------------------------------------------------------------Environment Canada has confirmed an f2 tornado touched down in Lambton County of Southwestern Ontario Saturday evening July 23rd 2011. The damage track is one half km wide and 11 km long extending from 7 to 8 km southeast of Wyoming Ontario to 10 to 12 km south of Watford Ontario. The damage observed along this path included a barn destroyed and several steel hydro towers down. This is consistent with the strength of an f2 tornado with wind speeds in the 180 to230 km/h range.No death or injuries were reported in association with this tornado.END/OSPC

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If the 0z 4km WRF verifies its not going to be good at all...I saved several images from that run.

One thing that's scary is that the RUC keeps sfc winds backed to the S within about one county of the LM shore...not only does that increase sfc convergence along that zone but it also shoots heilicity and EHI through the roof.

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One thing that's scary is that the RUC keeps sfc winds backed to the S within about one county of the LM shore...not only does that increase sfc convergence along that zone but it also shoots heilicity and EHI through the roof.

with 0-1km SRH near 250 m2/s2 in extreme northeast IL at this time.

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