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Upstate NY / North Country Winter 2010 Thread 1


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We'll call it 3" here in Queensbury, about 1.5" (maybe 2") in Johnsburg. I saw reports of higher amounts in the Lake George / Warrensburg area.

It is nice to see things "looking" like Christmas, at least for the time being.

My wife likes it, for no other reason than i am less inclined to pull out my snowgun (compressor and power washers not being the quietest of tools...).

I'm trying to ignore any possibilities for next week until Friday at the earliest.... which is of course why I'm checking and posting here... whistle.gif

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We only have a trace of snow here in beautiful Spencer, New York....30 minutes East of Elmira and about 15 minutes south of Ithaca. Not good times, but our time will come. Congrats to everyone else in the state!

Minister, nice to see someone from close by on this board. Ithaca has only a trace, we've been really let down by the NWS warnings suggesting some big snows. Oh well.

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What does this mean?

It’s not that it isn’t snowing. It’s just that not enough snow is likely to accumulate over a 12-hour period in the next day or so to justify maintaining the warning, said Joanne LaBounty, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Binghamton.

LaBounty said she and her colleagues were “kind of perplexed” that the big lake-effect storm that weather watchers began predicting last week failed to live up to expectations.

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Albany dosent seem to like the chances of snowfall for the area on sun/mon..Cant blame them lol

...EVEN THE 12Z GFS MODEL HAS THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE

LOW...TO BECOME "CAPTURED" BY AN UPPER LEVEL STORM...PRETTY FAR

SOUTH AND EAST FROM THE USUAL "BENCHMARK" FOR A TRADITIONAL

SNOWSTORM IN THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. IN FACT...THIS TRACK LOOKS VERY

SIMILAR TO LAST YEAR`S STORM WHERE MOST OF OUR AREA (EVEN TO THE

SOUTH) RECEIVED VERY LITTLE SNOWFALL

SUSPECT THE GFS IS UP TO USUAL EAST CYCLOGENESIS BIAS WHICH WE SEE

TIME AND TIME AGAIN DURING THE WINTER

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=ALY&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

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Well, we're working on about 8 inches so far. Here's the deck picture tonight. This was whistle free of snow by Sunday. There was over a foot left from the last round, so we decided rain on top of that wouldn't be good for the table, or the deck, so shoveled it all. I have a series of the same shot over three days from last week, so we'll see how this round matches up.

post-2466-0-09400700-1292378874.jpg

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The weekend storm still off?The ALB NWS is back to saying,it's looking like it may be getting close enough for a light snow now.Yesterday they were saying no way at all.

It might...But with the big block in Canada it most likely will pass SE and out to sea...The models should have a better handle on the track tomorrow night...Last year with the big storms the models acted like this a few times; they would not give a good solution until about 48 hours out.

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The weekend storm still off?The ALB NWS is back to saying,it's looking like it may be getting close enough for a light snow now.Yesterday they were saying no way at all.

00Z GooFuS keeps it well S&E and offshore - everyone screwed - ala the Euro. So we're going to be 0 fer 2 in the 1st half of December for synoptic systems. Either shunting systems out to sea or recurving up to STL Valley w/ rain. Huge blocks can be maddening. Never been a big fan of Blocks that are 3 or 4 SD's from norm. Op GFS not showing much in the way of synoptic development for the next two weeks but there's a fair chance that'll be wrong.

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I don't even think the problem is as much the block...as it is that the southern stream (from whence this s/w was to be born) is just looking moribund on most of the models. You can't have a storm if you don't have a short wave. LOL The northern stream backs and the blocking 50/50 type low scoots out. The table is set, but there is no food.....

The NE section is a sad and frustrating place now....at least this LES stuff saves me from brown ground and teens.

00Z GooFuS keeps it well S&E and offshore - everyone screwed - ala the Euro. So we're going to be 0 fer 2 in the 1st half of December for synoptic systems. Either shunting systems out to sea or recurving up to STL Valley w/ rain. Huge blocks can be maddening. Never been a big fan of Blocks that are 3 or 4 SD's from norm. Op GFS not showing much in the way of synoptic development for the next two weeks but there's a fair chance that'll be wrong.

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I don't even think the problem is as much the block...as it is that the southern stream (from whence this s/w was to be born) is just looking moribund on most of the models. You can't have a storm if you don't have a short wave. LOL The northern stream backs and the blocking 50/50 type low scoots out. The table is set, but there is no food.....

The NE section is a sad and frustrating place now....at least this LES stuff saves me from brown ground and teens.

I agree...But with the split polar vortex, the way the NAO is trending, and all this cold air; it would be nice to able to take advantage of it.

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