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July Heat Wave Obs/Discussion


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Lol; now I know what not to try at Mexican restaurants. If anyone wants a reminder of why the heat isn't so bad (unless you work in it), watch the 3rd round of the British Open tomorrow morning. It will basically be a 360 from what we're expecting next week.

I never order nasty deep fried poppers out.. gotta make them at home on the weber or smoker (oven on 350 works well too.) stuff the peppers halves with a mixture of cream cheese and w/e else meats, sea food, or cheese tickles your fancy.. wrap that thing of beauty with bacon and grill or smoke away until the bacon is crisp. They have those lil red and yellow baby sweet peppers.. those work well if you don't like the heat.. Jap peppers are very tame if you scrape all the membrane and seeds out tho.

Euro had a lil something something rolling through here around midweek. something for you to watch I guess.

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Izzi with a long AFD for LOT today...

http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1

Looks like heat advisory potential for Monday and then potential headlines from Wedesday on.

Surrounding offices going with excessive heat warnings starting Sunday and lasting through late week.

LOT will either end up FTW going conservative or FTL if model projections are right.

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longest 90 degree streaks for LAF since 1980 (West Lafayette COOP used prior to 2007)

Jul 1983: 13 (1 day of 100)

Jul-Aug 1988: 9

Aug 1988: 9

Aug 1995: 9

Aug 2007: 9

Jun 2005: 8

Jul 1987: 7

I don't think we'll have much trouble getting on this list. Hopefully we don't touch the 1983 streak but I'm not really paying much attention to anything beyond a week.

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I agree with many others here, not record breaking temps alone, but a prolonged period of pain through heat indices pushing 110+ and dew points 70-75+ across much of the "midwest". This is the doldrums of summer at its worst.

Yeah the heat/humidity combined with the length of time will cause this heat wave to be remembered.

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Continues to stay consistent... :maphot:

KORD reported on 16-JUL-2011
KORD   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   7/16/2011  0000 UTC
FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192
SAT  16| SUN 17| MON 18| TUE 19| WED 20| THU 21| FRI 22| SAT 23 CLIMO
X/N  88| 69  91| 77  94| 78  93| 74  94| 76  95| 75  91| 74  90 63 84
TMP  81| 73  85| 79  88| 81  87| 78  87| 79  89| 78  86| 77  84
DPT  64| 70  74| 75  79| 77  77| 73  72| 74  72| 72  70| 70  67
CLD  OV| PC  OV| OV  OV| PC  OV| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC| PC  PC
WND   8|  8   9|  9  10|  8   9|  7  11|  9  12| 11  11| 10  11
P12  16| 10   9| 41  29| 41  23| 28  11| 18  24| 27  28| 29  25 22 18
P24    |     13|     69|     42|     34|     30|     42|     44    33
Q12   0|  0   0|  1   0|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0    |
Q24    |      0|      3|      0|      0|      0|       |
T12   7|  4   4| 45  53| 52  39| 37  18| 11  21| 16  21| 17  23
T24    |  7    | 45    | 79    | 54    | 29    | 35    | 38

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Fingers crossed for some storms saving us for a day or two..

It might happen but that's all it would be. Soils are drying out but evapotranspiration is very efficient at this time of year so I'd think that the higher end dewpoints are still in play.

Tim's golf game is going to get rusty...

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It might happen but that's all it would be. Soils are drying out but evapotranspiration is very efficient at this time of year so I'd think that the higher end dewpoints are still in play.

Tim's golf game is going to get rusty...

Im thinking were going to be stuck at 95F and 75DP all week. I dont think 100 is going to be attainable. Maybe a few places in Indiana but Im a bit skeptical.

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Im thinking were going to be stuck at 95F and 75DP all week. I dont think 100 is going to be attainable. Maybe a few places in Indiana but Im a bit skeptical.

I think we need a day with stronger low level flow to increase mixing and lower the dewpoints a bit. There's not a day that stands out right now.

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longest 90 degree streaks for LAF since 1980 (West Lafayette COOP used prior to 2007)

Jul 1983: 13 (1 day of 100)

Jul-Aug 1988: 9

Aug 1988: 9

Aug 1995: 9

Aug 2007: 9

Jun 2005: 8

Jul 1987: 7

I don't think we'll have much trouble getting on this list. Hopefully we don't touch the 1983 streak but I'm not really paying much attention to anything beyond a week.

1983 is so underrated. Here's the 90+ streaks (min of 5) at LAF (airport) that summer.

7/11-24/1983: 95, 91, 93, 96, 93, 93, 96, 98, 99, 102, 102, 104, 100, 90

7/25/1983 had a 89, but was followed by this: 7/26-31/1983: 90, 91, 99, 99, 91, 93

So within one degree on one day of a 21 day heat wave. Regardless, 20 out of 21 days at or above 90. Impressive.

8/5-10/1983: 93, 91, 93, 96, 90, 93

8/18-22/1983: 93, 98, 100, 97, 90

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Tim's golf game is going to get rusty...

I've only got 5 rounds in this season anyway. But yes, clubs won't be coming out for awhile...

Tim's in hibernation already I think.. Or more likely getting his club stroked and balls washed by that lady friend with the pool :whistle:

I doubt he misses playing the 100° and 80° DP game with you next week and beyond.

:whistle:

Back to hibernation mode.

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As hot as this week will be, I don't think the hottest weather will reach the eastern Midwest until next weekend. At that point, the ridge should begin sliding off to the east and the temperature will be enhanced by compressional heating and enhanced mixing ahead of a weak cold front moving in from the upper Midwest. The DGEX for next Saturday was showing 100+ in the city of Chicago and in the usual downsloping hot spots in northeast lower Michigan from about Mt. Pleasant to Tawas City. 95 to 99 elsewhere.

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Models already making adjustments upwards for today.

A blend of the RUC and Nam would give us 92-94F with DP around 73-75.

they didn't crack 90F here today until the last runs or two.

The 594DM Ridge is expanding hundreds of miles so fast.

This is awesome

RUC has us getting to around 90*F/low 90s in the city as well.

They're world's apart when it comes to instability though. NAM shows 1000 J/KG to 1500 J/KG where as RUC shows very little.

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