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Mid July SNE Torch en route!


HoarfrostHubb

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It's clear where the "drying" is coming from - thank goodness, let's hope it works out!

There is - and is quite common in these scenarios - a lee side heat-related trough along the 95 corridor pretty much up and down the length of the EC. This is important because that trough represents a significant wind shift during the day on Friday; it's not related to an actual boundary, but the pg is bending around it such that you end up with WNW or NW wind west, WSW/SW east. The area west of the trough axis gets the katatabatic drying, and the trough axis acts like a dry line that then move east in the environmental flow.

This/that is not an uncommon scenario. It often robs good fropa events of better convection because you get premature cumulo-ejaculation that wends out to sea and takes a lot of CAPE with it. In this case, less fropa but perhaps if this feature evolves this way we get some DP relief on Friday. But, if the DP drops off by noon, we could end up with a truly searing +T response/spike.

Sounds like a lose-lose for the anti-torch crowd. Lower dew & higher temps...or higher dew & lower temps...take your pick.

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Not looking good for us dendrite...

I'm thinking 99 for MHT tomorrow. Maybe 100 on the dot.

Cloud debris is our wildcard. If it is negligible then with 20-22C 850s I think we could see something like 96-98 CON, 97-99 MHT, 98-100 ASH. I'm still hoping the EC/Ukie verify their 850 temp forecasts for Friday. I want to see 24C air downsloping through the MRV.
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Tomorrow we'll struggle here again with a southerly component, probably 90-91 but if winds veer to the WNW as modeled on Friday PVD will tip 100 on a downslope. Interestingly even with the downslope dew points don't look to really fall off, somewhere around 71-72 for a HI of 108 or so.

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It's clear where the "drying" is coming from - thank goodness, let's hope it works out!

There is - and is quite common in these scenarios - a lee side heat-related trough along the 95 corridor pretty much up and down the length of the EC. This is important because that trough represents a significant wind shift during the day on Friday; it's not related to an actual boundary, but the pg is bending around it such that you end up with WNW or NW wind west, WSW/SW east. The area west of the trough axis gets the katatabatic drying, and the trough axis acts like a dry line that then move east in the environmental flow.

This/that is not an uncommon scenario. It often robs good fropa events of better convection because you get premature cumulo-ejaculation that wends out to sea and takes a lot of CAPE with it. In this case, less fropa but perhaps if this feature evolves this way we get some DP relief on Friday. But, if the DP drops off by noon, we could end up with a truly searing +T response/spike.

Good, NW winds mean it will be hotter here at the coast and with no sea breeze a slam dunk triple digit day :)

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66/66, getting out the door a little early today, looks like the hottest day of the summer might be today. Will today be the first 90 degree reading of the year or will it fall short by a few degrees? We'll soon see. So happy that summer is racing by soon we won't have to worry about such disgusting weather.

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Nice torch for eastern areas Saturday. Mid to upper 90s again.

Old Orchard Beach will be a madhouse Saturday. Heavy heavy quebecois in banana hammocks. Heavy heavy beers on a patio for me.

94/93/95 my predicted highs the next three days. Not happy about it but it happens in summer. I look to the calendar and see September now only 42 days away. :thumbsup:

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Not that low...about 18 would be the same departure as a 99 high in the summer.

I think in terms of frequency it's a high of 10F. 99 occurs typically every few years...100 every 15-20. If we achieve 100, that's 2 years in a row which is remarkable.

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I think in terms of frequency it's a high of 10F. 99 occurs typically every few years...100 every 15-20. If we achieve 100, that's 2 years in a row which is remarkable.

Yeah its tougher in the summer to get a 20F departure.

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Holy ****e..Do not..I repeat do not run in this stuff.

I was near your age and running daily. I found myself in Phoenix a week after the 4th of July for a wedding. I ran the morning after and folks popped out of their houses to gawk at me..........had to experience it though.

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