Typhoon Tip Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Just so's we got somethin to measure against, let's dub this the Big Ballz Heat of 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 98 at ORH? What's their all-time record high? I was thinking more along the lines of 93-94 for this event. The current site hit 99F in September of 1953 of all months. Its only ever gotten to 98F one other time and that was in June 1952. Last year hit 96F during that heat wave which was the first time it had gotten that warm since 1975. The 1991 heatwave got to 95F here. I haven't really checked to see if this setup is perfectly favorable for that here. If we can get enough W component to the wind then we have a shot. But its almost impossible to break 95F here unless you have a W or NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 This is going to one of if not the all time hottest wx we've ever seen Sounds like you guys are excited about the heat too Based on what John said about the NAM, it looks like we could hit 104-106 here during peak heating on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 The current site hit 99F in September of 1953 of all months. Its only ever gotten to 98F one other time and that was in June 1952. Last year hit 96F during that heat wave which was the first time it had gotten that warm since 1975. The 1991 heatwave got to 95F here. I haven't really checked to see if this setup is perfectly favorable for that here. If we can get enough W component to the wind then we have a shot. But its almost impossible to break 95F here unless you have a W or NW flow. It's crazy that was the longest heatwave of recorded history at NYC and it was in late August and early September with a peak temp of 102 in September! Is there any way you can extrapolate how hot that would have been around here had it happened in July, Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 From MN Transplant: Another indication of the pain coming, Minneapolis set their all-time dew point record today (82). It is likely that the state record fell too (88 in Madison, MN yesterday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 This is going to one of if not the all time hottest wx we've ever seen Yes, but usual Heat ( hot) weather yields about 91 or 92 at ORH. this time I'll go with 95 at ORH. Also, PVD gets some Narragansett Bay contamination unless flow is more WNW there. Therefore, 99/100 is my call there. BOS 100/81 BDL 101/77 CON 100/79 Pete 91/67 Dave 95/74 Kev 97/77 KGAY 100/78 Jerry 100/80 Will 94/76 more later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Be careful with all your 100 calls.... They just don't fall that liberally around here as something more often than not will permute the system enough to f it up.... Just look at the upper MW near the boundary of the ridge and westerlies... They've got heat warn/advisories there too and are failing each day because of thunderstorm complexes. Could very easily run into that issue here - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 GFS MOS is 93 for PVD on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 fail fail fail 75 at BDL for the warmest low? Too low..at least go 78-79..they'll be coming off a high in the low 100's and an active west wind all nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Case in point: WED NIGHT... WARM NIGHT GIVEN INCREASING SW WINDS AND CLIMBING DEW PTS. DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL BUT HAVE TO WATCH A JET IMPULSE RACING ACROSS THE ST LWRN RVR VLY WHICH COULD TRIGGER AN MCS OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THU ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO SOUTHERN NH AND/OR NORTHERN MA.-- End Changed Discussion -- Supposin' it did ... how much debris lasts until 11:30am and pretty much 86's Kevin's Thursday outlook - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Sounds like you guys are excited about the heat too Based on what John said about the NAM, it looks like we could hit 104-106 here during peak heating on Friday. I think everyone is very excited about this..I haven't seen this much excitement since the back to back and belly to belly blizzards we had in Jan. It's full frontal nudity for the next 5 days at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 75 at BDL for the warmest low? Too low..at least go 78-79..they'll be coming off a high in the low 100's and an active west wind all nite Maybe I should drop my low to 72 or 73 in that case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Maybe I should drop my low to 72 or 73 in that case Wind would keep lows even higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Vis sat loop shows the smoke plume coming out of Ontario and NY sort of stifling cu development. The Cu field is quite robust immediately to the south of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Major lawn watering tonight and tomorrow evening. Can't head to BWI and let the sun bake the grass. At least it looks like we get storms over the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Major lawn watering the tonight and tomorrow evening. Can't head to BWI and let the sun bake the grass. At least it looks like we get storms over the weekend Really? I'm not so sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Really? I'm not so sure I figured if the front sagged south and was in our vicintiy we'd fire up some storms..Maybe only Sunday?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 I think everyone is very excited about this..I haven't seen this much excitement since the back to back and belly to belly blizzards we had in Jan. It's full frontal nudity for the next 5 days at least 24 people in this thread vs 450-500. We had a couple hundred in the June 1st tornado outbreak thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 18z MAV up to 100F for ASH on Thursday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 In a few months, it'll totally suck being excluded from a watch area. For this crap though, I'll take the western Mass exclusion with pride:) 77.0/66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 In a few months, it'll totally suck being excluded from a watch area. For this crap though, I'll take the western Mass exclusion with pride:) 77.0/66 You'll hit the low-mid 90's and love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 You'll hit the low-mid 90's and love it Your gonna come back to a dead hayfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Your gonna come back to a dead hayfield. LOL..no way..been watering since Saturday in preperation.. Wait till you see how nice it looks Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 LOL..no way..been watering since Saturday in preperation.. Wait till you see how nice it looks Thursday morning I'm gonna have to kick around in the grass to look for grubs. Might leave a few dirt patches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Your gonna come back to a dead hayfield. Well if had horses he could feed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Well if had horses he could feed them. Weatherwiz might be grazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Ray is going to bring his calendar down, and pin it on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 71/61, a mind melting high of 83 (78 @ 2K).lol A nice evening about to slip into the 60's. Good to be left out of the red death warning. Still a little concerned as Scooter says I'll see a 90 somewhere this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Ray is going to bring his calendar down, and pin it on the wall. Pages splattered and stuck together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Weatherwiz might be grazing. He might be coming there looking for the other kind of "grass" this is more like 90s style heat-- like what we had in 1991, 1993, 1995, 1999.... I think it will be a shock to the system for a lot of people; even though we remember last summer well, we never had heat indices like what we are going to get later this week.... I dont think we even had a 110 heat index last summer and it's progged to be around 120 up here on Friday. Here are the Philly numbers from July 15, 1995.... http://classic.wunde...eq_statename=NA The high was 103 and the max DP was 83.... but that occurred when the actual temp was 98. The dew point was "only" 77 when the high temp of 103 was reached, but jumped up to 82 the following hour when the temp was 102: 12:00 PM 98.1 °F 82.9 °F 62% 29.90 in 3.0 miles ESE 4.6 mph - N/A Drizzle 1:00 PM 99.0 °F 81.0 °F 56% 29.89 in 3.0 miles SSW 8.1 mph - N/A Drizzle 2:00 PM 100.9 °F 81.0 °F 53% 29.87 in 3.0 miles WSW 10.4 mph - N/A Drizzle 3:00 PM 102.9 °F 77.0 °F 44% 29.86 in 4.0 miles WSW 11.5 mph - N/A Drizzle 4:00 PM 102.0 °F 82.0 °F 53% 29.85 in 3.0 miles SW 13.8 mph - N/A Drizzle 5:00 PM 100.9 °F 82.0 °F 55% 29.84 in 3.0 miles SW 12.7 mph - N/A Drizzle 6:00 PM 100.0 °F 81.0 °F 54% 29.82 in 3.0 miles WSW 12.7 mph - N/A Drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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