roardog Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 T-storm early this morning with about 45MPH winds and a downpour. This afternoon, t-storms with about 50 MPH winds and a downpour. At least we got a little rain for the brown lawns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 We're getting a little pube shower/storm right now. Rain is really coming down, though, however brief it is. Finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Don't know if I've ever heard "pube" used to describe a thunderstorm before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Don't know if I've ever heard "pube" used to describe a thunderstorm before I was just doing a Bowme. He used the same word to describe a pop up shower yesterday, so I figured I would use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 That line up in central Wisconsin has the look like it's going to accelerate southward and hammer southeast Wisconsin and eventually Chicagoland. Could be one hell of a wind threat with that thing if it evolves later this evening. Unless it can backbuild further west I think we'll be in the clear here in NW Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 That line up in central Wisconsin has the look like it's going to accelerate southward and hammer southeast Wisconsin and eventually Chicagoland. Could be one hell of a wind threat with that thing if it evolves later this evening. Unless it can backbuild further west I think we'll be in the clear here in NW Illinois. I'm actually starting to see a bit of a SW movement. It is just finding its way to miss us, and that is by taking a westward turn towards Madison (and not far from Bowme in the Dells). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Nice mini supercell going West of Ann Arbor now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I'm actually starting to see a bit of a SW movement. It is just finding its way to miss us, and that is by taking a westward turn towards Madison (and not far from Bowme in the Dells). Mid-level winds and corfidi vectors would seem to suggest they should move more south-southeasterly in time. If they really get going and get a mature cool pool I wouldn't be surprised to see them plummet straight southward. RUC shows a nice LLJ feeding/veering into far southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois later this evening. Very high theta-e will be readily be ingested by the complex as is moves south into that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Mid-level winds and corfidi vectors would seem to suggest they should move more south-southeasterly in time. If they really get going and get a mature cool pool I wouldn't be surprised to see them plummet straight southward. RUC shows a nice LLJ feeding/veering into far southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois later this evening. Very high theta-e will be readily be ingested by the complex as is moves south into that area. Thanks for a slight boost of confidence. Did you see the excerpt in the DVN AFD about a potential derecho? That was interesting to read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I'm actually starting to see a bit of a SW movement. It is just finding its way to miss us, and that is by taking a westward turn towards Madison (and not far from Bowme in the Dells). I'm not seeing this sw movement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I'm gonna get drilled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Super drilled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I'm not seeing this sw movement.. Atm it's due south. My best hope is to watch it from about 10-15 miles away. Maybe I can get some decent photos or video around sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 for my house valid 2z this evening off the RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 for my house valid 2z this evening off the RUC You might get drilled too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Super drilled I do hope though that power outages aren't as bad as last time's.. Especially with the killer heat mid-week onwards.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 If it doesn't start showing some signs of SE movement, Alek, you won't get drilled. TSnow probably will, though. Or unless it forms a cold pool and expands eastward. Oh don't worry, we will all get drilled equally hard.. This will be an equal opportunity drilling MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 The 21z RUC really increases instability in northern IL between now and 3z.... the gray is 12-18" from a clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 The 21z RUC really increases instability in northern IL between now and 3z.... the gray is 12-18" from a clipper That is insane for 1 in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Oh don't worry, we will all get drilled equally hard.. This will be an equal opportunity drilling MCS. It's quite possible if it starts building eastward in the next 2 hours, but I'm not holding my breath. That's ok. Enjoy this spread the wealth MCS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 It's quite possible if it starts building eastward in the next 2 hours, but I'm not holding my breath. That's ok. Enjoy this spread the wealth MCS! It's really a wait and see game if there's good ingredients in place (which we have in this case). Convective development/evolution can change rapidly. I usually don't try to extrapolate what's going to happen in my backyard until something is 10 or 20 miles away, and even that doesn't always work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 It's quite possible if it starts building eastward in the next 2 hours, but I'm not holding my breath. That's ok. Enjoy this spread the wealth MCS! Here is a Mkx graphical forecast to ease your worries wiwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Sitting just south of Janesville for the hell of it right now. Have been watching sporadic cu bubble up and twist and turn over. Nothing of substance yet, but juicy like all get out. Did see a few showers fire to the north and east along some kind of boundary. They were skirting almost due east and did not do much before falling apart. Canopy from Oshkosh cell has been visible for about thirty minutes now and slowly moving south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 It's really a wait and see game if there's good ingredients in place (which we have in this case). Convective development/evolution can change rapidly. I usually don't try to extrapolate what's going to happen in my backyard until something is 10 or 20 miles away, and even that doesn't always work out. Very true, but I think it's starting to accelerate, so although it's still about 50 miles away, it feels close enough to be able to extrapolate. I guess as long as I'm able to see the thunderstorm's features from afar, that's good enough for me. It may be quite picturesque given it will approach right near sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 ...Did you see the excerpt in the DVN AFD about a potential derecho? That was interesting to read. LOL yeah. The ingredients are certainly there, but we're probably a bit too capped this far southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 The lead cell northwest of FLD just got warned and moving due south right now into very rich theta-e air, it has a pretty strong updraft and the LOT 88D is picking up 60dbz to 35kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 money man missed by a pube hair again... next up saukville, tosa, and the airport area of mke.. nothing here in the dells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 money man missed by a pube hair again... next up saukville, tosa, and the airport area of mke.. nothing here in the dells. Hey, how's it going? Anyways, the Dells has a better chance at this storm than your neck of the woods. Actually, it will split us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 19, 2011 Share Posted July 19, 2011 Powerful supercell in extreme southern ND... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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