wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 storm motion turns more and more southerly as you head east. Not the storms to the north, they are moving ESE. Btw, it looks like we're going to get screwholed again, not even getting much more than a quick spritz of rain probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Not the storms to the north, they are moving ESE. Btw, it looks like we're going to get screwholed again, not even getting much more than a quick spritz of rain probably. I told you yesterday you would get screw holed. Consider moving somewhere with a better climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I told you yesterday you would get screw holed. Consider moving somewhere with a better climo. Like Chicago? I wouldn't have a problem with this if I lived in a region of the country, like Arizona, that rarely saw thunderstorms. The fact that I live in the volatile climate of the Midwest, makes getting missed on all sides a disappointment. If we could at least get a soaking rain, I wouldn't complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Like Chicago? I wouldn't have a problem with this if I lived in a region of the country, like Arizona, that rarely saw thunderstorms. The fact that I live in the volatile climate of the Midwest, makes getting missed on all sides a disappointment. If we could at least get a soaking rain, I wouldn't complain. Idaho, Wyoming, New Mexico or Maine all sound like good options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Like Chicago? I wouldn't have a problem with this if I lived in a region of the country, like Arizona, that rarely saw thunderstorms. The fact that I live in the volatile climate of the Midwest, makes getting missed on all sides a disappointment. If we could at least get a soaking rain, I wouldn't complain. Nice call, Alek. LoL.. the radar looks like last nights fook job all over.. Not like much exciting is out there anyways ATM but a little rain would have been nice as its been a week since the inch we got last monday. wiwx - time to bust out your sprinkler again and make your own rain.. saukville makes snow.. Our climate sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Rather widespread 5% tornado probs there. Interested to see the next day 3, considering the day 4 outlook from earlier today. Also, if Derek is anywhere out there, I would prepare for a possible chase on Wednesday. This week could get pretty active. Wednesday certainly does look interesting. It's always tough for me to chase during the week since I work at a radio station. Best threat looks to be late afternoon/early evening, so it's going to be tough for me to get out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo9 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif Looks Like a intresting day... Meso discussion issued for central Wisconsin at the moment.. I dont really think i have a good feeling bout this.... :mapstorm:Yeah.. 5% tor on Chicago and the subarbs where i am at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Just a teaser, I'll post the vid on here as soon as he gets it up... said he couldn't see the other side of it... Absolute monster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Holy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I know the HRRR hasn't been great lately but wanted to post this...its been consistent now for several runs blowing up semi discrete storms growing into a southbound MCS late this afternoon into this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 How did I know before even clickng the thread that thunder had flung a weenie map up gl, that's some nice porn at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I know the HRRR hasn't been great lately but wanted to post this...its been consistent now for several runs blowing up semi discrete storms growing into a southbound MCS late this afternoon into this evening. despite debris, it's still pretty unstable and it looks like some thinning upstream, we should be all systems go if we can get the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 despite debris, it's still pretty unstable and it looks like some thinning upstream, we should be all systems go if we can get the trigger. feel pretty good about your location or would you rather be a little west? Can't beat your view tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 feel pretty good about your location or would you rather be a little west? Can't beat your view tho. south more than west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 ahhh, k.. well gl, you've had the hot location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Something tells me there'll be a 4-8 day threat for Saturday at some point. Minimal capping across Minnesota, rather significant trough moving into the area, greater than 2000 j/kg CAPE across pretty much the entire state and 35-45 kts of 0-6 km shear. Curved hodos as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo9 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Well... outlooks have compleatly changed... we probably wont get anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Well... outlooks have compleatly changed... we probably wont get anything No, no they haven't....everything is pretty much where we thought it would be...bigger threat will be this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 No, no they haven't....everything is pretty much where we thought it would be...bigger threat will be this evening... It's obvious that tor dropping from 5 to 2 is an earth-shattering change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Debris thinning out pretty quickly over northern illinois and southern wisconsin now with multiple outflow boundaries on visible pushing south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo9 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 No, no they haven't....everything is pretty much where we thought it would be...bigger threat will be this evening... Ahh Thanks tony It could also be the fact the heat could kill are chances all together.. but im praying that nothing happens.. I HATE POWEROUTAGES :gun_bandana:TO SEVERE STORMS LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Time to see if more convection forms, and, if it does, how it is going to miss MKE this time. It sounds like Central Wisconsin is a likely initiation point, although my local probs for storms are 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Report of a van and pickup thrown a half mile... http://www.wday.com/event/article/id/49294/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Wow, SPC's new Day 2 outlook puts all of Wisconsin in a slight risk again tomorrow. Low percentage chances, but still, I know late last week, I wasn't expecting severe chances every day from Sunday to Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Going to watch the CU field developing in southern MN and western WI as it slides southeast this evening. A lot of boundaries in play and increasing instability as the morning junk burns off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Berlin, ND supercell. Moving the location ftl, oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sc2man13 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 A CU field tonight YIPPEEE as long as nothin develops LETS HOPE THERES RAIN Sorry.. We just need rain to cool us down!! We need rain because it has been dry as a bone here. Something like only 25-40 percent of our normal precip since June 1 in the northern burbs. I also don't want to be stuck outside at work in this heat, so let it rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 I think those storms developing in N. Wisconsin are going to be a factor in some form further south, whether they help others form or inhibit other storms from developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Btw, Skilling's RPM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Btw, Skilling's RPM: most of the wrfs i've seen bring a complex or two through the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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