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DC/MD/VA/WV General Obs/Disc: mid-July - end of August


Ellinwood

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Talked to my mom, said Pasadena got it's ass kicked, she has a large oak that was split and a maple with significant damage. Too dark to see anything else since they are without power. She said trees had fallen across route 100 and magothy bridge road, for those who know the area. I'd imagine 5alarmphoto and wxmeddler were also hit hard.

Oh yeah.. I called in the E60mph LSR. I really do believe I made the right guesstimate after seeing the damage around here. I saw at least 2 trees on two different houses, gutters ripped off houses, siding ripped off houses. I got just slightly bigger than pea hail but according to the TDWR it might of been bigger around where your talking about. Take all that over ~2" of rain. Overall, this area really got raked.

Tree on House:

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Gutters ripped from house:

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Stoplight blown open:

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Tree in the background was struck... Tree in the foreground was decapitated in some fantastic fashion.

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NAM comes in faster on the Wunderground maps than on the NCEP website, FYI.

Any takers on whether we'll see more rain from the Thursday evening storms or from Irene? Most models showing around ~0.25-0.5" of rain tomorrow.

Edit. We're "See Texted" for tomorrow, BTW:

...VA NWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...

A COLD FRONT AN LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ARE FORECAST TO LIE FROM ERN OH SWWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER AT 12Z THU...MOVING TO A CNTRL NY TO WV

LINE BY 00Z. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT...AS WELL AS WARM

ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. OVERALL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE MARGINAL AT AROUND 30 KT WITH THE WEAKENING TROUGH. FORECAST

SOUNDINGS DEPICT POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A MOIST

TROPOSPHERE...SUGGESTING A LOT OF RAIN AND STORMS...BUT PERHAPS ONLY MARGINALLY SEVERE. STILL...LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE

POSSIBLE...WITH A FEW LINE SEGMENTS OR BOWS GAINING STRENGTH DURING THE DAY.

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Since yoda seems preoccupied

INGREDIENTS WILL CONTINUE TO COME TOGETHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL

HRS...ALLOWING FOR STRONG-SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS

OF THE AREA THIS AFTN/EVE. BETWEEN THIS GREAT LAKES TROUGH AND

IRENE WELL TO THE SOUTH...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SQUEEZED UP

THE ERN SEABOARD INTO THE LATE MORNING HRS. DEWPOINTS WILL CLIMB

FROM THE L60S INTO THE L70S...AS TEMPS SIMILARLY WILL INCREASE

WELL INTO THE 80S THIS MORNING - AFTER ONLY DROPPING INTO THE

L-M70S OVERNIGHT /10-15 DEG HIGHER THAN LAST NIGHT/.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS...RESIDUAL ACTIVITY FROM THE INCOMING

WV ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BEGIN AFFECTING THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS

TOWARD SUNRISE. OUT AHEAD OF THIS LINE...A HANDFUL OF

SHOWERS/TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE BLUE RIDGE AND INTO THE

PIEDMONT TOWARD LATE MORNING. MINIMAL/MARGINAL INGREDIENTS FOR

TSTM GROWTH OVER THE MTNS/SHENANDOAH VLY BUT ONCE THIS ACTIVITY

BEGINS TO CLEAR THE VA BLUE RIDGE...ENOUGH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY -

AND CERTAINLY FORCING - WILL BE IN PLACE FOR QUICK DEVELOPMENT OF

STORMS EVEN BY EARLY AFTN. NERN MD AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NRN VA

WILL BE PRIME AREAS FOR THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY...CLOSER TO THE

ZONE OF MOST FORCING FROM THE TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL JET MAX. LARGE

HAIL/DMG WINDS/FLOODING RAINS AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO NOT OUT

OF THE QUESTION W/ THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.

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