chris87 Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 i think he's just bored...saw him trolling some other threads....we need to get him some convective initiation or something....j/k (for the humor deficient) Is today a meh Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 19, 2011 Author Share Posted August 19, 2011 *sigh* another Mason-Dixon line watch box I'm not really feelin' it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 *sigh* another Mason-Dixon line watch box I'm not really feelin' it today. I like our chances then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 anecdotally we don't seem to often do super well two days in a row. tho, i think particularly east and northeast of dc could do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 anecdotally we don't seem to often do super well two days in a row. tho, i think particularly east and northeast of dc could do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 anecdotally we don't seem to often do super well two days in a row. tho, i think particularly east and northeast of dc could do fine. anecdotally you contradicted yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 anecdotally you contradicted yourself maybe so a bit.. tho i was thniking a bit imbyish there..most of yesterday's stuff was nw/w of dc at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 sorry..couldn't help myself...everything died as it approached me yesterday...although until i move from my current place i kinda root for no real heavy rain (>1.5 in/hr) after the ceiling flood of last summer maybe so a bit.. tho i was thniking a bit imbyish there..most of yesterday's stuff was nw/w of dc at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 There was good convergence around the bay earlier.. seems to have triggered bwi cell.. looks like outflow from thay could trigger storms around it.. good tcu growth in all directions here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Another good severe day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Another good severe day? i expect more of a bust at least locally given that local forecasters were going with a y-day repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Hooray MD http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2019.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 First little cell close-in to DC near the Montgomery, Fairfax, Loudoun intersection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 I wonder if this is a case where the elevated stuff at night might be more impressive than during the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 I wonder if this is a case where the elevated stuff at night might be more impressive than during the day... looks like we might have enough action to roll off the higher terrain later now.. doubt it goes that deep into the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 looks like we might have enough action to roll off the higher terrain later now.. doubt it goes that deep into the night I expect most of our action/whatever we get between 6-9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 19, 2011 Author Share Posted August 19, 2011 Nice gap o' precip where the high clouds were earlier... now that they've dissipated, it looks like the storms can slowly fill in. Not sure how strong they'll get... parameters look fine. Hopefully the outflow crossing the MD/PA border can trigger more storms going into the early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Nice gap o' precip where the high clouds were earlier... now that they've dissipated, it looks like the storms can slowly fill in. Not sure how strong they'll get... parameters look fine. Hopefully the outflow crossing the MD/PA border can trigger more storms going into the early evening. Its the best we will get... 1500-2000 MLCAPE, 2000-2500 SBCAPE, LI's -5 to -8... LL Lapse Rates are okay.. ML Lapse rates 6.0ish, maybe a bit higher per 2000 SPC meso. Its the lack of shear that sucks today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Nice gap o' precip where the high clouds were earlier... now that they've dissipated, it looks like the storms can slowly fill in. Not sure how strong they'll get... parameters look fine. Hopefully the outflow crossing the MD/PA border can trigger more storms going into the early evening. TCU going up now to my east.. just moved into the 13th story of a building.. great view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 TCU going up now to my east.. just moved into the 13th story of a building.. great view Very impressive now.. I first looked 15 minutes ago.. look out to my east.. healthy cu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 453 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 600 PM EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Evidence of some hail coming down in those new cells near westminster maybe.. outflow clearly evident... more storms to come soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 The Delmarva is taking all the rain of the American people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 STW Eastern Baltimore and Southern Harford until 6pm for hail up to quarter size and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 525 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... SOUTHWESTERN BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... EASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 615 PM EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Think I get hit hard here in 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 These storms here in Frederick Co, Va and Berkely Co, WV are packing a whallop. At least the one here is. Hail between marble and golf ball size just a few minutes ago with wicked thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Some TCU a half hour ago to the ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Purty.. Just east of DC probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 19, 2011 Share Posted August 19, 2011 Some thunder but no rain yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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