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DC/MD/VA/WV General Obs/Disc: mid-July - end of August


Ellinwood

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SPC 0600 Day 2 OTLK for Tuesday looks interesting...

..OH AND TN VALLEY THROUGH MID ATLANTIC

A FEW STORM CLUSTERS SHOULD BE ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF THE OH AND

TN VALLEY REGIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED

VORTICITY MAXIMA EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROADER SCALE UPPER TROUGH.

THESE AREAS OF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION YIELD RELATIVELY HIGH

UNCERTAINTY REGARDING WHERE THE BEST DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL WILL

BE LOCATED. WHERE DIABATIC HEATING DOES OCCUR THE ATMOSPHERE WILL

LIKELY BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE GIVEN EXISTENCE OF A MOIST

BOUNDARY LAYER. BELT OF STRONGER FLOW ALOFT EMBEDDED WITHIN UPPER

TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 35-45 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR...AND STORMS MAY

INTENSIFY DURING THE DAY WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES. A

VARIETY OF STORM MODES ARE EXPECTED INCLUDING POSSIBILITY OF

SUPERCELLS...BOWING SEGMENTS AND MCS CLUSTERS. DAMAGING WIND IS

EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREAT.

..DIAL.. 08/08/2011

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Hmm...I guess there is a fire, though I have no idea how smoke from it would get up here:

http://www.wundergro...=70&fire.mode=0

That smoke cover map is either old or extremely inaccurate. If you loop the visible satellite, you can see the smoke plume exit the coast just south of Virginia Beach, and then take a hard left up the Bay. It may now be shifting eastward, but cloudcover is obscuring the view.

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Swamp fire balloons to 2,500 acres

Published 10:07pm Monday, August 8, 2011 Email Comments A fire in the Great Dismal Swamp National Wildlife Refuge mushroomed in size Sunday and Monday, growing to an estimated 2,500 acres Monday afternoon after a Saturday estimate pegged it at 200 acres.

http://www.suffolknewsherald.com/2011/08/08/swamp-fire-balloons-to-2500-acres/

There was smoke from that along I-64 on saturday as I was coming back from OBX. I couldn't figure out where it was from so now I know.

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