yoda Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 nice.. the blue ridge cuts through dc Surprise I took a cursory glance and ran with it. Its not much of a threat today anyway... Tuesday looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 well the md goes to the blue ridge MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1881 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1152 AM CDT SUN AUG 07 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MD...WRN/CNTRL VA AND NC CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 071652Z - 071745Z COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG TO SEVERE WINDS. AMPLE SURFACE HEATING IS OCCURRING TO THE LEE OF THE APPALACHIANS...WITH HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S CONTRIBUTING TO INCREASING INSTABILITY. ALTHOUGH INITIATION IS ONGOING OVER THE APPALACHIANS...HI-RES MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS MORE ROBUST DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR AFTER 18-19Z. CURRENTLY WEAK FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTS AN INITIAL PREDOMINANCE OF PULSE SEVERE...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS AS WLY FLOW ALOFT BEGINS TO INCREASE. THESE CLUSTERS WILL THEN PROGRESS EWD TO THE LEE OF THE APPALACHIANS...SPREADING TOWARDS THE COAST WITH TIME. HOWEVER...VERY SATURATED DEEP LAYER PROFILES REFLECTED IN AREA 12Z SOUNDINGS...CHARACTERIZED BY PWAT VALUES NEAR 2-2.25 INCH AND SURFACE DEW POINTS FROM 70-79 F...SUGGEST THAT HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE THE PREDOMINANT THREAT...AND THEREFORE A WW ISSUANCE IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF COLD POOLS CAN BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...THEN A WIND THREAT MAY BECOME MORE APPARENT AND A WW MAY BE CONSIDERED. WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WOULD INDICATE LITTLE IF ANY HAIL THREAT EXISTS. ..HURLBUT.. 08/07/2011 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP... LAT...LON 35557820 34917967 35058026 35978041 37357939 38157882 39087808 39327733 38907696 37887696 35557820 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 3000 SBCAPE and 2000 MLCAPE... ok I guess. LIs -4 to -5... LL Lapse rates 7 to 7.5C/KM. ML Lapse rates... ugly as hell. Derecho composite is 2.. a lil bit of some sup composite and left moving sup composite #'s in the area as well per 1600 SPC meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 i do like tuesday also.. tho it seems there is almost too much energy floating around throughout the day. i'd like to see it a little more consolidated so we don't screw it up with messiness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 3rd gorgeous day in a row here in ocean city, though the humidity this morning was disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Just got in from working on the garden for about three hours. Holy s*** was it disgusting. Cold shower is imperative... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Just got in from working on the garden for about three hours. Holy s*** was it disgusting. Cold shower is imperative... tell me about it / string trimming earlier and plastered with grass and sweat... tropical like wet here... just had another .28 come through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Decent looking storm went up to my South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 A hit! Best rain/wind combo that I've seen this year. Vis was down to maybe 150 ft. Quick .7 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 7, 2011 Author Share Posted August 7, 2011 Sun's out after a shower here... some deep rumbles from the cell to my N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Getting edged by a decent storm with loud thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Nearly an inch of rain in the overnight grass is loving it but no thunder/lightning then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Lots of thunder and lightning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 KDCA 072023Z 31008G23KT 3/4SM R01/2800VP6000FT +TSRA BKN028CB BKN044 BKN090 OVC250 28/24 A2965 RMK AO2 TSB1957RAB14 FRQ LTGICCG ALQDS TS ALQDS MOV SE P0013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Just had a brief downpour. Thunder around but nothing over me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 some rain, T&L here, but looks like the best of it will miss me south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Storm that hit DCA. Thunder heard from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 popups ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Pretty sick storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 meh The torrential downpour and frequent T & L that I'm getting in Bmore lol at your meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Pouring again. If you are on the IAD to DCA axis you are doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Pouring again. If you are on the IAD to DCA axis you are doing well. I-66 pipeline? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Pouring again. If you are on the IAD to DCA axis you are doing well. Just south of it...not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 The torrential downpour and frequent T & L that I'm getting in Bmore lol at your meh. Double meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Oh so fringy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Oh so fringy still better than nothing. At least you get to hear thunder and see interesting storm clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 still better than nothing. At least you get to hear thunder and see interesting storm clouds. i suppose. we got enough rain to super sauna. hearing thunder and getting no rain is lose unless you're watching a tornado (apparently). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 raining here again with a little wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Oh so fringy Me likey the red near rose hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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