Ed Lizard Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Sweet...(12Z ensembles)... GFS ensemble trough is a bit more amplified, but I think it would also support anything below about 25ºN missing the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 12, 2011 Share Posted August 12, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 The 2011 hurricane season marches along with yet another pathetic storm exciting stuff this is. riveting. Are you a "pro forecaster" or a "pro whiner" ? Can't have both! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Are you a "pro forecaster" or a "pro whiner" ? Can't have both! Isn't it funny how people that don't live in hurricane prone areas think this season has been a dud? Meanwhile, in Florida all anyone can talk about is how active this season looks like it may be. Having 4 oranges in the Atlantic was enough to be the top story on the local news tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 We need some hurricane pools ''$''to calm everybody down.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Wxwatcher91 is this year's WEEPER53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 This season may have 6 named storms if franklin forms. Last year we were only at colin. lol and two depressions. And then there are 3 other invests. 2005 had 13 tropical storms that didnt reach hurricane status. We all saw what happened last year. I really dont see this season being a dud especially if all the invests become named storm which would give us nine tropical storms already. This season has been active. Like a poster mentioned above, better to see something than nothing. Im guessing a dud to some people is a season without a major hurricane hitting the U.S or a hurricane not forming by August. I wonder about 2004 when people say a season has been a dud. Then when Charley, Frances, Jeanne, and Ivan happened. Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Great posts tonight, guys. Keep it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Hi, everyone. Very long time reader/lurker but have just signed up today. Hurricane season is kicking into high gear and I have a SLIGHT obsession with the weather. I'm on other weather forums, but personally I think this may be one of the best. Looking forward to getting to know you all and learning from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
My Weather Today Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Hi, everyone. Very long time reader/lurker but have just signed up today. Hurricane season is kicking into high gear and I have a SLIGHT obsession with the weather. I'm on other weather forums, but personally I think this may be one of the best. Looking forward to getting to know you all and learning from you. Welcome aboard. We're glad you decided to join us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Welcome aboard. We're glad you decided to join us. Well thank you very much! I am glad, too. I should have joined years ago, to be honest. Not quite sure why I haven't. My friends all look at me like I'm slightly insane when I fly off the handle about in depth weather information. I need somewhere where everyone else is as weather nerdy as I am! Any current observations you would like to share with me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 If Gert (most likely 94L) stays a tropical storm, we'll have broken the record for the most tropical storms to start out a season with none intensifying into a hurricane. We're currently tied with 2002, with six. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Just some fodder from the 12z GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 We have something for everybody now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 On second viewing, this is NOT 93L in the Caribbean in 10 days on the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 13, 2011 Author Share Posted August 13, 2011 We have something for everybody now I was noticing that, too. Also: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 I hope the end result of evolution is something beyond a barely storm, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 On second viewing, this is NOT 93L in the Caribbean in 10 days on the Euro... This evening's run (18z) of the GFS paints a picture similar to that of the Euro, a quickly developing tropical system getting ready to cross the Yucatan Channel, meanwhile the nothern stream cuts off a low pressure across the plains...the synoptics at the end of the run paints a very interesting scenario for the Northern Gulf Coast Region if you extrap. past hour 384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 A shame that a good grannycane name like Gert will likely be wasted on a POS fish storm. Josh might end up with an unwanted Harvey in his portfolio...although the best play would be for that mandarin to spin up to Harvey, then Irene explodes in the Carribean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Isn't it funny how people that don't live in hurricane prone areas think this season has been a dud? Meanwhile, in Florida all anyone can talk about is how active this season looks like it may be. Having 4 oranges in the Atlantic was enough to be the top story on the local news tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Not really... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 We have something for everybody now Except a hurricane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Not really... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Stop mucking up the threads with garbage posts when you are the whiny weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Stop mucking up the threads with garbage posts when you are the whiny weenie. Fair enough, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saltysenior Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Isn't it funny how people that don't live in hurricane prone areas think this season has been a dud? Meanwhile, in Florida all anyone can talk about is how active this season looks like it may be. Having 4 oranges in the Atlantic was enough to be the top story on the local news tonight. i live in stuart ,fl. ain't no dud around here....just talk insurance .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 A shame that a good grannycane name like Gert will likely be wasted on a POS fish storm. Josh might end up with an unwanted Harvey in his portfolio...although the best play would be for that mandarin to spin up to Harvey, then Irene explodes in the Carribean. Ha ha, my thoughts exactly. I would so dig a Gert or an Irene-- Harvey just sounds so nerdy, and I'm worried I'll get stuck with that one. But then again, if Harvey is a good, chaseable cyclone, should we care what it's named? I should just be grateful for a chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 i live in stuart ,fl. ain't no dud around here....just talk insurance .. It's a dud until Josh books a flight here. By the way, I work in Stuart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 It's a dud until Josh books a flight here. By the way, I work in Stuart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011 1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 61.6W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES How hilarious if we get to 10 NS without a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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