ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 How in the f does every other piece of guidance trend east and the f'ing Euro trends 100 miles farther west. We've asked that question for many years...the answer generally seems to be: "The Euro is a better model than the others" I still have some optimism for the clipper...and even the ice threat isn't dead for the interior, but that trend is definitely not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 We've asked that question for many years...the answer generally seems to be: "The Euro is a better model than the others" I still have some optimism for the clipper...and even the ice threat isn't dead for the interior, but that trend is definitely not good. I need a break from the weather . This is taking yrs off my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I need a break from the weather . This is taking yrs off my life. we better get some freaking snow before the end of this year or there is going to be some bad performance reviews for my employees!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I don't think 2.5" of rain is going to bode very well with a wet 24" snowpack up in the ME mtns...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug1991 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i know its early but could it really be worse than last year??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 We've asked that question for many years...the answer generally seems to be: "The Euro is a better model than the others" I still have some optimism for the clipper...and even the ice threat isn't dead for the interior, but that trend is definitely not good. yay... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Jeeze, seems like everyone's getting in line on the Tobin! Still 5 days out and yes, even the Euro is no lock. It certainly looks like rain, but there's got to be a good 30% or so chance it will be somewhat white, and maybe a 20% chance very white. Considering the fall so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I need a break from the weather . This is taking yrs off my life. Wasn't Will going to start banning people who whine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I don't think 2.5" of rain is going to bode very well with a wet 24" snowpack up in the ME mtns...... I asked Will about that earlier..........not sure, especially if the ground is frozen which it obviously is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 At least upstate NY gets screwed too..Don't need snow in Syracuse and rain here.. What an awful turn of events. I feel like smashing something actually, the more i look at this... hmm, I say try to avoid having primary low tunnel vision. There is clearly a secondary trying to form there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 What an epic, epic fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 HPC still hugging the middle FINAL... UNFORTUNATELY...THE BALANCE OF THE MODELS HAS NOT CHANGED WITH THE 12Z CYCLE. THE GFS HAS COME SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD WITH THE TRACK OF THE MAIN SURFACE LOW AS IT APPROACHES THE APPALACHIANS...BUT THE GEFS MEAN HAS COME A HAIR SOUTH. THE UKMET CONTINUES ITS SOUTHERN TRACK...KEEPING THE SPLIT FLOW SEPARATE OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA. THE GEM GLOBAL IS STILL TO THE NORTH...WITH MORE NORTHERN STREAM INTERACTION. WILL STICK WITH THE MEAN USED FOR THE UPDATE PACKAGE...WHICH CONTINUES TO BE THE COURSE OF LEAST REGRET. MORE CERTAIN IS THE INVASION OF MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG EASTERN WAVE...WITH NORTH WINDS DRIVING SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON SO FAR DEEP THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES AND DOWN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I don't tink this is over. I think it could get better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I took a break from the forum after yesterday's less than joyous news. I've come back today to find that we're right where we left off, except not 150 or so hours out, but 24 hours closer. Either way, I don't have a good feeling about this. Not looking to get all negative and jump the gun, but it will be easier to put the noose up before it rains. For those looking for the Positive thoughts, I give you this: I am positive that the noose will snap my neck instantly. . . . But then again, life may be worth living as it's not even winter yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Wasn't Will going to start banning people who whine? What an epic, epic fail lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Another retro storm at the end of the euro run up here............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I don't tink this is over. I think it could get better. It has to, Truthfully it really could not get much worse...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Wasn't Will going to start banning people who whine? We are mere mortals today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Another retro storm at the end of the euro run up here............ More rain at the end of the run? Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 . . . Then, I see a thread like this and think it may be easier to reach for the gun, as the noose won't be quick enough : http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/2468-western-maryland-is-getting-destroyed/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 lol we're f00ked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Highs into the 60's in Greenland on day 10 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 actually, the more i look at this... hmm, I say try to avoid having primary low tunnel vision. There is clearly a secondary trying to form there And I thought Kevin and Pete were the epitome of optimists....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 realistically, lets say this clipper friday (wait, I haven't even read enough today...do we still have the clipper potential for Friday?)...but lets say this clipper somehow BLOWS UP Friday, are we still in the game for Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 realistically, lets say this clipper friday (wait, I haven't even read enough today...do we still have the clipper potential for Friday?)...but lets say this clipper somehow BLOWS UP Friday, are we still in the game for Monday? Yes I would think so...at least for more ice if not more snow. Too much interaction with the northern PV will be tough to overcome. The clipper hasn't been trending well the past few runs though. Still over 3 days out despite everything "seemingly" so close in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Yes I would think so...at least for more ice if not more snow. Too much interaction with the northern PV will be tough to overcome. The clipper hasn't been trending well the past few runs though. Still over 3 days out despite everything "seemingly" so close in time. alright thanks, been spending so much time running around before finals that I haven't been able to look or read much, thanks for the summary. It'd be cool to see SOMETHING go our way, we all deserve it. Last time I saw more than a couple of inches of snow in CT was over 10 months ago, yikes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Insane blocking thru day 10..as Eastern Canada is flooded with maritime air..even getting back into Central Canada..while we somehow stay colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I don't tink this is over. I think it could get better. Seeing as it could not get much worse, this is a solid speculation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Insane blocking thru day 10..as Eastern Canada is flooded with maritime air..even getting back into Central Canada..while we somehow stay colder Somehow this all seems so familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joecor Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 let me get this straight...warm rainstorm sun-mon, then cold blast...then warm rainstorm in the longer range...plus bastardi says spring arrives right after christmas..ugh!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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