CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Theoretically you are correct, but if you research mod-strong la Ninas, December is a very crucial month regarding seasonal snowfall. Exactly... I think that's going to be an issue if this Dec winds up sucking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 burlington VT and chittenden county getting absolutely dumped on....someone headed for 2 feet OUTside the mountains. Wish we had a weenie with a road trip fetish on the WEST spine of berks above 1000' or so ....west side getting hit with 20dbz plus all day....gotta be near 8 inches by now. Money pit mike what say you nice little drive manana hot cup a coffee should be less than an hour......head over RTE 2 and take a Weenie measurement near the MA/NY border ....c'mon man........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 burlington VT and chittenden county getting absolutely dumped on....someone headed for 2 feet OUTside the mountains. Wish we had a weenie with a road trip fetish on the WEST spine of berks above 1000' or so ....west side getting hit with 20dbz plus all day....gotta be near 8 inches by now. Wxmanmitch is over 1100 feet in Lenox...he reported 4.5" a couple hours ago. I'm sure he'll see warning criteria.Anyways, this is stuff for the obs thread...not this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 new thread? we need some better luck for the 0Z .. and on.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 burlington VT and chittenden county getting absolutely dumped on....someone headed for 2 feet OUTside the mountains. Wish we had a weenie with a road trip fetish on the WEST spine of berks above 1000' or so ....west side getting hit with 20dbz plus all day....gotta be near 8 inches by now. Money pit mike what say you nice little drive manana hot cup a coffee should be less than an hour......head over RTE 2 and take a Weenie measurement near the MA/NY border ....c'mon man........ No need to go to the border--just head to Savoy. 25 minute ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Well as much as I do think this March may deliver if you really have to count on March to get you close to or above average...your chances aren't great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 Well as much as I do think this March may deliver if you really have to count on March to get you close to or above average...your chances aren't great. We need to put this convo away until Dec 30th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 The database is ridiculously small. See my post above. AO baby AO, baby You will see. I'm still waiting to see last year. I called for normal or slightly below snowfall for Dec, but then a huge March, so I'm aware there are no absolutes.....but if we end up with a Dec 2006 relative to snowfall, then I won't feel good. That probably won't happen, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 We need to put this convo away until Dec 30th Well I think as long as we stay in this type of pattern configuration we are going to get slammed, I told Kevin this in the car. It might not be until after mid month but I'll be INCREDIBLY shocked if we haven't had one big storm by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Well I think as long as we stay in this type of pattern configuration we are going to get slammed, I told Kevin this in the car. It might not be until after mid month but I'll be INCREDIBLY shocked if we haven't had one big storm by the end of the month. I'd say one mod storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I'd say one mod storm. If we don't see that by the end of the month I think we are screwed...at least down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 I'm still waiting to see last year. I called for normal or slightly below snowfall for Dec, but then a huge March, so I'm aware there are no absolutes.....but if we end up with a Dec 2006 relative to snowfall, then I won't feel good. That probably won't happen, anyway. I am not a Pats fan but man I hate the jets hope they keep it up. My heartfelt feeling is there is no analog to what has occurred in the stratosphere this year. Gonna be one crazy winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Pats having their way in the early going... Ahh.. putting it mildly!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It hits home a little bit just how much time we still have before any of this, when the clipper is still 1,000 miles away on the 84 hour NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 It hits home a little bit just how much time we still have before any of this, when the clipper is still 1,000 miles away on the 84 hour NAM. True dat, man the absolutes pouring out today are so silly. So much to resolve, the longevity of the block and it's position being number one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It hits home a little bit just how much time we still have before any of this, when the clipper is still 1,000 miles away on the 84 hour NAM. I was just thinking similarly. Much time/space/features ahead to dictate what happens with clipper to say nothing about the event Sunday/Monday. Too bad I can't stay up for the GFS. I'll be back at 4:30 for my GFS/Euro with my cup of joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 True dat, man the absolutes pouring out today are so silly. So much to resolve, the longevity of the block and it's position being number one. Yeah 2 lame storms on the way. The 12/20 storm looks good though!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It hits home a little bit just how much time we still have before any of this, when the clipper is still 1,000 miles away on the 84 hour NAM. Yeah 2 lame storms on the way. The 12/20 storm looks good though!!! Ryan, try to be a little more like Will, he doesn't troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Ryan, try to be a little more like Will, he doesn't troll. he just doesn't post when threats go down the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 The 12/20 storm looks good though!!! as we thought heavy heavy pete is taking non converts to the woodshed. Blashphemy! whip .....rain? Whip.....that otta straighten out your forecast. 0z nam 66hr has BONE chilling cold thickness heights 510 < for thurs afternoon. that should equal teens above 1000' ....low to mid 20's 495 belt i would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 he just doesn't post when threats go down the toilet. He never gives up until the NAM says to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 he just doesn't post when threats go down the toilet. Good policy, adopt it.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Wow, Pete, no mercy on DD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 as we thought heavy heavy pete is taking non converts to the woodshed. Blashphemy! whip .....rain? Whip.....that otta straighten out your forecast. 0z nam 66hr has BONE chilling cold thickness heights 510 < for thurs afternoon. that should equal teens above 1000' ....low to mid 20's 495 belt i would think. Ray >> Noooooo, not the shed, not the shed << Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 as we thought heavy heavy pete is taking non converts to the woodshed. Blashphemy! whip .....rain? Whip.....that otta straighten out your forecast. 0z nam 66hr has BONE chilling cold thickness heights 510 < for thurs afternoon. that should equal teens above 1000' ....low to mid 20's 495 belt i would think. Didn't get out of the teens today at 2k, temp forecasts have been busting for a while now. We've consistently been coming in 3-5 degrees below forecast maxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Didn't get out of the teens today at 2k, temp forecasts have been busting for a while now. We've consistently been coming in 3-5 degrees below forecast maxes. Since Saturday temperatures have been running way under MOS. Today was like -8 on GFS MOS and -4 on NAM MOS at Bradley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Wow, Pete, no mercy on DD Well, DD satys he only posts comments on model output but it's quite obvious he hams it up to satisfy some sadistic impulse to rain on the parade. Thus his latest moniker CT RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Well, DD satys he only posts comments on model output but it's quite obvious he hams it up to satisfy some sadistic impulse to rain on the parade. Thus his latest moniker CT RAIN. By March when many of us have received 50% of our average seasonal snowfall I'll change my name to something a bit more fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Since Saturday temperatures have been running way under MOS. Today was like -8 on GFS MOS and -4 on NAM MOS at Bradley. So..... could this tidbit factor into the longer range outlook? Some astute fellow was going on about heavy, heavy cold not being handled by the models that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 So..... could this tidbit factor into the longer range outlook? Some astute fellow was going on about heavy, heavy cold not being handled by the models that well. Probably not. MOS just having a tough time with the unseasonably cold weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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