Its cold enough when do we snow?

[weathafella]

May StephenCT rest in peace. He would be posting about how he got like 8" from that.

Did he actually die? I'm not on the bb much between events...

[Logan11]

The LES that had been affecting us for a long time has pretty much given up the ghost. I'm thinking it has been disrupted as this latest retro low pushes west from Maine. We'll have to see where it sets up next behind this low.

some of us could be in for some surprise snow again tonight

THUS SNOW

SHOWER/FLURRY ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH CT INTO RI

AND NEARBY MA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MA PIKE.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON AREAL EXTENT OF SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES SO WILL

NOT DEVIATE MUCH FROM GFS MOS POPS WHICH SEEM REASONABLE AT CHANCE

TO SLIGHT CHANCE. BUFKIT PROFILES SUGGEST PLENTY OF STRATO-CU

TONIGHT WITH POSSIBLY SOME ADDITIONAL MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS

ROTATING SOUTHWEST FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THESE MID AND HIGH

CLOUDS MAY HELP SEED LOWER CLOUDS WITH ICE NUCLEI AND ENHANCE SNOW

SHOWER ACTIVITY. NEVERTHELESS NOT EXPECTING MUCH IF ANY SNOW

ACCUMULATION BUT CAN/T RULE OUT ONE OR TWO NARROW MODERATE SNOW

BANDS YIELDING A QUICK INCH OR TWO /LIKE LAST NIGHT ACROSS

SOUTHERN CT/ SOMEWHERE ACROSS CT/RI AND MA. ALSO NANTUCKET WILL BE

VULNERABLE TO SHOW SHOWER ACTIVITY AS WSW TRAJ ACROSS RELATIVELY

WARM OCEAN WATERS WILL YIELD OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS COMING

CLOSE TO NANTUCKET

[dryslot]

Same girl as your avatar without the hat and bikini top..........

[Ginx snewx]

The LES that had been affecting us for a long time has pretty much given up the ghost. I'm thinking it has been disrupted as this latest retro low pushes west from Maine. We'll have to see where it sets up next behind this low.

That's not LES they are referring to.

[CoastalWx]

Fixed.

Facts meaning what the models show, and forecast scenarios/possibilities. True that.

[dryslot]

In my opinion, Not that it means much, It certainly is not time to take anything off the table yet, Let see if we can get the clipper stronger to what may happen down the road, I think with all the cold air that will be in place we see a stronger development off the coast with it.......

[CoastalWx]

That's not LES they are referring to.

There is definitely a connection. The Lakes are supplying the moisture.

[moneypitmike]

There is definitely a connection. The Lakes are supplying the moisture.

Hope it's supplying a lot. DP here is 14.

[weatherwiz]

Did he actually die? I'm not on the bb much between events...

No he's still alive, he posts on dabenchmark.

[weathafella]

Hope it's supplying a lot. DP here is 14.

BOS dewpoint also 14 last hour.

[Damage In Tolland]

Maybe an inch or 2 overnight south of Pike? though usually a west flow isn't condusive to lake snows this far east//someone somwhere might have a white weenie by morning

[weathafella]

Maybe an inch or 2 overnight south of Pike? though usually a west flow isn't condusive to lake snows this far east//someone somwhere might have a white weenie by morning

Happens to all old people....

[powderfreak]

Are you serious?

I'm the biggest out there at heart... but I keep the science first and my wants second. I'm not going to look for 100 different ways a given trend could be wrong to give us more snow.

I definitely think you are one of the most objective posters out there. Same with Will and Ray. If its something worth getting excited about, you guys are pumped. If its looking less favorable, you guys know it and post it.

There's nothing wrong with saying something doesn't look favorable for heavy, heavy snow. In fact, its almost refreshing to hear a voice of reason amongst some of the "it'll snow here no matter what the models say" crowd. This is a science, not an emotional bender.

[CoastalWx]

I'm surprised a radio show is going on tonight.

[ChrisM]

I'm surprised a radio show is going on tonight.

yeah it's got me pretty interested

[CT Rain]

I'm surprised a radio show is going on tonight.

Will give everyone a push off the ledge

[Ginx snewx]

Maybe an inch or 2 overnight south of Pike? though usually a west flow isn't condusive to lake snows this far east//someone somwhere might have a white weenie by morning

We seem to be the only believers in ULL magic, why any met was surprised today by accumulating snow is a good question. I saw Bob.Maxsons tweet this AM about OKX being asleep at the wheel. When ULLs like this are around, attention should be heightened for meso bands. I just do not understand.

[CoastalWx]

Will give everyone a push off the ledge

A simultaneous shove.

That's cool American is doing them for storms...at least it gives others an opportunity to listen to some in depth talk.

[H2Otown_WX]

Might as well have the -NAO/-AO combo break down in January so we can just have an all out torch..at least that way we'd know it's not going to snow. Wouldn't have to waste time watching every model run.

[Cold Miser]

Will give everyone a push off the ledge

lol.

I guess it's worth a listen at this point with a potential storm or two to track.

[CT Rain]

We seem to be the only believers in ULL magic, why any met was surprised today by accumulating snow is a good question. I saw Bob.Maxsons tweet this AM about OKX being asleep at the wheel. When ULLs like this are around, attention should be heightened for meso bands. I just do not understand.

ULLs can certainly do crazy things... this was the perfect example of how you can get LES to parts of CT. It happens once or twice a winter.

[Ginx snewx]

I definitely think you are one of the most objective posters out there. Same with Will and Ray. If its something worth getting excited about, you guys are pumped. If its looking less favorable, you guys know it and post it.

There's nothing wrong with saying something doesn't look favorable for heavy, heavy snow. In fact, its almost refreshing to hear a voice of reason amongst some of the "it'll snow here no matter what the models say" crowd. This is a science, not an emotional bender.

Love it, trolled Ryan FTW, pay back is a biiatch LOL, .

[moneypitmike]

Well--for better or for worse, the Sunday/Monday event is now within the BOX forecas window:

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE

OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE

OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE

EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S.

[Zeus]

I'm surprised a radio show is going on tonight.

Agreed.

It's somewhat curious, being that we're six days out, but especially mysterious when one considers that I am not in the prospective bullseye.

I'm writing my congressman.

[CoastalWx]

It seems like the system on the heels of Friday's lousy clipper is actually kicking the clipper out and not allowing it to dig a little more. The euro and 18z gfs seems to depict this. It's possible there may be little qpf with this, if that does happen.

[moneypitmike]

I'm surprised a radio show is going on tonight.

Maybe it's really about the suprise heavy snows on Friday.

[CoastalWx]

Well, at least it's pretty much snow on the gfs for BOS.

[CT Rain]

It seems like the system on the heels of Friday's lousy clipper is actually kicking the clipper out and not allowing it to dig a little more. The euro and 18z gfs seems to depict this. It's possible there may be little qpf with this, if that does happen.

Yeah fairly unimpressive QPF could result. Hopefully we find a way for it to dig.

[Damage In Tolland]

It seems like the system on the heels of Friday's lousy clipper is actually kicking the clipper out and not allowing it to dig a little more. The euro and 18z gfs seems to depict this. It's possible there may be little qpf with this, if that does happen.

[weathafella]

That band from the north may allow me to see between 50-100 flakes.