ski MRG Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Euro is wrong Why? Flip the scenarios GFS/Euro and I'm quite sure you'd say "Euro is King". FWIW I Think the EURO depiction is not correct either but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Why? Flip the scenarios GFS/Euro and I'm quite sure you'd say "Euro is King". FWIW I Think the EURO depiction is not correct either but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 It will snow Friday night into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I'm not concerned about what the Euro shows right now ... 12z was nothing like it. A couple more runs like it, though, and I'll start chewing my nails. I'll ride the GFS on this one because of its relative consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I'm not concerned about what the Euro shows right now ... 12z was nothing like it. A couple more runs like it, though, and I'll start chewing my nails. I'll ride the GFS on this one because of its relative consistency. The euro ensembles are se of the op (they usually are), but it depends on what happens in the Midwest. Models are slowly trending stronger with the energy in that area. However, if it doesn't phase early enough..it probably would be a big coastal bomb, instead of going up the Hudson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 The euro ensembles are se of the op (they usually are), but it depends on what happens in the Midwest. Models are slowly trending stronger with the energy in that area. However, if if it doesn't phase early enough..it probably would be a big coastal bomb, instead of going up the Hudson. Yeah I just checked the ensembles and like what I see much more. No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 A nugget from GYX AFD ... JUST BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND THINGS MAY GET VERY INTERESTING FOR ALL THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Euro is wrong can't imagine what these threads will be like if we get a couple of light rain showers followed by a soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Euro is wrong SO whats right, you totally discount the gfs, what model are you going with? Hey what time does the snow start today? Need to let a couple clients know there cleanup schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 DT's winter forecast at his site has us all at 150=200 percent of normal snowfall for DJF. That's cool... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 A nugget from GYX AFD ... JUST BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND THINGS MAY GET VERY INTERESTING FOR ALL THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE. You forgot the rest of the nugget: TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK IT LOOKS LIKE ALL AREAS WILL RECEIVE ITS FIRST SNOW COVER IN THE FRI NGT/SAT TIME FRAME AS A DECENT WAA PATTERN SETS UP AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROF LIFTING OUT TO THE NE FM THE GT LAKES...A SCNDRY LOW MAY SPAWN ENHANCING THE SNOWS FOR A SHORT PD SAT. A RETURN TO COLD AND DRY WX FOR LATE IN THE WEEKEND. JUST BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND THINGS MAY GET VERY INTERESTING FOR ALL THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 It looks like there could be some heavy snow on the way toward the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 It looks like there could be some heavy snow on the way toward the end of the week. meghan typing on will's profile? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 meghan typing on will's profile? No I'm actually pretty optimistic. I still like the clipper look and possible redevelopment, even though the Euro verbatim was a bit too late. The 2nd system has a pretty good antecedent cold airmass ahead of it, so while there's still a threat it could be too far west, I think there's a very good chance it ends up with a mostly winter appeal to it. (even on the western Euro OP run, you can see the colder air trying to fight back at 192h. That said, I really wouldn't even take that 2nd system seriously until we see what type of development occurs out of the clipper system. edit: Megan gets mad when people type her name with an "h". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 No I'm actually pretty optimistic. I still like the clipper look and possible redevelopment, even though the Euro verbatim was a bit too late. The 2nd system has a pretty good antecedent cold airmass ahead of it, so while there's still a threat it could be too far west, I think there's a very good chance it ends up with a mostly winter appeal to it. (even on the western Euro OP run, you can see the colder air trying to fight back at 192h. That said, I really wouldn't even take that 2nd system seriously until we see what type of development occurs out of the clipper system. edit: Megan gets mad when people type her name with an "h". what's the elevation of weenie ridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 It looks like there could be some heavy snow on the way toward the end of the week. Yeah I think we'll see WSW up by Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 No I'm actually pretty optimistic. I still like the clipper look and possible redevelopment, even though the Euro verbatim was a bit too late. The 2nd system has a pretty good antecedent cold airmass ahead of it, so while there's still a threat it could be too far west, I think there's a very good chance it ends up with a mostly winter appeal to it. (even on the western Euro OP run, you can see the colder air trying to fight back at 192h. That said, I really wouldn't even take that 2nd system seriously until we see what type of development occurs out of the clipper system. edit: Megan gets mad when people type her name with an "h". Can you grab her phone and post those pics from last night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 what's the elevation of weenie ridge? 1400-1500 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Can you grab her phone and post those pics from last night lol They are actually on her camera, I'm sure she'll put them on a bit later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I think it will be pretty hard getting snow in here next weekend with the block weakened and east and a lack of a 50/50 low. Looks like a classic cutter to me with redev over the canal. Berks and greens make out with a mix to rain for the interior and pretty much a rain event along the coastal plain, but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 what's the elevation of weenie ridge? 1400' ...... with some homes nestled up in the mountain nearing 1500'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 No I'm actually pretty optimistic. I still like the clipper look and possible redevelopment, even though the Euro verbatim was a bit too late. The 2nd system has a pretty good antecedent cold airmass ahead of it, so while there's still a threat it could be too far west, I think there's a very good chance it ends up with a mostly winter appeal to it. (even on the western Euro OP run, you can see the colder air trying to fight back at 192h. That said, I really wouldn't even take that 2nd system seriously until we see what type of development occurs out of the clipper system. edit: Megan gets mad when people type her name with an "h". LOl I was calling her Megan without an H last night, glad to see the optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yeah I think we'll see WSW up by Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 I think it will be pretty hard getting snow in here next weekend with the block weakened and east and a lack of a 50/50 low. Looks like a classic cutter to me with redev over the canal. Berks and greens make out with a mix to rain for the interior and pretty much a rain event along the coastal plain, but who knows. Last night Will and I were looking at the KU book, surprise huh. Anyway we looked at many storms that if progged would have had everyone flipping out with so many primaries heading up the Miss Valley or Ohio Valley, but then boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Heavy snow next weekend? Wait for it ... it's coming ... As we thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 A nugget from GYX AFD ... JUST BEYOND NEXT WEEKEND THINGS MAY GET VERY INTERESTING FOR ALL THE SNOW LOVERS OUT THERE. Hmmmmm--I wonder who came up with that line? Nice morning out there. Early appears to be giving way to clouds. Temps warming--24.3/16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Last night Will and I were looking at the KU book, surprise huh. Anyway we looked at many storms that if progged would have had everyone flipping out with so many primaries heading up the Miss Valley or Ohio Valley, but then boom. I would love to see the clipper strengthen more than modeled, lay the baroclinic zone a little further south and east. It will be a fun week, many of us will see our first snows, I know you had two inches, I had 0.4. How is your head this morning?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 The models have toned down the GOA trough a bit over the last day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 meghan typing on will's profile? That's Megan with no "h", Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 What?! Why the weenie? I would think you'd approve of my measured approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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