ChrisM Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Going away from all the arguing I think one thing we all can pretty much agree on is things are trending in a positive direction for us...ok, maybe the Sunday/Monday storm doesn't work out but that doesn't mean we are toast. The pattern continues to look quite active and we should continue to be in a cooler than normal pattern and the block doesn't look like it's breaking down soon. It's "looked good" for the past two weeks now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 KCON has not had anything greater than a trace since 2/27/10. Wow. it has been amazing. we live not far from CON and have little more than a T since then. nothing >0.5". since 2/16 have got less than 8" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 If the GFS is right most of CT, RI, and E Mass get rain on Friday. Thanks Cap Obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I'll be happy with an inch, stoked for 2. Same here. If the GFS is right most of CT, RI, and E Mass get rain on Friday. Seriously? Must be low-level warmth then? I didn't look at anything below 850. It's "looked good" for the past two weeks now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If the GFS is right most of CT, RI, and E Mass get rain on Friday. Understanding that it is 4 days out, does it look all wet, or starting as snow, changing over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Man, this is going to be a long winter. I can't believe we're arguing for something 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 If the GFS is right most of CT, RI, and E Mass get rain on Friday. No CT stations got that band which caused school delays and accidents this AM. Those misses are occurring more frequently, miss the days of Hilton and Dr. Mel who nailed the mesos better than anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 IDK...if the precip was heavy enough I could see it being mainly snow, no? maybe at least a mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If it rains, it rains, nothing we can do. Hopefully we enjoy something on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 Man, this is going to be a long winter. I can't believe we're arguing for something 8 days out. Nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If it rains, it rains, nothing we can do. Hopefully we enjoy something on Friday. ummmmm...snow dance? Anyway, back to reality... if this Friday jobber comes in warm, does that "help" with the second potential system as far as drawing cold in behind it or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Man, this is going to be a long winter. I can't believe we're arguing for something 8 days out. does anybody work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I think Friday is a keeper. Deep cold Thursday and early Friday. Impressive thermal gradient aloft with the clipper and nrg will juice this up far more than currently modeled. If this can go under us, we're going to the races Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 does anybody work? April-November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 BOS 3PM obs 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 ummmmm...snow dance? Anyway, back to reality... if this Friday jobber comes in warm, does that "help" with the second potential system as far as drawing cold in behind it or something? I want it as much as anybody, but if next week doesn't pan out, there will be plenty of others. We still have no clue about Friday, but yes the signals for next week are not encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I think Friday is a keeper. Deep cold Thursday and early Friday. Impressive thermal gradient aloft with the clipper and nrg will juice this up far more than currently modeled. If this can go under us, we're going to the races Friday. Is that suggestive of at least a couple of hours of moderate snow region wide? Quick but productive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 does anybody work? Incredible multitasking - grading papers, sweeping up my lab, getting copies made for Tuesday, perusing Blizz vs Ray round 42 Anyway, I'm waiting for the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Who was it that mentioned the possibility of convective precip with the clipper? That certainly looks like a possibility which if it does occur I think that could even mean snow, despite the bit of warmth the GFS has. TT's are fairly high, near 50, with the K-index in the mid teens...GFS also has some pretty steep ML lapse rates, around 6.5 C/KM...some strong lift too. Maybe some pretty heavy bursts of snow in spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 If the GFS is right most of CT, RI, and E Mass get rain on Friday. all the more reason to be thankful I saw some of the white stuff this morning...about 0.5" out my way. as for Friday...probably still too early to tell...I could see the solution getting a bit colder. really not too far from a solution where southern counties start off with rain...then transition to a bit of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Is that suggestive of at least a couple of hours of moderate snow region wide? Quick but productive? I think that may happen. We'll have a better handle when the features are on land in 2 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Who was it that mentioned the possibility of convective precip with the clipper? That certainly looks like a possibility which if it does occur I think that could even mean snow, despite the bit of warmth the GFS has. TT's are fairly high, near 50, with the K-index in the mid teens...GFS also has some pretty steep ML lapse rates, around 6.5 C/KM...some strong lift too. Maybe some pretty heavy bursts of snow in spots? I mentioned it looked a little unstable, but it probably wouldn't work out well if something like the euro happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 rain for friday????!!!!! when did this become an issue. thickness 528 or so ......i assume the BL temps are a concern for some who torch on a LIGHT S wind? ......looks like ma pike north would be fine. as well as higher elevations in CT/RI , etc. at least no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 rain for friday????!!!!! when did this become an issue. thickness 528 or so ......i assume the BL temps are a concern for some who torch on a LIGHT S wind? ......looks like ma pike north would be fine. as well as higher elevations in CT/RI , etc. at least no? Yeah it looks good just inland. Should be fine in those locations I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 rain for friday????!!!!! when did this become an issue. thickness 528 or so ......i assume the BL temps are a concern for some who torch on a LIGHT S wind? ......looks like ma pike north would be fine. as well as higher elevations in CT/RI , etc. at least no? If it's as cold as the euro has on Thursday noone is raining Friday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Ouch... don't look at the 12z Euro Ensembles. Hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Yeah it looks good just inland. Should be fine in those locations I think. I was shocked when I loaded the 12z GFS bufkit sounding how warm the boundary layer was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Ouch... don't look at the 12z Euro Ensembles. Hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Primary south of Cleveland.... redevelops near like Allentown, PA. Soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Ouch... don't look at the 12z Euro Ensembles. Hideous. Yeah, nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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