Its cold enough when do we snow?

[skierinvermont]

Hopefully models don't lose the NYE ball and have that still stuck at day 10 come March.

Yep.. I am about to make reservations for the 27-29 for 3 friends and I and the Euro is giving me pause. They have very little now, most of which could be washed away by the 13th. That gives them just over a week to get enough snow for the holiday ski season.

[moneypitmike]

We need it to trend 1000 miles.

LMAO

23.7/13.

[dryslot]

You guys seeing 8-10? What's the scoop?

Rain...

[40/70 Benchmark]

You guys seeing 8-10 hrs for the onset of rigamortis? What's the scoop?

Sounds about right.

[OSUmetstud]

At least we can pay $10 for an orange.

[Logan11]

Euro sounds a bit extreme. I have seen it go crazy and try to close off 5H lows in the northern stream way west before..... That said.....probably the best case would be a solution like the Canadian. I think the idea of a snowstorm up I-95 is pretty much dead.

The only positive that i have is that its 150hrs out........

[Damage In Tolland]

This thread has become unreadable. One bad model run and people start whining

[CoastalWx]

I haven't seen the EURO but I do not like what you are saying, haha. Are we in for another cutter? Please tell the Reverand to make it track east of us. I'd like to see all this snow stick around... winter storm warnings now flying on BTV's update. Plows are out and its coming down.

Problem is this stuff is pure fluff and air... any sort of rain/warmth in a cutter scenario would wipe out the 6" in my yard in a blink of an eye.

Well at least you get upslope..lol. Still time for you up in VT. No need to go handlebars just yet.

[dryslot]

This would be a huge kick in the gonads if this run was to verify, Snow flurries with the clipper on friday and a SE wind driven rainstorm on monday............

[moneypitmike]

Hopefully models don't lose the NYE ball and have that still stuck at day 10 come March.

Groundhog Day. Cue Sonny and Cher.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Groundhog Day. Cue Sonny and Cher.

March ftw

[weatherwiz]

This thread has become unreadable. One bad model run and people start whining

Nobody is whining, just reacting to what is in front of us.

[CoastalWx]

Man the block is incredible. Another storm backing up into caribou.

[Logan11]

Well DT says La Nina may be starting to weaken...so hope for Mid/Late Winter.

Groundhog Day. Cue Sonny and Cher.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Nobody is whining, just reacting to what is in front of us.

I'm whining.

It worked yesterday....what the he**.

[Logan11]

The block is incredible except when we need it. Kind of a crazy pattern.

Man the block is incredible. Another storm backing up into caribou.

[moneypitmike]

This thread has become unreadable. One bad model run and people start whining

It's not one run. It's the whole 12z suite.

[weatherwiz]

Well DT says La Nina may be starting to weaken...so hope for Mid/Late Winter.

When did he say that?

If anything the trends over the past few days/week show that the Nina may be strengthening.

[dryslot]

This thread has become unreadable. One bad model run and people start whining

Just taken whats on the euro verbatim, Now wheres the rope you had at the gtg..........

[Logan11]

On his audio broadcast. I think he sees sub-surface warming...

When did he say that?

If anything the trends over the past few days/week show that the Nina may be strengthening.

[weatherwiz]

I'm whining.

It worked yesterday....what the he**.

Maybe the weather Gods will feel sorry for us and just make something work for once.

All I know is I can't wait to we finally see a stretch of sick winters...it has to happen sooner rather than later, early to mid 90's was pretty sick, early to mid 2000's had some pretty sick years...hopefully we aren't entering a decade stretch like the 80's though.

[CoastalWx]

It literally takes the airmass from Sable Island and backs it up to Lake Superior. Insane. We stay cold in sne.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man the block is incredible. Another storm backing up into caribou.

I'll bet if someone researched, you wouldn't be able to come up with a year so extensively filled with "incredible blocks" and such exotically anomalous soloution upon exotically anomalous soloution failing to snow in this area.

Serious post.....it seems as though every third day mets are in awe of how extraordinary the pattern is and it is always cross haired on an anomaly that precludes snow in this neck of the woods; frustration is almost succumbing to awe, at this point.

[Damage In Tolland]

It's not one run. It's the whole 12z suite.

It is one model run..The Euro..Ukie/GGEM were both much colder..as were last night's Euro ens. GFS is discarded at this time frame.

[weatherwiz]

On his audio broadcast. I think he sees sub-surface warming...

Well given the insane trade burst we saw occur yesterday any sub-sfc warming may be short-lived

Looks like we may see some more cooling occur over the next week. We've seen the Nino weekies really drop over the past few weeks, went from -1.3C to -1.6C in just a matter of weeks.

[OKpowdah]

This thread has become unreadable. One Five bad model runs and people start whining

[40/70 Benchmark]

Mike, just let him go....we bi***, he does that....everyone has their way of dealing; except Will....he's a robot.

[OKpowdah]

Mike, just let him go....we bi***, he does that....everyone has their way of dealing; except Will....he's a robot.

so true

he almost broke last March ... almost

[Damage In Tolland]

When the Euro ens come in with a low over the BM today the whining I'm sure will cease

[ORH_wxman]

Mike, just let him go....we bi***, he does that....everyone has their way of dealing; except Will....he's a robot.

There's no sense in complaining about something you have zero control over. Especially when its over something that is far from certain to occur (i.e. a 144 hour deterministic solution)