Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Models, Mets, and teleconnections point to the weekend of the 11th for a threat of accumulating snow. Discuss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Congrats Fairfield County! Any development is off-shore. 30.7/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Todays 12 Z GFS used in a broad view details the relaxation of the the block with a much more favorable typical cold air source with SW's approaching. Seven to eight days out is a long time but all guidance is suggesting the period will have several opportunities for precipitation either an overrunning type or an orgazized system. Cold air exists in abundance so the antecedant air mass should allow for at least some snow in most of the SNE area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Good juju in this thread. Happy to see decent below norm temps for a change... now arrange for precip, stalling, bombo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 This signal has been there from the far long range. The 50 year anniversary of one of the greatest blizzards of my lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Good juju in this thread. Happy to see decent below norm temps for a change... now arrange for precip, stalling, bombo... Most encouraged I've been in a month. lol Dave/Steve, are you guys coming to worcester today? Raw day today. 30/718, wnw up to 15mph. Davis says "snow likely within 12 hours". It must have been programmed by Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Most encouraged I've been in a month. lol Dave/Steve, are you guys coming to worcester today? Raw day today. 30/718, wnw up to 15mph. Davis says "snow likely within 12 hours". It must have been programmed by Kevin. Ginxy is probably already there... I can't make it (have known this for about a year ) Enjoy the libations/weenie tugging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Todays 12 Z GFS used in a broad view details the relaxation of the the block with a much more favorable typical cold air source with SW's approaching. Seven to eight days out is a long time but all guidance is suggesting the period will have several opportunities for precipitation either an overrunning type or an orgazized system. Cold air exists in abundance so the antecedant air mass should allow for at least some snow in most of the SNE area. Strongly agree. Just need the -Nao in the sweet spot and that spot maybe pretty small this year. If the block is to far west (like now) you guys get the finger and I get a drink from the Atlantic fire hose. To far east and we run the risk of the cutters returning. Still think I'd take my chances with the latter. Kinda east based but not to much. West based is good but you have to get a storm in quick before the cold air is mixed out due to the influx of marine air. As of now it's been sitting too long. Need it to relax, which it should as you noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Finally, a threat that cooincides with realism.....no "negativity", here. Good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 12z euro looks good at 216h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 18z NAM develops another lobe of 500mb vorticity over NC at hour 72, but with the positioning of the trough and everything else this looks to go by to the east. However it could turn the flow to the N or NNW for awhile with 850mb temperatures below -10C this could give Cape COd, MA some OES flurries and clouds on Tuesday into Wednesday as the surface low over Quebec fills and weakens pulling northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Euro OP at 12z looks to be the outliner here GEFS, CMC ensembles and Euro ensembles seem somewhat similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Euro OP at 12z looks to be the outliner here GEFS, CMC ensembles and Euro ensembles seem somewhat similar What's an outliner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 What's an outliner? let's see what the 18Z brings.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 let's see what the 18Z brings.. You're right....time to temper the enthusiasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 18z is a little taste of pie and then BOOM monster snowstorm next monday. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 18z is a little taste of pie and then BOOM monster snowstorm next monday. Lock it up. Right. Let's lock up a D12 storm when we can't even get a D10 storm to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 18z GFS is major model porn as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Right. Let's lock up a D12 storm when we can't even get a D10 storm to verify. It's at day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 lock it up 15+ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 I think the D6-7 clipper will be quite strong and the pattern is progressive enough to get the clipper into the 50/50 position before the real deal. 18z GEFS means at H192 show huge +PNA signal developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 18z GEFS means are out to sea with the D9-10 storm, with the trough too far east for a significant coastal storm. Pattern at H5 looks pretty good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I believe this looks about perfect no? deep trough over se, energy dropping in from midwest, 50-50 low and ridging pushing towards greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I believe this looks about perfect no? deep trough over se, energy dropping in from midwest, 50-50 low and ridging pushing towards greenland. Unless you live in the coastal plain, fortunately we don't.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> <br /> Unless you live in the coastal plain, fortunately we don't.lol<br /> <br /><br /><br />Shaddup....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 <br /><br /><br /> Shaddup....lol Just calling the way I see it. Looks like the SLP would end up inside the BM on that map, no? Perfect for the East Slope.lol. Don't worry Jerry, you Ginx and I will have our early calls on this season verify when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I would prefer that it move just a teensy bit east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I would prefer that it move just a teensy bit east... Don't worry, I'll post lot's of pics for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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