TheTrials Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 Tomorrow looks to provide the risk for severe thunderstorms...with a low pressure passing to the north of our area over New York State and New England on the front. We could see some rather widespread damaging wind reports given the degree of destabilization that is forecast with the expanding and supportive kinematics by mid afternoon. Looks to be another setup that strongly favors northern areas into NE at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 clouds look to prohibit another day of 90(+), more tomorrow with storms will likely ruin what otherwise would have been a scorcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 0z euro is an overall warm pattern for its entire run. Nothing record breaking, but a lot of days in the low 90's. GFS is similar thru the euro range, and then after that, in fantasy range, it gets cooler, for pretty much the entire nation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 thanx for not helping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 12z NAM has nice storms tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 Bill Evans just referred to an 'altocirrus' cloud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 Newark did reach 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2011 Share Posted July 28, 2011 0z euro is an overall warm pattern for its entire run. Nothing record breaking, but a lot of days in the low 90's. GFS is similar thru the euro range, and then after that, in fantasy range, it gets cooler, for pretty much the entire nation. Good agreement on an overall warmer pattern on both the gfs and euro. Looks like both models show a burst of stronger heat the middle/end of next week, lets see if it maintains that. Trough setting up in the west with flatter flow into the east, but warm.. Both models ovral dry as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 29, 2011 Share Posted July 29, 2011 A couple days ago it looked like today would be 92-95, Saturday 90-95 and Sunday the same. 12z NAM today has a high of 86-88. 90-92 tomorrow and 86-88 for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2011 Share Posted July 29, 2011 A couple days ago it looked like today would be 92-95, Saturday 90-95 and Sunday the same. 12z NAM today has a high of 86-88. 90-92 tomorrow and 86-88 for Sunday. If we can stay sunny for a while we'll get to 90 today. But yeah clouds are getting in the way this week more than initially forecast on the models from last week and weekend. We were sitting in 100+ last Friday at this time looking at the D7 progs and thinking repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2011 Share Posted July 29, 2011 90 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted July 29, 2011 Share Posted July 29, 2011 Parents' got 0.67" today thru ~8:30PM 7:30PM... most of that in the last hour (0.40"). I guess the TTN ASOS didn't like me insulting its temperature readings, as now it appears that the rain gauge has decided to fail Edit: Doh on the time difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 30, 2011 Share Posted July 30, 2011 .29 overnight, .69 this afternoon and earlier in the week we got .83 so we got a weeks worth of rain in my back yard this week, watch the weeds grow and grow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 30, 2011 Share Posted July 30, 2011 12PM ROundup TEB: 87 NYC: 87 EWR: 91 LGA: 82 JFK: 89 BLM: 87 TTN: 85 ACY: 87 ;;; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 30, 2011 Share Posted July 30, 2011 91 here now in Long Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 The high here was 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 92 for me yesterday...what the heck happened to this forum it totally died, what are the longer range models showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 The high here was 94 A high of 94 here in Long Beach also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 92 for me yesterday...what the heck happened to this forum it totally died, what are the longer range models showing It looks continued warm to hot through this coming week and next weekend(8/7) w ith multiple days in the low/mid 90s. The scorching heat looks to stay south of the area but Mon, and between Thu - Sat look pretty hot. Only clouds and storms will limit 90's for most areas. Had it not have been for the clouds on Friday we would have been roasting like our neighbors just to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 11AM roundup TEB: 84 NYC: 81 EWR: 84 LGA: 79 JFK: 85 BLM: 82 TTN: 84 ACY: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 The GFS is forecasting steep mid-level lapse rates on Monday for the potential of some of the thunderstorms going severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 11AM roundup TEB: 84 NYC: 81 EWR: 84 LGA: 79 JFK: 85 BLM: 82 TTN: 84 ACY: 88 Noon call TEB: 87 NYC: 85 EWR: 87 LGA: 82 JFK: 85 BLM: 85 TTN: 88 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 2PM TEB: 91 NYC: 88 EWR: 91 LGA: 85 JFK: 86 BLM: 88 TTN: 90 ACY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 Slight risk from SPC Monday. I think they sum it up pretty well: ...NORTHEAST... MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODEST CAPE MONDAY AHEAD OF THE DIGGING UPPER LOW/TROUGH AND ALONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO ERN NY AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. THIS FORCING COUPLED WITH AVAILABLE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS. DEEP-LAYER FLOW AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MODEST AT BEST BUT COOLING ALOFT AND POCKETS OF STRONGER FLOW/SHEAR WILL PROBABLY CONTRIBUTE TO THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF HAIL AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN STRONGER STORMS AROUND THE TIME OF MAXIMUM HEATING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 Larry Cosgrove calls for the heat to continue until the Labor Day weekend with New England getting some relief at times.This will likely be a TOP 5 Hottest summer of all time.If August has a +3 departure or higher,We will likely have another T10 hottest summer on record here,not #1 like last year but still to damn hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 Larry Cosgrove calls for the heat to continue until the Labor Day weekend with New England getting some relief at times.This will likely be a TOP 5 Hottest summer of all time.If August has a +3 departure or higher,We will likely have another T10 hottest summer on record here,not #1 like last year but still to damn hot. August is going to have to average around 75.9 at the Park for this summer to crack the top 10...certainly within reach.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 August is going to have to average around 75.9 at the Park for this summer to crack the top 10...certainly within reach.... The way the pattern has been,it should surpass this quite easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 31, 2011 Share Posted July 31, 2011 ewr may break or tie their hottest month ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 ewr may break or tie their hottest month ever 22 days at 90 (+) in 2011. 21 in 2010. Avg : 82.7 (+5.5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 ewr may break or tie their hottest month ever TTN is easily beating theirs from 1 year ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.