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July/August NYC Metro WX Disco


Dark Energy

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Double raindow? Too bad AG wasn't in Bayside, sounds like he may have gotten a better image than from Astoria.

Yes double.

And my A/C stayed on at night. Even with the A/C, it didn't get that cold in the house overnight because it was still heated from the past few days.

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6Z GFS soundings for next week are not as impressive for big heat, soundings have max temps in the 90-92 range.

The GFS has higher heat then 90-92 for days 8-11.

Soundings dont show in between hours.

Are you looking at soundings in hourly intervals?

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The GFS has higher heat then 90-92 for days 8-11.

Soundings dont show in between hours.

Are you looking at soundings in hourly intervals?

I am using the Twister data website to estimate what temps would be for that time range.

Example. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.x=745&sounding.y=267&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=07&model_dd=14&model_init_hh=06&fhour=84&parameter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=image&view=large&archive=false

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The GFS has higher heat then 90-92 for days 8-11.

Soundings dont show in between hours.

Are you looking at soundings in hourly intervals?

This may be true, but the 6z GFS is not a hot run compared to what we were seeing on the models a few cycles ago.

+NAO vortex drops too far south into Quebec and holds that weakness in the jet to our northeast that has characterized this summer. We look to get two fleeting shots of warmth: upper 80s-low 90s Mon/Tues, and then perhaps a bigger torch next weekend with widespread 90s. But it's broken up by a frontal passage and not nearly as dramatic as earlier runs that had us baking under 25C 850s for a few days in a row.

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Accuwx has me at 55 tonight (not happening) and newark at 66, so even the coolest night still ends up just a tad below the norm and not able to drop under 65 in urban areas. Also the warmest spots will be hitting 90 already by saturday and my guess is the lowest high temp EWR sees is 86-87, which is just about the norm. Really shows how impressive it was to get such a cold July 2 years ago

It feels like it is lately, when the lows have stayed in the 70's and 80's on some nights. Especially in the city area.

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This may be true, but the 6z GFS is not a hot run compared to what we were seeing on the models a few cycles ago.

+NAO vortex drops too far south into Quebec and holds that weakness in the jet to our northeast that has characterized this summer. We look to get two fleeting shots of warmth: upper 80s-low 90s Mon/Tues, and then perhaps a bigger torch next weekend with widespread 90s. But it's broken up by a frontal passage and not nearly as dramatic as earlier runs that had us baking under 25C 850s for a few days in a row.

Oh definitely. While the 0z euro is still hot in the long range, it too backed off a little on the extreme heat it was showing for several runs.

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