phil882 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Believe it or not, we are already picking up measurable precipitation here on the NW side of Asheville, NC. Current Obs. Current Conditions: Light Sleet / Freezing Rain Mix Temp: 30.0 degrees Dewpoint: 25 degrees I'm kinda stunned its already underway here. I am a little disappointed to see we only have a sleet / freezing rain mix starting. That band moving into the Apps. means business! I didn't think we would be getting anything before daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 hopefully thats mean the same for the northern foothills too waste less precip on moistening that atmosphere, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 lol Weather Channel calling for up to 3 inches at RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 I think the precip is moving in early thanks in large part to this very powerful band stretching over multiple states. We are just on the tail end of it here. It looks like things will be winding down as the band moves east of here. Will be interesting to see if the foothills and northern mountains downstream are picking up any snowfall with this band. temp has been slowly rising, likely due to the sleet freezing creating diabatic heat release. Temp: 30.3 degrees Dewpoint: 27 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 The proof of sleet... its mainly turned over to light freezing rain now and seems to be ending as the band moves east. Apologies for the quality of the photo since it was taken with my phone. Temp: 30.6 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 For what its worth, here is my final call map for the clipper event.... discussion will be linked. Discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 06 GFS coming in drier....... whatya think Phil, im starting to worry. It might be nowcast time and I should put down the model remote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 06 GFS coming in drier....... whatya think Phil, im starting to worry. It might be nowcast time and I should put down the model remote. I think its nowcasting time, so its not really worth looking into the specifics with the models anymore. What I have found out thus far is that the warm nose is currently quite a bit stronger than the models are indicating at this time, since I saw no snowfall with that first band of precipitation that came through and hour ago. Radar looks quite good right now, and I expect it to continue to fill in as we move into the mid to late morning hours. I wouldn't start to worry until late this afternoon if the radar is looking rather anemic by then in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Just peered under the flood lights and I have a few pellets of very light sleet.Very few, but still my first frozen of the season. Temp 38, dew 30. I think its nowcasting time, so its not really worth looking into the specifics with the models anymore. What I have found out thus far is that the warm nose is currently quite a bit stronger than the models are indicating at this time, since I saw no snowfall with that first band of precipitation that came through and hour ago. Radar looks quite good right now, and I expect it to continue to fill in as we move into the mid to late morning hours. I wouldn't start to worry until late this afternoon if the radar is looking rather anemic by then in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Yep. Saw the sleet on the way to work out this A.M. I think the cold that Robert has been talking is the big story here. Hopefully, you other guys cash in on some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Just peered under the flood lights and I have a few pellets of very light sleet.Very few, but still my first frozen of the season. Temp 38, dew 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Just peered under the flood lights and I have a few pellets of very light sleet.Very few, but still my first frozen of the season. Temp 38, dew 30. CONGRATS Robert/Phil! Hope you all get hammered! I'll let u know if we get any rain at all down here...got my doubts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Yep. Saw the sleet on the way to work out this A.M. I think the cold that Robert has been talking is the big story here. Hopefully, you other guys cash in on some snow. yeah the cold is going to be the big story. The 6z runs are colder for NC. But just going by the latest 00z runs of all of them, Sunday through Tuesday is going to be brutal in NC, and very cold for most of the Southeast. I watched a few CLT stations last night and see they're still going in the 40s for temps , guess we'll see. The GFS has high temps pretty cold Monday barely mid 30s from Charlotte north and west. The thickness and 850 and trajectory of our incoming air looks to me like mid 30s to upper 30s will probably be it for this area, and you likely won't make it above 32 for 2 days. CONGRATS Robert/Phil! Hope you all get hammered! I'll let u know if we get any rain at all down here...got my doubts. Just checked again and the sleet is back. Nice pecking sound, but I'm sure it will go to rain soon once the dry air is used up. Not much precip here, but that probably bodes well for central and northern NC later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 28 here with notta so far, But looking for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 28 here with notta so far, But looking for some you should be snow when it arrives. radar shows action about to hit your area so in a couple more hours you'd get it. I didn't get any virga I don't think, it hit the ground when echoes were over me..even when they weren't over me really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 snow ( and accum up to 1" ) has finally been removed from my forecast. No mention of sleet though. The forecast temps Sun/Mon are a little warm I think but we'll see. INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHELBY 618 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2010 TODAY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. SUNDAY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. SUNDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLEAR. COLD WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MONDAY MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 clear and calm here this morning with a temp of 30.5. Waiting on the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 34 here. Not looking for much in the way of winter weather. Good luck all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 clear and calm here this morning with a temp of 30.5. Waiting on the snow! Same here! I think we're in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Same here! I think we're in a good spot. I hope so, Brick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Heavy dusting here in Johnson City TN as I wake up, nothing currently falling. Hoping to hold onto cold at all layers for the slug of moisture heading this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Good ol Friend in Avery just texted me they have one inch and its coming down! He is up Sugar Mtn Rd. #2 if anyone knows where that is (4300'). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Add.. Just walked out to feed the chickens and I got some sleet (I guess form earlier) on the back porch. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Just put up a quick discussion this morning....neat to see some folks seeing some pellets and flakes. East's Weather Page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Enjoy the snow, whoever gets it! Bottomed out at 27° here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 I'm seeing alot of blue skies, What's up with that ? I may have a virga storm. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 snowing here in hky. temp at 31.5. getting ready to go play in a charity golf tournament lol. going to be a cold day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 you can see now on the car tops and roofs a little. looks like on the radar it's about to stop though. hopefully we'll get some more this afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 The sun is out, All precip is just to my sw. So far virga storm holds for my area It looks like the next batch in ne Tenn. might clip me if the mountains don't eat it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Sleet/snow shower came through here about 30 minutes ago. Enough to turn the roofs and car tops white for a while. Now just very fine flakes and 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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