CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 This just completely sucks. Snow rules, tstms don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Snow rules, tstms don't. What sucks is that the bar was set so high on 6/1 that everything will be a fail.. what also sucks is that SNH got diddly squat on 6/1 so the entire summer will be a fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 What sucks is that the bar was set so high on 6/1 that everything will be a fail.. what also sucks is that SNH got diddly squat on 6/1 so the entire summer will be a fail You'll get yours eventually. You guys are normally in a good spot. Tomorrow offers sct activity too, but again...I wouldn't lock that in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 You'll get yours eventually. You guys are normally in a good spot. Tomorrow offers sct activity too, but again...I wouldn't lock that in. Yea.. I just want NFL to start so I can stop following this non extreme weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 What a comfortable morning it is! Even though the temp's 75*, the strong westerly breeze feelgs great. We'll see how we do with the mid-80's highs. Managed 84.5 yesterday. Bad. Today's breeze will make a heck of a difference though. 75.3/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 No thunder last night but about a half inch of rain fell around 2 or 3am. Yeah I don't need to water today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 You'll get yours eventually. You guys are normally in a good spot. Tomorrow offers sct activity too, but again...I wouldn't lock that in. think tomorrow is mildly interesting. wouldn't surprise me to see some borderline svr stuff in NH, C/E MA, N RI with lowering wbzs and some good winds aloft...plus a decent dry punch in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 think tomorrow is mildly interesting. wouldn't surprise me to see some borderline svr stuff in NH, C/E MA, N RI with lowering wbzs and some good winds aloft...plus a decent dry punch in there. Yeah that seems to be the more favored spots and as you pointed out...decent parameters there. That s/w was the first thing I noticed a few days ago and then as you looked closer...it seemed like some storms could happen. What a crappy, capped atmosphere right now. -3C 500 temps. You don't even have that in MIA....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Yeah that seems to be the more favored spots and as you pointed out...decent parameters there. That s/w was the first thing I noticed a few days ago and then as you looked closer...it seemed like some storms could happen. What a crappy, capped atmosphere right now. -3C 500 temps. You don't even have that in MIA....lol. honestly i didn't see it until you mentioned it yesterday. i mean i saw the shortwave but wasn't really looking at it because it was "post fropa" - or that's the way it looked originally. but funny how things can shake out and evolve as time goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 honestly i didn't see it until you mentioned it yesterday. i mean i saw the shortwave but wasn't really looking at it because it was "post fropa" - or that's the way it looked originally. but funny how things can shake out and evolve as time goes on. Yeah I was just playing around with 500mb, but when I saw that...I wondered if there was one of those nice kinks in the isobars to go with it. I didn't really notice it until the other night and yesterday morning. Too bad we can't get that to work on the atmosphere today. Sometimes those strong s/w's don't give a crap about low level moisture. They force their own tstms given how strong the dynamics are. Looks good for Maine, but LI's look decent in parts of ern mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Yeah that seems to be the more favored spots and as you pointed out...decent parameters there. That s/w was the first thing I noticed a few days ago and then as you looked closer...it seemed like some storms could happen. What a crappy, capped atmosphere right now. -3C 500 temps. You don't even have that in MIA....lol. Would storms be S-N orientated? Also what's the time frame? I'm going up north til about 2 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Would storms be S-N orientated? Also what's the time frame? I'm going up north til about 2 tomorrow Probably move from nw-se...something like that. I wouldn't be shocked if you run into some stuff...depending on where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Snow rules, tstms don't. That is such a valid sabremetrics-be-damned truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 That is such a valid sabremetrics-be-damned truth That's how it goes around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 That is such a valid sabremetrics-be-damned truth I think the most excited I've been before a weather event was with boxing day storm last year.. remember what that looked like on the NAM? Tip's post before that storm gave me a pants tent.. Jan 12 was a close second Anybody wanna start a winter storm 2010-2011 thread.. post images/models from last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 What is missing from widespread convective t-storms happening today? We have very warm and muggy air (some of the highest tds of the year), and a cold front pushing through. What other factors are needed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 I think the most excited I've been before a weather event was with boxing day storm last year.. remember what that looked like on the NAM? Tip's post before that storm gave me a pants tent.. Jan 12 was a close second Anybody wanna start a winter storm 2010-2011 thread.. post images/models from last year? I was thinking about doing a post-mortem on the winter and disco about the highlights, but that would take a while to dig through stuff and then post. Maybe when I get a few hours of time, I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 I was thinking about doing a post-mortem on the winter and disco about the highlights, but that would take a while to dig through stuff and then post. Maybe when I get a few hours of time, I will. Jan 12 was.probably my third favorite storm after March 2001 and Feb 2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 What is missing from widespread convective t-storms happening today? We have very warm and muggy air (some of the highest tds of the year), and a cold front pushing through. What other factors are needed? Timing of the frontal boundary is lousy for most. Lack of a good s/w with height falls. This leads to 500mb temps that are very toasty and also limits instability to get and sustain good updrafts. Mid level drying will occur this aftn as well, which can act to choke the updrafts, although this isn't the biggest reason. Basically, not everything is coming together well. There might be some isolated stuff, but it is a waste of an unstable low level atmosphere. If we have mid level temps that were cooler and better lapse rates, we probably could fire a few storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 this thread reinforces one thing...when someone highlights a SNE severe threat more than 2-days in advance, you can be sure it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 There actually is some build-ups to my west right now. Wonder if that is the pre-frontal trough since ORH winds are 280 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 There actually is some build-ups to my west right now. Wonder of that is the pre-frontal trough since ORH winds are 280 now. I actually notice that to my NW too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 There actually is some build-ups to my west right now. Wonder of that is the pre-frontal trough since ORH winds are 280 now. i was looking at the satellite and radar...looks like the trough already swung through and cleared the coast...looks like it just cleared cape cod national seashore... too bad we have a lousy set up...it is soooooooo HUMID!!!! highest Td's so far this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 i was looking at the satellite and radar...looks like the trough already swung through and cleared the coast...looks like it just cleared cape cod national seashore... too bad we have a lousy set up...it is soooooooo HUMID!!!! highest Td's so far this year! The actual srfc trough is still west of there, but seems to be moving through eastern areas now. Winds are already becoming westerly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Looking at the 12z soundings, you can see why we currently have shwrs and tstms east of the Cape. Chatham has some elevated instability. However, Albany's sounding is very warm in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Timing of the frontal boundary is lousy for most. Lack of a good s/w with height falls. This leads to 500mb temps that are very toasty and also limits instability to get and sustain good updrafts. Mid level drying will occur this aftn as well, which can act to choke the updrafts, although this isn't the biggest reason. Basically, not everything is coming together well. There might be some isolated stuff, but it is a waste of an unstable low level atmosphere. If we have mid level temps that were cooler and better lapse rates, we probably could fire a few storms. Thank you as usual. If you ever need insight into hazardous waste removal or teaching 8th graders, let me know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 Jan 12 was.probably my third favorite storm after March 2001 and Feb 2001 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 It's a delightful day here in GC. Currently at 11:00am, we have 77.8/67 at the Pit. The humidity's impact seriously getting reduced by the fresh WNW gusty breezes. Working on the deck ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 12, 2011 Share Posted July 12, 2011 It's a delightful day here in GC. Currently at 11:00am, we have 77.8/67 at the Pit. The humidity's impact seriously getting reduced by the fresh WNW gusty breezes. Working on the deck ftw. 81/72... not a day to be digging post holes or screwing in decking I give Blizz 5 minutes to alter this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 12, 2011 Author Share Posted July 12, 2011 this thread reinforces one thing...when someone highlights a SNE severe threat more than 2-days in advance, you can be sure it won't happen. I busted and it busted. next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.