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Post 4th of July thoughts


Typhoon Tip

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he'll grab his water and his zima and probably sneak over to the GAP or Ambercrombie for some shopping.

maybe their surprise trip is a duck boat tour? maybe all the ADP employees will have to quack all over the city.

LOL, just picture his fists tucked in towards his chest, and he's flailing his elbows up and down.

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82/66

temp has stayed steady and dews now dropping, typical for this time of day, seabreeze will keep us in the mid to upper 80s max today, unless the wind veers out of the west.

Roaster just inland, will Pete crack 75 today?

Good question !

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THE STRENGTHENING WARM CORE RIDGE ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY

SHOULD LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 100 AND 110 DEGREES NEAR

ITS CENTER MIGRATING NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH

THE CENTRAL PLAINS/CORN BELT WITH TIME...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER

VALUES POSSIBLE. ANY RECORD HIGHS SET DURING THE SUMMER OF 1980

SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THREATENED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.

WHILE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA/KANSAS

SHOULD BE HARD TO COME BY...

DISTURBANCES IN INCREASINGLY DEEP EASTERLY FLOW UNDER THE BASE OF

THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS LATE

THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON AND EVENING

MONSOON-RELATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO

THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEST OF THE RIDGE...WHILE ANY THUNDERSTORM

COMPLEXES THAT FORM ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE

SHOULD MIGRATE NORTHWARD THIS PERIOD FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO

SOUTHERN CANADA...BEFORE POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC

AND NORTHEASTERN STATES.

ROTH/JAMES

Uh oh ... and the ensuing winter sucked so ... yep. no winter coming.

ha ha -

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THE STRENGTHENING WARM CORE RIDGE ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY

SHOULD LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 100 AND 110 DEGREES NEAR

ITS CENTER MIGRATING NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH

THE CENTRAL PLAINS/CORN BELT WITH TIME...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER

VALUES POSSIBLE. ANY RECORD HIGHS SET DURING THE SUMMER OF 1980

SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THREATENED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.

WHILE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA/KANSAS

SHOULD BE HARD TO COME BY...

DISTURBANCES IN INCREASINGLY DEEP EASTERLY FLOW UNDER THE BASE OF

THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS LATE

THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON AND EVENING

MONSOON-RELATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO

THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEST OF THE RIDGE...WHILE ANY THUNDERSTORM

COMPLEXES THAT FORM ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE

SHOULD MIGRATE NORTHWARD THIS PERIOD FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO

SOUTHERN CANADA...BEFORE POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC

AND NORTHEASTERN STATES.

ROTH/JAMES

Uh oh ... and the ensuing winter sucked so ... yep. no winter coming.

ha ha -

They really are baking out there. Unreal.

Anyone who talks about how New England has harsh weather and is known for harsh weather etc, should think again.

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don't know how many times we'll see it this summer but the euro *once again* brings on a pretty serious plume of heat late in the run. we'll see i guess.

the deck looks reshuffled so-to-speak so maybe there's some validity to it....but we've seen that numerous times.

It's sort of a nice pattern to get these heat plumes/EML's in here, but again..no real prolonged heat spell I guess. It does look fairly summer-like with alternating shots of warm followed by slightly cooler air.

There's also that weird little disturbance off of NC that models have been hinting at too.

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don't know how many times we'll see it this summer but the euro *once again* brings on a pretty serious plume of heat late in the run. we'll see i guess.

the deck looks reshuffled so-to-speak so maybe there's some validity to it....but we've seen that numerous times.

We're seeing some more consistency with that the last few days..but I'd like to see the Ens on board

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We're seeing some more consistanacy with that the last few days..but I'd like to see the Ens on board

until there's really solid evidence that it's going to be more than a 24 to 36 hour spell, i'm not really going to pay much attention to it. it's tendency in the 7-10 day period to run these plumes of heat out into the northeast and make them appear as though they are going to be long-lasting is reminding me of the GFS constantly throwing huge troughs down into the northeast during the middle of winter. they look formidable a week or 10 days out, but end up progressive and meh.

we keep seeing these short-little bursts of +16C to +18C air that last for all of a day or two and are followed by nice cool downs. that works fine for me...

and what this recent pattern does do, like scooter says above, is keep us out of the death ridge and at least allows the chance for some active frontal passages now and then.

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Christmas 1980 was a winner though. -18F for a low and -1F for a high.... A lot of snow to rain events though in Jan/Feb.....

THE STRENGTHENING WARM CORE RIDGE ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY

SHOULD LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 100 AND 110 DEGREES NEAR

ITS CENTER MIGRATING NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH

THE CENTRAL PLAINS/CORN BELT WITH TIME...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER

VALUES POSSIBLE. ANY RECORD HIGHS SET DURING THE SUMMER OF 1980

SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THREATENED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.

WHILE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA/KANSAS

SHOULD BE HARD TO COME BY...

DISTURBANCES IN INCREASINGLY DEEP EASTERLY FLOW UNDER THE BASE OF

THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS LATE

THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON AND EVENING

MONSOON-RELATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO

THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEST OF THE RIDGE...WHILE ANY THUNDERSTORM

COMPLEXES THAT FORM ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE

SHOULD MIGRATE NORTHWARD THIS PERIOD FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO

SOUTHERN CANADA...BEFORE POSSIBLY DROPPING INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC

AND NORTHEASTERN STATES.

ROTH/JAMES

Uh oh ... and the ensuing winter sucked so ... yep. no winter coming.

ha ha -

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It's sort of a nice pattern to get these heat plumes/EML's in here, but again..no real prolonged heat spell I guess. It does look fairly summer-like with alternating shots of warm followed by slightly cooler air.

There's also that weird little disturbance off of NC that models have been hinting at too.

yeah i've been watching that come and go on guidance too. cmc - not shocking i guess - has been relatively "bullish" with it. always adds an element of interest to see anything sitting down there...even if it's non-tropical it can bring good rain/storms if it can ever get entrained into something.

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That's what happens when your sensor is surrounded by asphalt. Don't know if it's been moved, but I saw a pic of the station a few years ago. No wonder why they are always warm.

Heh, for that matter EVERY ASOS site is suspect. They are always at air ports close to tarmacs, or out in Boston Harbor where the dip**** media then uses that to espouse the current Boston temperature...etc. There's always some idiosyncratic dumbness about them because of their environments.

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That's what happens when your sensor is surrounded by asphalt. Don't know if it's been moved, but I saw a pic of the station a few years ago. No wonder why they are always warm.

Yeah, most of the Wunderground stations are around 90F. I can't think of anywhere in KASH they could put it that wasn't near the tarmac.

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