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Post 4th of July thoughts


Typhoon Tip

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Ryan and others....it's questionable, but with such a strong s/w on Wednesday, could be some tstms along the secondary CF. Maybe one of those days that don't look all that great at first, but that's a very strong s/w. Something to watch I guess, anyways. Maine might have the best shot, but parts of SNE..perhaps central and eastern areas have a chance too.

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LOL....just show up and order a few drinks..Say you're with ADP..grab a few apps too.

LOL, well I have today and tomorrow off. If it's one of those company social retreat things where you all gather around and hold hands with each other...then I won't bother you guys. I live only a few miles away, but was thinking about hitting the beach possibly too.

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LOL, well I have today and tomorrow off. If it's one of those company social retreat things where you all gather around and hold hands with each other...then I won't bother you guys. I live only a few miles away, but was thinking about hitting the beach possibly too.

The entire New England division will be there..so that means the Windsor office, The Walthm office, the Providence office..and the New Hampshire office

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Ryan and others....it's questionable, but with such a strong s/w on Wednesday, could be some tstms along the secondary CF. Maybe one of those days that don't look all that great at first, but that's a very strong s/w. Something to watch I guess, anyways. Maine might have the best shot, but parts of SNE..perhaps central and eastern areas have a chance too.

yeah it could do something if the tuesday action doesn't scour out the low levels too much...which isn't unrealistic given the time of year.

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Here's the cool down in the 12z NAM's FRH grid as it applies Wednesday:

BOS

54000514722 -1299 032906 70281910

60004725315 -0696 060113 64231608

All the issues with the NAM being 54 and 60 hours aside (which i don't think bear much issue here anyway) that is not a very appreciable cool down at least through Wednesday afternoon for BOS. +28C at 980 on a WNW wind is 32C in the 2-meter with ease. There may be a 2ndary, or even "main" push of cool back that arrives overnight Wednesday; I haven't yet looked at those charts.

In any event, this run is overall bordering excessive heat for the interior coastal plain for tomorrow. LGA on this block has a +33C at 980mb, which by index-fingere rule is about 36C in the 2-meter temperature, which translates to 100 or 101F for common parlance. BOS for tomorrow is 31, which following from the same application would hit 97F. DPs combining would likely support advisory level heat. It will be interesting to see how the MOS products reflect this - usually they are within a degree or two of this logic, however.

Can't say we weren't warned if this comes to fruitiion; I stated my self this is probably the hottest air to date, for this summer thus far this afternoon through tomorrow.

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Here's the cool down in the 12z NAM's FRH grid as it applies Wednesday:

BOS

54000514722 -1299 032906 70281910

60004725315 -0696 060113 64231608

All the issues with the NAM being 54 and 60 hours aside (which i don't think bear much issue here anyway) that is not a very appreciable cool down at least through Wednesday afternoon for BOS. +28C at 980 on a WNW wind is 32C in the 2-meter with ease. There may be a 2ndary, or even "main" push of cool back that arrives overnight Wednesday; I haven't yet looked at those charts.

In any event, this run is overall bordering excessive heat for the interior coastal plain for tomorrow. LGA on this block has a +33C at 980mb, which by index-fingere rule is about 36C in the 2-meter temperature, which translates to 100 or 101F for common parlance. BOS for tomorrow is 31, which following from the same application would hit 97F. DPs combining would likely support advisory level heat. It will be interesting to see how the MOS products reflect this - usually they are within a degree or two of this logic, however.

Can't say we weren't warned if this comes to fruitiion; I stated my self this is probably the hottest air to date, for this summer thus far this afternoon through tomorrow.

Don't tell MRG..he still thinks it's cool and 70's every day this week

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Here's the cool down in the 12z NAM's FRH grid as it applies Wednesday:

BOS

54000514722 -1299 032906 70281910

60004725315 -0696 060113 64231608

All the issues with the NAM being 54 and 60 hours aside (which i don't think bear much issue here anyway) that is not a very appreciable cool down at least through Wednesday afternoon for BOS. +28C at 980 on a WNW wind is 32C in the 2-meter with ease. There may be a 2ndary, or even "main" push of cool back that arrives overnight Wednesday; I haven't yet looked at those charts.

In any event, this run is overall bordering excessive heat for the interior coastal plain for tomorrow. LGA on this block has a +33C at 980mb, which by index-fingere rule is about 36C in the 2-meter temperature, which translates to 100 or 101F for common parlance. BOS for tomorrow is 31, which following from the same application would hit 97F. DPs combining would likely support advisory level heat. It will be interesting to see how the MOS products reflect this - usually they are within a degree or two of this logic, however.

Can't say we weren't warned if this comes to fruitiion; I stated my self this is probably the hottest air to date, for this summer thus far this afternoon through tomorrow.

i don't think cool down comes in earnest until thursday/friday. wednesday should still be fairly mild.

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man that air mass over the ohio valley is BRUTAL. some ASOS sites coming in with Tds >80F. that's amazing.

KFTK: 88/80

KOWB: 91/79

KGUS: 87/82 (!)

mostly unrelated, but there is a seiche warning in effect for the shore of Lake Michigan due to the storms!

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=ILZ014&warncounty=ILC031&firewxzone=ILZ014&local_place1=Chicago+IL&product1=Lakeshore+Flood+Warning

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What I wouldn't give to have dews near or over 80 here tomorrow. That would just be awesome..Make it happen

honestly, i doubt there are that many places on this side of the globe that can compete heat/humidity-wise with what's happening out in the OV/Plains right now. i'm sure parts of africa/se asia are worse than this at times, but being 100/80 is extraordinary...you can't really accomplish that in the tropics.

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honestly, i doubt there are that many places on this side of the globe that can compete heat/humidity-wise with what's happening out in the OV/Plains right now. i'm sure parts of africa/se asia are worse than this at times, but being 100/80 is extraordinary...you can't really accomplish that in the tropics.

The highest i've ever recorded in MBY was a 76.3 dewpoint and that was last summer. Tomorrow might be able to approach that

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The highest i've ever recorded in MBY was a 76.3 dewpoint and that was last summer. Tomorrow might be able to approach that

well i've been in the islands and seen the dewpoint in the 82-84 range...so it's not really the dew point alone that amazes me as much as the combo of temp/dewpoint going on right now...in the islands it's brutal but the air temp is "only" like 91 or 92. there's probably some small nooks/crannies of some of those caribbean islands that get very hot and humid but in general, temps max out in the lower 90s down there.

seeing the temperature crest 100F with a dewpoint north of 80F is incredible.

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honestly, i doubt there are that many places on this side of the globe that can compete heat/humidity-wise with what's happening out in the OV/Plains right now. i'm sure parts of africa/se asia are worse than this at times, but being 100/80 is extraordinary...you can't really accomplish that in the tropics.

Brutal, imagine living in a city like St Louis. Just brutal

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