Typhoon Tip Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 With the prognostic mode of the NAO relaxing in both the ECM and GFS ensemble means the last couple of nights, and the operational versions more than less agreeing over the last few cycles, therein are thoughts of raising heights in the east. Fairly straight forward. This is antithetical to the tempo of the summer thus far, but it appears somewhat of a pattern change may be at hand. There are even signs in there that the semi-permanent shear axis/weakness in the geopotential medium over the EC may fill in week. In the meantime, low impact heat wave appears underway for much of interior SNE and some coastal locales away from marine contamination. This may or may not have snuck up on us.. 87-92 or 88 -93 type heat, not overly oppressive but near or at 90 for 3 days ending Wednesday has above medium chance at success. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Perhaps a 1 or 2 day shot of big warmth next week, but I'm still not sure of a pattern fit for a big heat dome in the east. Seems like Plains into the OH valley will roast for now. Either way, it does seem like more classic July weather at hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Places like ASH might be the warmest in SNE this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 4, 2011 Author Share Posted July 4, 2011 Perhaps a 1 or 2 day shot of big warmth next week, but I'm still not sure of a pattern fit for a big heat dome in the east. Seems like Plains into the OH valley will roast for now. Either way, it does seem like more classic July weather at hand. Yeah, I stopped short of "heat dome" - don't have a decent enough feel for how expansive a regime change it will be, but it does appear that we are about to switch from at or below to at or above due to NAO domain changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 4, 2011 Author Share Posted July 4, 2011 Places like ASH might be the warmest in SNE this week Exactly - 92, 91, 93 perhaps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Yeah, I stopped short of "heat dome" - don't have a decent enough feel for how expansive a regime change it will be, but it does appear that we are about to switch from at or below to at or above due to NAO domain changes. Yeah that could be. I was just looking at the ensembles, and they still argue for some troughing during mid week next week, but then heights rise a bit towards the end of the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Fairly typical July wx. Since our last cutoff hell it's been quite nice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 The Thur-Sat trough looks more vigorous on the 12Z GFS. Nice airmass for us while the rest of the country suffers. Fairly typical July wx. Since our last cutoff hell it's been quite nice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Interesting east coast tropical development on the CMC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Interesting east coast tropical development on the CMC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Some decent warmth incoming, but nothing like last July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Some decent warmth incoming, but nothing like last July Last summer was the hottest for every single station in SNE..how can you top that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Last summer was the hottest for every single station in SNE..how can you top that? Actually last summer was the hottest summer for 0 of the 4 climo sites in BOX CWA. PVD did get the 2nd warmest summer on record though. BOS/BDL were 3rd warmest on record and ORH was 7th warmest on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Last summer was the hottest for every single station in SNE..how can you top that? Just like it'll be hard to top that stretch from late December through early February for snowfall in SNE...especially CT. This summer will feel much colder than last summer even if its average to even a bit above average. Unfortunately I'm afraid this winter will be the opposite and feel underwhelming after the epic snowpack and snowstorms seen across both SNE and NNE (though at different times). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Actually last summer was the hottest summer for 0 of the 4 climo sites in BOX CWA. PVD did get the 2nd warmest summer on record though. BOS/BDL were 3rd warmest on record and ORH was 7th warmest on record. Why let facts cloud the issue. (WPI) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Why let facts cloud the issue. (WPI) Actually Blue Hill had their warmest summer on record...so he does get one station there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Actually last summer was the hottest summer for 0 of the 4 climo sites in BOX CWA. PVD did get the 2nd warmest summer on record though. BOS/BDL were 3rd warmest on record and ORH was 7th warmest on record. You've kind of turned into a grumpy old man kind of poster..We miss the fun Will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 You've kind of turned into a grumpy old man kind of poster..We miss the fun Will Lol, I'm just posting facts. If I weren't here to do that, then we'd see "coldest winter ever", "snowiest winter ever", "hottest summer ever" run rampant through the threads with no repercussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 You've kind of turned into a grumpy old man kind of poster..We miss the fun Will I like the grumpy Will during summer... brings the fun into arguing who's at 90F and who's at 88F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Lol, I'm just posting facts. If I weren't here to do that, then we'd see "coldest winter ever", "snowiest winter ever", "hottest summer ever" run rampant through the threads with no repercussions. You've morphed from fun Will into a Dendrite/Ian grumpy/crotchety type of poster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 You've morphed from fun Will into a Dendrite/Ian grumpy/crotchety type of poster It only appears that way to you because I do not endorse huge heat waves in the summer. When I start talking about the first cold shots and snow chances, you'll think I'm fun again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 In the meantime, low impact heat wave appears underway for much of interior SNE and some coastal locales away from marine contamination. This may or may not have snuck up on us.. 87-92 or 88 -93 type heat, not overly oppressive but near or at 90 for 3 days ending Wednesday has above medium chance at success. Heat wave potential for ASH, LWM, BOS, CON, and FIT. 91, 91, 90, 90, 90 respectively at those sites today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 You've morphed into my crotch. My favorite type of poster. Too much sun today on the dome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 You've morphed from fun Will into a Dendrite/Ian grumpy/crotchety type of poster How did I earn the grumpy connotation? lolI like how you routinely apply your sales knowledge to your posts. You've tried to convince us that we've had about 5 torches so far this spring with oppressive humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 How did I earn the grumpy connotation? lol I like how you routinely apply your sales knowledge to your posts. You've tried to convince us that we've had about 5 torches so far this spring with oppressive humidity. Well to be fair, BDL did finish 0.0 for June which was kind of like a torch since the other stations all finished below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 How did I earn the grumpy connotation? lol I like how you routinely apply your sales knowledge to your posts. You've tried to convince us that we've had about 5 torches so far this spring with oppressive humidity. I hope he is better at sales than at forecasts... he was pretty good last summer (other than the 80 degree overnight low debacle), but this year? Wonder if I should pull a Wiz and go look at the thunderstorm near Gardner... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 How did I earn the grumpy connotation? lol I like how you routinely apply your sales knowledge to your posts. You've tried to convince us that we've had about 5 torches so far this spring with oppressive humidity. LOL..it's not a negative..it"s just your way of posting..tit for tat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 65/51 at midnight here... Monday's high was 80.4 under almost 100% sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 Highs between 82-87 all week with full on sun, its a summer sensation! SNESS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 5, 2011 Share Posted July 5, 2011 We will be warmer than Joe?!? I might tickle 90 but probably 87-88 next 2 days Friday looks perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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