Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 1025 AM TSTM WND GST 2 ESE ARGOS 41.69N 86.20W 07/11/2011 E75 MPH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER 0955 AM TSTM WND GST 2 NNW MICHIGAN CITY 41.74N 86.91W 07/11/2011 M85 MPH LMZ046 IN C-MAN STATION 0955 AM TSTM WND DMG MICHIGAN CITY 41.71N 86.90W 07/11/2011 LAPORTE IN TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN MICHIGAN CITY...TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Disagree. Ok. How's that first line working out for ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Ok. How's that first line working out for ya? Didn't evaporate like you suggested, so just fine. Still a line of storms moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 1022 AM TSTM WND GST SOUTH BEND 41.68N 86.25W 07/11/2011 M66 MPH ST. JOSEPH IN ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Here we go. All complaining by the usual suspects should be in the general thread, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Here we go. All complaining by the usual suspects should be in the general thread, no? They should just go period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Disagree. hope your right. Todays derecho line looks similar as far as time of day and size to one a few years ago that hit the central counties. Came on a day where severe weather wasn't expected and the line was racing east about 70-80 MPH. Can't find a link on it for SE MI and it occured I believe in 2008. Think it hit chicago before becomming more intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Didn't evaporate like you suggested, so just fine. Still a line of storms moving through. Nope, nowhere in my post did I say anything about evaporating, I said weaken, which it did and is still doing. Depends.The instability/moisture axis is still off to the west (Northern Illinois into Indiana and SE), and the WRF-NMM weakens the storms as they cross Michigan (just a few rain showers and some debris). I'm thinking they're going to evolve similar to what the WRF-NMM shows, but I could be wrong (though there's nothing to suggest otherwise). We would need some rapid destabilization/moisture advection to take place this way in order for them to hold, but it's pretty much a race for time with the speed these storms are moving. Either way, the storms probably won't weaken fast enough to not disrupt any chance for development later. Actually the way the line is evolving isn't too dissimilar from what the 00z WRF-NMM showed. Its biggest vice is that it was too slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Chicago breaking news reporting over 600k without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 hope your right. Todays derecho line looks similar as far as time of day and size to one a few years ago that hit the central counties. Came on a day where severe weather wasn't expected and the line was racing east about 70-80 MPH. Can't find a link on it for SE MI and it occured I believe in 2008. Think it hit chicago before becomming more intense. Completely different setup. If you're talking about that event in April 2008, for starters we had full sunshine ahead of it (no MCS or debris ahead of it) and a very intense MCV to hold the line together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Nope, nowhere in my post did I say anything about evaporating, I said weaken, which it did and is still doing. Actually the way the line is evolving isn't too dissimilar from what the 00z WRF-NMM showed. Its biggest vice is that it was too slow. Why don't we wait until both lines are through before we go through this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Chicago breaking news reporting over 600k without power. That's pretty impressive, city or entire metro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1047 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 1130 AM EDT * AT 1043 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE. ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCHOOLCRAFT TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CONSTANTINE TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRISTOL... AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE STORMS INCLUDE... CENTREVILLE... STURGIS... COLON... UNION CITY AND BRONSON... Side note, I wouldn't be shocked if K-zoo County gets a Tornado warning soon, nice rotation forming in the line there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 That's pretty impressive, city or entire metro area? metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 metro Still impressive number none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Getting ready to be slammed by the bow here in White Pines. Ended up with 60mph+ winds, which took down numerous tree branches and flattened corn. Reports from back home are of winds around 60mph, tree branches down, and numerous power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Side note, I wouldn't be shocked if K-zoo County gets a Tornado warning soon, nice rotation forming in the line there. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 1033 AM TSTM WND GST 2 SE MISHAWAKA 41.64N 86.13W 07/11/2011 E81 MPH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 ...SEICHE WARNING FOR THE ILLINOIS SHORE OF LAKE MICHIGAN UNTIL 100 PM CDT... .A STRONG LINE OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE LAKE THIS MORNING LIKELY WILL CAUSE WATER TO PILE UP ALONG THE MICHIGAN AND INDIANA SHORES AND BE REFLECTED BACK TOWARD THE ILLINOIS SHORELINE. THIS PHENOMENA IS KNOWN AS A SEICHE. ILZ006-014-111800- /O.NEW.KLOT.LS.W.0002.110711T1431Z-110711T1800Z/ LAKE IL-COOK- 931 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2011 ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...IN ANTICIPATION OF A POSSIBLE SEICHE. * LAKE SHORE FLOODING...ALONG THE ILLINOIS SHORELINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN. * TIMING...THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AND FALL...PERHAPS BY 2 OR MORE FEET...DURING THE PERIOD OF THE WARNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Made out ok here in Dunlap on the se side of Elkhart. I'm terrible at estimating wind speed, but it seems as though the higher winds were nw of us. Did not lose power locally and only small branches down around the office here. Scattered power outages throughout the Michiana area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 ...SEICHE WARNING FOR THE ILLINOIS SHORE OF LAKE MICHIGAN UNTIL 100 PM CDT... .A STRONG LINE OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE LAKE THIS MORNING LIKELY WILL CAUSE WATER TO PILE UP ALONG THE MICHIGAN AND INDIANA SHORES AND BE REFLECTED BACK TOWARD THE ILLINOIS SHORELINE. THIS PHENOMENA IS KNOWN AS A SEICHE. ILZ006-014-111800- /O.NEW.KLOT.LS.W.0002.110711T1431Z-110711T1800Z/ LAKE IL-COOK- 931 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2011 ...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...IN ANTICIPATION OF A POSSIBLE SEICHE. * LAKE SHORE FLOODING...ALONG THE ILLINOIS SHORELINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN. * TIMING...THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AND FALL...PERHAPS BY 2 OR MORE FEET...DURING THE PERIOD OF THE WARNING. Good call by Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Just got a loud crack of thunder. Moderate downpour of huge raindrops. Make that two. It's better than nothing I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 1100 AM TSTM WND GST 2 NNE HOLLAND 42.81N 86.09W 07/11/2011 E80 MPH OTTAWA MI STORM CHASER ALSO 8 POWER POLES DOWN. ONE SNAPPED IN HALF. DOWNTOWN HOLLAND WITHOUT POWER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 1030 AM TSTM WND DMG N HOLLAND 42.79N 86.11W 07/11/2011 OTTAWA MI 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. MANY TREES DOWN ON HOUSES. 1125 AM TSTM WND DMG E CUTLERVILLE 42.84N 85.65W 07/11/2011 KENT MI COUNTY OFFICIAL *** 1 FATAL *** TREE FELL ON HOUSE. ONE CONFIRMED FATALITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 That line is wicked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Looks like some overshooting tops on the leading edge of the trailing squall line: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 That line is wicked Sure is. Looks like we may get into the northern end of it but the real winds look to stay to the south. Line has traveled quite a ways since this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerWXman Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 That thing is hauling ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Storms ahead of the line now moving into Findlay with mainly a wind threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 11, 2011 Share Posted July 11, 2011 Wow it's 87 in Findlay? Anyways this looks like it's gonna be big pretty soon when this line comes thru in Toledo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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