Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 For some reason FFC has consistently overforecasted my high temps the last few weeks. For instance, the forecast high for today is 95 but the high so far is 91 and its down to 88 now. My high temps have been running 3-5 below the forecast. That's one reason why I think their forecast temps for next week are higher than they will actually be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Smoke here as well.I can see it and smell it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 12z GFS appears to have backed down on the intensity of its heatwave. It "only" has upper 90's and low 100's on the hottest days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 For some reason FFC has consistently overforecasted my high temps the last few weeks. For instance, the forecast high for today is 95 but the high so far is 91 and its down to 88 now. My high temps have been running 3-5 below the forecast. That's one reason why I think their forecast temps for next week are higher than they will actually be. What city do you live near or in? I have seen them bust occasionally but not really that bad for Atlanta. The GFS has been overplaying the heat but FFC has done a pretty good job imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 what is happening to all of our convection....seems that everything that pops up fizzles out....arghhh!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Storms a brewing to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Smoke here as well.I can see it and smell it. Ditto here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 First storm to blow up is going to split the uprights between me and EmersonGA. He might get some rain though. Edit: sprinkled for like 2 minutes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 First storm to blow up is going to split the uprights between me and EmersonGA. He might get some rain though. boo hiss!!! and miss me to the north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 The pressure is low outside. 1006 mb... lol. 70% of rain and not a drop yet. Only smoke from the fire at the okefenokee swamp. Edit: Now 1005mb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Just updated my discussion one more time to account for anemic mid level lapse rates: http://www.sandhillswx.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Getting insane amounts of rain in southern iredell county, heavy rain for about 30 min to an hour. storms are training. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Well, I picked up .03". The most rain I've had in 12 days. Better than nothing, although now it feels incredibly humid. I was just watching the Atlanta news and Channel 5 says highs near 100 and lows near 80 on Tues and Wed !! For the person who asked where I live, I live in a small Central Georgia town called Carrollton. I have a limited number of posts per day so I didn't want to use up my post by telling where I lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Dark skies with thunder all afternoon and again...not a drop here, while the airport and areas all around me get close to another inch....ugh :gun_bandana: :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Well, I picked up .03". The most rain I've had in 12 days. Better than nothing, although now it feels incredibly humid. I was just watching the Atlanta news and Channel 5 says highs near 100 and lows near 80 on Tues and Wed !! What city do you live near or in? I have seen them bust occasionally but not really that bad for Atlanta. The GFS has been overplaying the heat but FFC has done a pretty good job imo. Would you please answer on your location. You have been asked numerous times and constantly ignore it. Nearly every model is now placing a major ridge right over the SE. It's gonna be very, very hot. The GFS, NAM and Euro all place a 594+ ridge right over the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 rain has just ended here. sun is about to come out too. radar says over an inch of rain fell too new storms popped up. hopefully it will not hit me again. ground is saturated and storm drains are full. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Would you please answer on your location. You have been asked numerous times and constantly ignore it. Nearly every model is now placing a major ridge right over the SE. It's gonna be very, very hot. The GFS, NAM and Euro all place a 594+ ridge right over the SE. Do you think this will be one of those long heat waves that lasts for weeks or a month or are we looking at a 2 or 3 day heat wave ? FFC says 30-40 pops every day the next week which I would think would be unusual if we were under a major ridge wouldn't it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx4life Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 I thought we were about to get a nice shower,but nothing other than some thunder and a few sprinkles.With the temp. being 89 and the DP 73 it is a nasty feeling out there.YUCK!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Decent hit today picked up .70 so far. Big rains just S of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Just got home from work. Finally a decent day of rain here. .87 thru the gauge so far. Wasn't raining in Asheville but had been earlier. Some of the muggiest weather for the mountians in a long time. The air was so thick it felt like you could slice thru it. Really somewhat of a tropical feel to it that we just don't get to often. Nice to have the rain at the house after a week of near misses! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Storm number 3 just hit Lake Norman. Storm number 4 is on it's way. it's been years since iv'e seen storms train like they are today. Air seems to be getting stable now. high resolution radar shows moisture being chocked off. Storm number 4 will begin to erode soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Same here. but the rain started about 25 minutes ago, and it's still falling. After the heavy rains on Wednesday night, the creeks are full again, and everything is very green. Here are two pics I made last evening at sunset. The thunderstorms were forming between Shelby and Lincolnton, but it was cool to watch them boil up into such a deep blue sky. What camera are you using for your pics? They all have a high key look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Nice line of cells that formed east of Asheville and are sliding through here right now...decent little dump of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 had several good rounds of rain today ending up with 1.38 that brings me to a 7 day total of 4.62. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Dark skies with thunder all afternoon and again...not a drop here, while the airport and areas all around me get close to another inch....ugh :gun_bandana: :gun_bandana: I hate to hear that you keep missing by so close too. Sounds like here last Summer. Eventually, your luck has to switch. Storm number 3 just hit Lake Norman. Storm number 4 is on it's way. it's been years since iv'e seen storms train like they are today. Air seems to be getting stable now. high resolution radar shows moisture being chocked off. Storm number 4 will begin to erode soon. Sounds like yesterday here. There's anice line quickly moving this way, that may sweep across much of the area. Today has been brutal in terms of humidity here, and no rain yet. I don't see how the eastern Carolina guys stand it with dewpoints in mid and upper 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 I think that I may finally get some rain from the cell crossing Rutherford County as we speak!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Decent hit today picked up .70 so far. Big rains just S of here. Definitely. We've had downpour after downpour. The first wave came with some serious lightning. A few house fires by lightning this evening. It's currently coming down hard again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Severe T-Storm warning here now with that line coming from Rutherford County, looking forward to some more rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 This forecast was a bust. 70% chance of rain and not a drop any around here or near the fire. NWS in Jacksonville talkin about some 3 inches possible in all the forecast zones over the next 48 hours. I still got tonight(30%) and tomorrow(70%) and Sunday(70%), with storms that could contain damaging winds tomorrow(twc forecast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Severe T-Storm warning here now with that line coming from Rutherford County, looking forward to some more rain! I got lucky with a pop up just ahead of the main line, which dropped .10", now the main line is getting me good. Moving fast though. Decent winds and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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